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Seattle Mariners v Detroit Tigers
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Seattle Mariners (Local)
Predicción 52.97%1.89momio equitativo
EV -0.955%
Ventaja -0.511%
Kelly -1.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.59%52.94%53.15%54.31%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.701.801.801.8758.82%55.71%55.56%53.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Detroit Tigers (Visitante)
Predicción 47.03%2.13momio equitativo
EV -0.286%
Ventaja -0.135%
Kelly -0.256%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.69%47.06%46.85%48.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.952.042.052.1251.28%48.96%48.78%47.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Seattle Mariners (Local): 52.97%; Detroit Tigers (Visitante): 47.03%. Para Detroit Tigers (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.13. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.12, con un valor esperado de -0.286%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -0.955%E -0.511%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -3.11%E -1.51%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.01%E -1.09%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.17%E -1.04%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-05 01:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.01%E -1.09%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.17%E -1.04%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-05 01:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.01%E -1.09%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.64%E -1.27%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-05 01:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.01%E -1.09%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.64%E -1.27%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-05 01:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.01%E -1.09%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.54%E -1.38%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.17%E -1.04%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-05 00:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.23%E -0.584%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.23%E -0.584%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-05 01:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.23%E -0.584%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 16:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.64%E -1.27%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 22:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-05 01:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 01:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 01:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.28%E -4.25%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 22:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.28%E -4.25%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 01:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.60%E -1.98%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.05%E -1.98%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.60%E -1.98%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.99%E -2.47%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 01:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.60%E -1.98%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.87%E -3.47%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 01:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 01:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 16:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 16:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 16:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 01:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.99%E -2.47%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.99%E -2.47%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 16:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.99%E -2.47%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 16:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 17:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -7.34%E -3.73%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 22:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.81%E -3.99%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.28%E -4.25%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 01:28 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.28%E -4.25%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 01:28 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -5.19%E -2.90%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -0.286%E -0.135%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 22:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -5.19%E -2.90%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -0.286%E -0.135%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.10%EV -5.19%E -2.90%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.90%EV -0.757%E -0.359%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.19%E -2.90%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 01:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -5.72%E -3.21%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -1.23%E -0.584%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -5.72%E -3.21%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -1.23%E -0.584%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 22:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.72%E -3.21%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.72%E -3.21%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 17:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.72%E -3.21%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.05%E -1.98%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 01:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.72%E -3.21%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -4.52%E -2.23%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 16:43 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.72%E -3.21%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -4.52%E -2.23%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 16:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -6.25%E -3.53%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.17%E -1.04%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -6.25%E -3.53%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.17%E -1.04%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -6.25%E -3.53%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.17%E -1.04%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 22:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -6.25%E -3.53%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.17%E -1.04%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -6.25%E -3.53%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.17%E -1.04%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 22:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -6.25%E -3.53%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.17%E -1.04%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 22:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.78%E -3.85%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -2.64%E -1.27%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 22:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.78%E -3.85%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -6.78%E -3.85%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -7.81%E -3.99%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-05 01:34 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.17%E -1.04%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 01:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 17:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 17:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 17:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 23:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.84%E -4.51%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 22:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.84%E -4.51%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 22:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.96%E -5.86%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-04 22:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 2.1% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 2.1% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 01:39 |