Language:English
Seattle Mariners v Detroit Tigers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Seattle Mariners (Local)
Prediction 52.97%1.89fair odd
EV -0.955%
Edge -0.511%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.59%52.94%53.15%54.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.801.801.8758.82%55.71%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Detroit Tigers (Visit)
Prediction 47.03%2.13fair odd
EV -0.286%
Edge -0.135%
Kelly -0.256%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.69%47.06%46.85%48.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.042.052.1251.28%48.96%48.78%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Mariners (Local): 52.97%; Detroit Tigers (Visit): 47.03%. For Detroit Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.13. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.12, with an expected value of -0.286%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -0.955%E -0.511%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -3.11%E -1.51%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.01%E -1.09%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.17%E -1.04%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-05 01:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.01%E -1.09%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.17%E -1.04%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-05 01:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.01%E -1.09%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.64%E -1.27%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-05 01:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.01%E -1.09%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.64%E -1.27%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-05 01:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.01%E -1.09%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.54%E -1.38%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.17%E -1.04%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-05 00:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.23%E -0.584%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.23%E -0.584%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-05 01:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.23%E -0.584%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 16:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.64%E -1.27%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 22:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-05 01:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 01:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 01:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.28%E -4.25%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 22:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.28%E -4.25%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 01:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.60%E -1.98%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.05%E -1.98%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.60%E -1.98%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.99%E -2.47%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 01:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.60%E -1.98%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.87%E -3.47%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 01:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 01:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 16:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 16:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 16:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 01:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.99%E -2.47%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.99%E -2.47%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 16:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.99%E -2.47%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 16:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 17:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -7.34%E -3.73%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 22:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.81%E -3.99%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.28%E -4.25%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 01:28 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.28%E -4.25%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 01:28 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -5.19%E -2.90%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -0.286%E -0.135%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 22:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -5.19%E -2.90%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -0.286%E -0.135%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.10%EV -5.19%E -2.90%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.90%EV -0.757%E -0.359%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.19%E -2.90%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 01:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -5.72%E -3.21%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -1.23%E -0.584%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -5.72%E -3.21%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -1.23%E -0.584%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 22:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.72%E -3.21%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.72%E -3.21%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 17:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.72%E -3.21%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.05%E -1.98%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 01:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.72%E -3.21%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -4.52%E -2.23%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 16:43 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.72%E -3.21%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -4.52%E -2.23%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 16:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -6.25%E -3.53%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.17%E -1.04%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -6.25%E -3.53%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.17%E -1.04%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -6.25%E -3.53%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.17%E -1.04%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 22:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -6.25%E -3.53%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.17%E -1.04%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -6.25%E -3.53%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.17%E -1.04%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 22:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -6.25%E -3.53%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.17%E -1.04%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 22:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.78%E -3.85%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -2.64%E -1.27%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 22:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.78%E -3.85%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -6.78%E -3.85%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -7.81%E -3.99%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-05 01:34 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.17%E -1.04%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 01:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 17:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 17:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 17:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 23:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.84%E -4.51%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 22:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.84%E -4.51%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 22:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.96%E -5.86%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-04 22:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 2.1% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 2.1% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 01:39 |