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Seattle Mariners v Cleveland Guardians
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Seattle Mariners (Local)
Prediction 62.09%1.61fair odd
EV -1.28%
Edge -0.808%
Kelly -2.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.61%62.03%62.10%63.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.461.531.531.5968.49%65.15%65.36%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cleveland Guardians (Visit)
Prediction 37.91%2.64fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -0.547%
Kelly -0.889%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.67%37.97%37.90%39.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.522.552.6043.48%39.70%39.22%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Mariners (Local): 62.09%; Cleveland Guardians (Visit): 37.91%. For Seattle Mariners (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.61. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.59, with an expected value of -1.28%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -1.28%E -0.808%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -2.94%E -1.15%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-03-26 23:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.93%EV -1.91%E -1.21%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 38.07%EV -2.56%E -0.996%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-03-26 23:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -1.91%E -1.21%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-26 23:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -1.91%E -1.21%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-26 23:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -1.91%E -1.21%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -4.45%E -1.77%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-26 23:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%EV -1.42%E -0.547%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-03-27 01:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -2.56%E -0.996%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-27 00:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-26 23:34 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -4.45%E -1.77%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-27 01:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-25 16:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-26 23:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 02:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 02:03 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-25 16:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-27 02:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-27 02:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-26 23:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-26 23:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-26 23:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-26 23:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -4.08%E -1.61%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-27 02:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-26 23:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.97%E -2.41%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-26 15:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-27 02:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-27 02:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.18%E -0.845%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-26 01:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 02:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-26 15:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 01:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-26 23:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-26 23:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-26 23:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-26 23:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-26 23:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-26 23:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-26 23:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.45%E -1.77%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 00:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-25 16:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-25 16:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-25 16:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-25 16:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-26 23:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-26 23:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-26 23:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-26 23:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-26 20:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-26 23:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-26 23:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-26 23:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.63%E -3.70%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.42%E -0.547%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 02:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -5.63%E -3.70%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -2.18%E -0.845%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-27 02:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.63%E -3.70%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 01:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -6.25%E -4.14%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -2.56%E -0.996%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 02:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -6.25%E -4.14%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -2.94%E -1.15%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-26 14:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -1.80%E -0.695%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 02:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-26 23:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-26 23:45 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -8.11%E -5.48%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-27 02:09 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.17%EV -9.36%E -6.41%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -12.80%E -5.56%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-27 02:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.17%EV -9.36%E -6.41%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -12.80%E -5.56%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-27 02:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.74% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.26% | -0.1% | 2026-03-27 02:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 0.5% | 2026-03-27 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 0.5% | 2026-03-27 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 0.5% | 2026-03-27 02:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 0.6% | 2026-03-27 02:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94% | 1.0% | 2026-03-27 02:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-03-27 02:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23% | 2.1% | 2026-03-27 02:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01% | 2.8% | 2026-03-27 02:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.05% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.95% | 5.7% | 2026-03-27 02:10 |