Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners v Detroit Tigers

Início: 2026-08-05 01:41 UTC

Final: Seattle Mariners 0–8 Detroit Tigers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Previsão 52.97%1.89odd justa
EV -0.955%
Vantagem -0.511%
Kelly -1.10%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.87

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.59%52.94%53.15%54.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.701.801.801.8758.82%55.71%55.56%53.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Detroit Tigers (Visitante)

Previsão 47.03%2.13odd justa
EV -0.286%
Vantagem -0.135%
Kelly -0.256%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.69%47.06%46.85%48.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.952.042.052.1251.28%48.96%48.78%47.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Seattle Mariners (Local): 52.97%; Detroit Tigers (Visitante): 47.03%. Para Detroit Tigers (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.13. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.12, com valor esperado de -0.286%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -0.955%E -0.511%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -3.11%E -1.51%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-05 01:40
GTbets🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.01%E -1.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.17%E -1.04%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-05 01:09
BetUS🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.01%E -1.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.17%E -1.04%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-05 01:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.01%E -1.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.64%E -1.27%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-05 01:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.01%E -1.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.64%E -1.27%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-05 01:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.01%E -1.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 01:40
Caesars🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.54%E -1.38%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.17%E -1.04%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-05 00:24
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.23%E -0.584%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 16:20
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.23%E -0.584%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-05 01:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.23%E -0.584%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 16:49
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.64%E -1.27%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 22:29
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-05 01:34
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 01:34
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 01:35
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.28%E -4.25%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 22:34
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.28%E -4.25%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 01:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.60%E -1.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.05%E -1.98%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-05 01:40
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.60%E -1.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.99%E -2.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 01:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.60%E -1.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.87%E -3.47%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 01:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 16:50
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 01:35
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 16:44
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 16:45
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 16:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 01:24
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.99%E -2.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:05
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.99%E -2.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 16:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.99%E -2.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 16:45
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 17:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -7.34%E -3.73%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 22:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.81%E -3.99%K -8.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 01:40
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.28%E -4.25%K -8.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 01:28
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.28%E -4.25%K -8.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 01:28
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -5.19%E -2.90%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -0.286%E -0.135%K -0.256%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 22:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -5.19%E -2.90%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -0.286%E -0.135%K -0.256%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 22:15
DraftKings🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.10%EV -5.19%E -2.90%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.90%EV -0.757%E -0.359%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-05 01:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.19%E -2.90%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 01:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -5.72%E -3.21%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -1.23%E -0.584%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-04 22:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -5.72%E -3.21%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -1.23%E -0.584%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-04 22:14
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.72%E -3.21%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 16:20
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.72%E -3.21%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 17:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.72%E -3.21%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.05%E -1.98%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 01:20
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.72%E -3.21%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -4.52%E -2.23%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 16:43
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.72%E -3.21%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -4.52%E -2.23%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 16:45
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -6.25%E -3.53%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.17%E -1.04%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 22:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -6.25%E -3.53%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.17%E -1.04%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 22:15
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -6.25%E -3.53%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.17%E -1.04%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 22:14
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -6.25%E -3.53%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.17%E -1.04%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 22:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -6.25%E -3.53%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.17%E -1.04%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 22:14
Bally Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -6.25%E -3.53%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.17%E -1.04%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 22:19
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.78%E -3.85%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -2.64%E -1.27%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.78%E -3.85%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 16:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -6.78%E -3.85%K -8.92%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -7.81%E -3.99%K -8.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-05 01:34
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.17%E -1.04%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 01:34
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 17:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 17:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 17:14
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 23:14
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 01:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.84%E -4.51%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 22:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.84%E -4.51%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 22:14
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.96%E -5.86%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-04 22:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-08-05 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-08-05 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-08-05 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-08-05 01:40
Novig◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98%0.9%2026-08-05 01:40
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-05 01:40
Matchbook◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-05 01:40
Polymarket◎1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-08-05 01:40
Smarkets◎1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-08-05 01:40
BetOpenly◎1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%4.4%2026-08-05 01:39