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Seattle Mariners v Cleveland Guardians
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Seattle Mariners (Local)
Prediction 60.86%1.64fair odd
EV -1.41%
Edge -0.869%
Kelly -2.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.44%60.59%60.92%61.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.571.571.6267.11%63.52%63.69%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cleveland Guardians (Visit)
Prediction 39.14%2.55fair odd
EV -0.192%
Edge -0.075%
Kelly -0.124%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.41%39.41%39.08%41.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.422.442.5544.44%41.36%41.07%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Mariners (Local): 60.86%; Cleveland Guardians (Visit): 39.14%. For Cleveland Guardians (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.555. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.550, with an expected value of -0.192%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.41%E -0.869%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.98%E -4.34%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 01:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -2.02%E -1.25%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -1.76%E -0.700%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-03-27 23:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -2.02%E -1.25%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -1.76%E -0.700%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-03-28 01:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.02%E -1.25%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.98%E -4.34%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-28 01:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.62%E -1.64%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.06%E -2.53%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-28 00:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.62%E -1.64%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.06%E -2.53%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-28 00:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.62%E -1.64%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.06%E -2.53%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-28 00:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.62%E -1.64%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.06%E -2.53%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-28 00:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.62%E -1.64%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.06%E -2.53%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-27 20:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.62%E -1.64%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.85%E -2.88%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-28 00:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.62%E -1.64%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.85%E -2.88%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-28 00:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.62%E -1.64%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.85%E -2.88%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-28 00:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.62%E -1.64%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.85%E -2.88%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-28 00:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.62%E -1.64%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.85%E -2.88%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-28 00:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.62%E -1.64%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.85%E -2.88%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-28 00:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.62%E -1.64%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.85%E -2.88%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-28 00:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.62%E -1.64%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.93%E -5.30%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-28 01:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.62%E -1.64%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.93%E -5.30%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-28 01:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -3.23%E -2.03%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -0.192%E -0.075%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-03-27 23:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -3.23%E -2.03%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -0.583%E -0.230%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-03-27 23:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -3.23%E -2.03%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -0.583%E -0.230%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-03-27 23:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.23%E -2.03%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.15%E -0.859%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-28 01:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.84%E -2.43%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.11%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-28 01:43 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.84%E -2.43%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.06%E -2.53%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 21:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -3.84%E -2.43%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -7.24%E -3.05%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-28 01:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -3.84%E -2.43%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -7.24%E -3.05%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-28 01:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.45%E -2.83%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.15%E -0.859%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-28 01:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -4.45%E -2.83%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -2.54%E -1.02%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-28 01:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.45%E -2.83%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -3.71%E -1.51%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-28 01:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.45%E -2.83%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.11%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-27 22:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.45%E -2.83%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.11%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-26 18:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.45%E -2.83%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.11%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-28 01:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.45%E -2.83%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.11%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-27 09:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.45%E -2.83%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.11%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-27 09:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.45%E -2.83%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.11%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-27 09:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.45%E -2.83%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.11%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-27 09:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.45%E -2.83%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.11%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-27 09:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -4.45%E -2.83%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -4.50%E -1.84%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-28 01:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -4.45%E -2.83%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -4.50%E -1.84%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-28 01:13 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.45%E -2.83%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.06%E -2.53%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-26 23:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.45%E -2.83%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.85%E -2.88%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-26 18:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.45%E -2.83%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.85%E -2.88%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-28 00:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.45%E -2.83%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.85%E -2.88%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-28 00:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.06%E -3.24%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.15%E -0.859%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 23:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.06%E -3.24%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.15%E -0.859%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-28 00:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.06%E -3.24%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.11%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-27 13:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.06%E -3.24%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.11%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-28 00:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.06%E -3.24%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.11%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-27 13:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.06%E -3.24%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.89%E -2.01%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 23:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.67%E -3.66%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -3.71%E -1.51%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 01:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.67%E -3.66%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.06%E -2.53%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-28 01:43 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.88%E -4.50%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.11%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 13:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.88%E -4.50%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.11%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 13:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.88%E -4.50%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.11%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 13:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.88%E -4.50%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.06%E -2.53%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-28 01:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.88%E -4.50%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.85%E -2.88%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-27 23:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.16%EV -9.32%E -6.25%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -11.93%E -5.30%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-28 01:44 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.16%EV -9.32%E -6.25%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -11.93%E -5.30%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-28 01:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39% | 0.2% | 2026-03-28 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-03-28 01:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-03-28 01:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 0.8% | 2026-03-28 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94% | 1.1% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-03-27 23:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-03-27 22:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80% | 1.5% | 2026-03-28 01:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69% | 2.6% | 2026-03-28 01:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97% | 3.1% | 2026-03-28 01:45 |