Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners v Detroit Tigers

2026-08-05 01:41 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Predicción 53.40%1.87momio equitativo
EV -1.22%
Ventaja -0.659%
Kelly -1.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.59%53.44%53.28%54.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.701.791.791.8558.82%55.90%55.87%54.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Detroit Tigers (Visitante)

Predicción 46.60%2.15momio equitativo
EV -0.731%
Ventaja -0.343%
Kelly -0.647%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.13

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.45%46.56%46.72%48.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.952.062.052.1351.28%48.56%48.78%46.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Seattle Mariners (Local): 53.40%; Detroit Tigers (Visitante): 46.60%. Para Detroit Tigers (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.15. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.13, con un valor esperado de -0.731%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
DraftKings1.85I 54.05%NM 53.28%EV -1.22%E -0.659%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.72%EV -1.66%E -0.788%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-04 19:09
GTbets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -1.75%E -0.953%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -2.60%E -1.24%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-04 18:44
LowVig.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -1.75%E -0.953%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-04 18:44
BetOnline.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -1.75%E -0.953%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-04 18:45
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.29%E -1.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.66%E -0.788%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-04 23:55
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.29%E -1.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 16:20
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.29%E -1.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 16:49
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.29%E -1.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 16:49
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.29%E -1.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -3.53%E -1.70%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 22:29
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.29%E -1.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 22:34
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -2.82%E -1.55%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -0.731%E -0.343%K -0.647%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-04 23:55
BetUS1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.82%E -1.55%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.66%E -0.788%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 22:50
MyBookie.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.36%E -1.85%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.99%E -1.94%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-04 19:13
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-04 22:43
betano_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-04 22:43
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 16:50
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 23:45
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 19:09
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 16:45
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 16:44
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 16:45
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 16:49
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.93%E -2.41%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 20:24
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.86%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:05
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.86%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 16:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.86%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 16:45
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.79%E -3.40%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 17:20
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.79%E -3.40%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 19:09
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -8.19%E -4.16%K -8.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 22:44
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -4.42%E -2.47%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -1.20%E -0.565%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 22:14
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -4.42%E -2.47%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -1.20%E -0.565%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 22:15
Bovada1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.42%E -2.47%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.99%E -1.94%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 23:54
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.42%E -2.47%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 22:44
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.96%E -2.78%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-04 22:15
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.96%E -2.78%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-04 22:14
SportsBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.96%E -2.78%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 16:20
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.96%E -2.78%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 17:15
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.96%E -2.78%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.39%E -2.66%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 16:43
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.96%E -2.78%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.39%E -2.66%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 16:45
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.96%E -2.78%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.79%E -3.40%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 19:10
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 15:44
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 23:55
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 22:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 22:15
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 22:14
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 22:15
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 22:14
Bally Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 22:19
Betclic (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.17%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.83%EV -6.32%E -3.15%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 19:08
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.02%E -3.42%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.53%E -1.70%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:14
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.02%E -3.42%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -3.99%E -1.94%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 23:50
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.02%E -3.42%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 16:50
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.02%E -3.42%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.79%E -3.40%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 16:44
Dabble (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 23:30
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 17:14
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 17:14
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 17:14
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.79%E -3.40%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 23:14
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.09%E -4.08%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 22:14
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.09%E -4.08%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 22:14
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.23%E -5.43%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.79%E -3.40%K -6.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-04 22:14
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%0.2%2026-08-04 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-08-04 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-08-04 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-08-04 23:10
ProphetX1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-08-04 23:50
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-04 22:05
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-04 22:00
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-04 23:55
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%2.1%2026-08-04 23:55
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%3.1%2026-08-05 00:04