Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners v Cleveland Guardians

Início: 2026-03-28 01:46 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Previsão 60.86%1.64odd justa
EV -1.41%
Vantagem -0.869%
Kelly -2.27%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.62

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.44%60.59%60.92%61.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.491.571.571.6267.11%63.52%63.69%61.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Previsão 39.14%2.55odd justa
EV -0.192%
Vantagem -0.075%
Kelly -0.124%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.41%39.41%39.08%41.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.422.442.5544.44%41.36%41.07%39.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Seattle Mariners (Local): 60.86%; Cleveland Guardians (Visitante): 39.14%. Para Cleveland Guardians (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.555. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.550, com valor esperado de -0.192%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.41%E -0.869%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.98%E -4.34%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:45
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -2.02%E -1.25%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -1.76%E -0.700%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-27 23:25
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -2.02%E -1.25%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -1.76%E -0.700%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-28 01:20
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.02%E -1.25%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.98%E -4.34%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-28 01:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.62%E -1.64%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.06%E -2.53%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-28 00:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.62%E -1.64%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.06%E -2.53%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-28 00:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.62%E -1.64%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.06%E -2.53%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-28 00:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.62%E -1.64%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.06%E -2.53%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-28 00:35
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.62%E -1.64%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.06%E -2.53%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 20:40
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.62%E -1.64%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.85%E -2.88%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 00:35
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.62%E -1.64%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.85%E -2.88%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 00:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.62%E -1.64%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.85%E -2.88%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 00:35
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.62%E -1.64%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.85%E -2.88%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 00:35
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.62%E -1.64%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.85%E -2.88%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 00:35
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.62%E -1.64%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.85%E -2.88%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 00:35
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.62%E -1.64%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.85%E -2.88%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 00:35
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.62%E -1.64%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.93%E -5.30%K -9.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-28 01:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.62%E -1.64%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.93%E -5.30%K -9.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-28 01:45
GTbets🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -3.23%E -2.03%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -0.192%E -0.075%K -0.124%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-27 23:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -3.23%E -2.03%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -0.583%E -0.230%K -0.379%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-27 23:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -3.23%E -2.03%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -0.583%E -0.230%K -0.379%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-27 23:55
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.23%E -2.03%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.15%E -0.859%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-28 01:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.84%E -2.43%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.11%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-28 01:43
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.84%E -2.43%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.06%E -2.53%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 21:15
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -3.84%E -2.43%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -7.24%E -3.05%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-28 01:15
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -3.84%E -2.43%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -7.24%E -3.05%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-28 01:15
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.45%E -2.83%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.15%E -0.859%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-28 01:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -4.45%E -2.83%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -2.54%E -1.02%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-28 01:14
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.45%E -2.83%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -3.71%E -1.51%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 01:40
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.45%E -2.83%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.11%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 22:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.45%E -2.83%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.11%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 18:09
ReBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.45%E -2.83%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.11%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 01:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.45%E -2.83%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.11%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 09:44
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.45%E -2.83%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.11%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 09:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.45%E -2.83%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.11%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 09:44
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.45%E -2.83%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.11%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 09:44
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.45%E -2.83%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.11%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 09:44
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -4.45%E -2.83%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -4.50%E -1.84%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 01:45
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -4.45%E -2.83%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -4.50%E -1.84%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 01:13
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.45%E -2.83%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.06%E -2.53%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 23:29
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.45%E -2.83%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.85%E -2.88%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-26 18:45
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.45%E -2.83%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.85%E -2.88%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-28 00:35
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.45%E -2.83%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.85%E -2.88%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-28 00:35
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.06%E -3.24%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.15%E -0.859%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 23:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.06%E -3.24%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.15%E -0.859%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-28 00:45
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.06%E -3.24%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.11%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 13:15
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.06%E -3.24%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.11%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-28 00:55
Coolbet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.06%E -3.24%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.11%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 13:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.06%E -3.24%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.89%E -2.01%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:25
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.67%E -3.66%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -3.71%E -1.51%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.67%E -3.66%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.06%E -2.53%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-28 01:43
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.88%E -4.50%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.11%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 13:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.88%E -4.50%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.11%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 13:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.88%E -4.50%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.11%E -1.68%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 13:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.88%E -4.50%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.06%E -2.53%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-28 01:15
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.88%E -4.50%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.85%E -2.88%K -4.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-27 23:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.16%EV -9.32%E -6.25%K -19.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -11.93%E -5.30%K -9.55%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-28 01:44
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.16%EV -9.32%E -6.25%K -19.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -11.93%E -5.30%K -9.55%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-28 01:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%0.2%2026-03-28 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-03-28 01:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-03-28 01:45
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-03-28 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.1%2026-03-28 01:10
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-03-27 23:05
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-03-27 22:20
ProphetX1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%1.5%2026-03-28 01:45
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69%2.6%2026-03-28 01:45
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%3.1%2026-03-28 01:45