L’École des cotes

Seattle Mariners v Cleveland Guardians

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-28 01:46 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Prévision 60.86%1.64cote équitable
EV -1.41%
Avantage -0.869%
Kelly -2.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.44%60.59%60.92%61.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.491.571.571.6267.11%63.52%63.69%61.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cleveland Guardians (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.14%2.55cote équitable
EV -0.192%
Avantage -0.075%
Kelly -0.124%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.41%39.41%39.08%41.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.422.442.5544.44%41.36%41.07%39.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.41%E -0.869%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.98%E -4.34%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:45
1xBet1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -2.02%E -1.25%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -1.76%E -0.700%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-27 23:25
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -2.02%E -1.25%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -1.76%E -0.700%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-28 01:20
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.02%E -1.25%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.98%E -4.34%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-28 01:45
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.62%E -1.64%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.06%E -2.53%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-28 00:35
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.62%E -1.64%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.06%E -2.53%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-28 00:35
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.62%E -1.64%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.06%E -2.53%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-28 00:35
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.62%E -1.64%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.06%E -2.53%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-28 00:35
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.62%E -1.64%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.06%E -2.53%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 20:40
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.62%E -1.64%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.85%E -2.88%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 00:35
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.62%E -1.64%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.85%E -2.88%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 00:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.62%E -1.64%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.85%E -2.88%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 00:35
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.62%E -1.64%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.85%E -2.88%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 00:35
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.62%E -1.64%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.85%E -2.88%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 00:35
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.62%E -1.64%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.85%E -2.88%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 00:35
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.62%E -1.64%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.85%E -2.88%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 00:35
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.62%E -1.64%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.93%E -5.30%K -9.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-28 01:40
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.62%E -1.64%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.93%E -5.30%K -9.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-28 01:45
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -3.23%E -2.03%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -0.192%E -0.075%K -0.124%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-27 23:55
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -3.23%E -2.03%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -0.583%E -0.230%K -0.379%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-27 23:55
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -3.23%E -2.03%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -0.583%E -0.230%K -0.379%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-27 23:55
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.23%E -2.03%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.15%E -0.859%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-28 01:35
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.84%E -2.43%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.11%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-28 01:43
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.84%E -2.43%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.06%E -2.53%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 21:15
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -3.84%E -2.43%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -7.24%E -3.05%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-28 01:15
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -3.84%E -2.43%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -7.24%E -3.05%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-28 01:15
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.45%E -2.83%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.15%E -0.859%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-28 01:15
MyBookie.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -4.45%E -2.83%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -2.54%E -1.02%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-28 01:14
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.45%E -2.83%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -3.71%E -1.51%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 01:40
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.45%E -2.83%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.11%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 22:30
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.45%E -2.83%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.11%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 18:09
ReBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.45%E -2.83%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.11%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 01:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.45%E -2.83%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.11%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 09:44
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.45%E -2.83%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.11%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 09:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.45%E -2.83%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.11%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 09:44
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.45%E -2.83%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.11%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 09:44
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.45%E -2.83%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.11%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 09:44
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -4.45%E -2.83%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -4.50%E -1.84%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 01:45
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -4.45%E -2.83%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -4.50%E -1.84%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 01:13
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.45%E -2.83%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.06%E -2.53%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 23:29
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.45%E -2.83%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.85%E -2.88%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-26 18:45
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.45%E -2.83%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.85%E -2.88%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-28 00:35
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.45%E -2.83%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.85%E -2.88%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-28 00:35
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.06%E -3.24%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.15%E -0.859%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 23:55
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.06%E -3.24%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.15%E -0.859%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-28 00:45
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.06%E -3.24%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.11%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 13:15
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.06%E -3.24%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.11%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-28 00:55
Coolbet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.06%E -3.24%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.11%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 13:14
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.06%E -3.24%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.89%E -2.01%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:25
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.67%E -3.66%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -3.71%E -1.51%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:40
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.67%E -3.66%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.06%E -2.53%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-28 01:43
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.88%E -4.50%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.11%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 13:14
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.88%E -4.50%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.11%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 13:15
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.88%E -4.50%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.11%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 13:15
Dabble (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.88%E -4.50%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.06%E -2.53%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-28 01:15
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.88%E -4.50%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.85%E -2.88%K -4.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-27 23:20
Unibet (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 60.16%EV -9.32%E -6.25%K -19.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -11.93%E -5.30%K -9.55%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-28 01:44
Parions Sport (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 60.16%EV -9.32%E -6.25%K -19.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -11.93%E -5.30%K -9.55%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-28 01:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%0.2%2026-03-28 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-03-28 01:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-03-28 01:45
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-03-28 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.1%2026-03-28 01:10
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-03-27 23:05
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-03-27 22:20
ProphetX1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%1.5%2026-03-28 01:45
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69%2.6%2026-03-28 01:45
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%3.1%2026-03-28 01:45