L’École des cotes

Seattle Mariners v Cleveland Guardians

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-27 02:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Prévision 62.09%1.61cote équitable
EV -1.28%
Avantage -0.808%
Kelly -2.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.61%62.03%62.10%63.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.461.531.531.5968.49%65.15%65.36%62.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cleveland Guardians (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.91%2.64cote équitable
EV -1.42%
Avantage -0.547%
Kelly -0.889%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.67%37.97%37.90%39.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.522.552.6043.48%39.70%39.22%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -1.28%E -0.808%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -2.94%E -1.15%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-26 23:39
GTbets1.58I 63.29%NM 61.93%EV -1.91%E -1.21%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 38.07%EV -2.56%E -0.996%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-26 23:29
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -1.91%E -1.21%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-26 23:30
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -1.91%E -1.21%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-26 23:30
BetUS1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -1.91%E -1.21%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -4.45%E -1.77%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-26 23:30
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%EV -1.42%E -0.547%K -0.889%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-27 01:45
BetAnything1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -2.56%E -0.996%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-27 00:39
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-26 23:34
MyBookie.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -4.45%E -1.77%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-27 01:49
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-25 16:00
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 23:29
Betway1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 02:10
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 02:03
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-25 16:05
ReBet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 02:09
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 02:09
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 23:14
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 23:14
Unibet (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 23:15
Unibet (NL)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 23:15
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -4.08%E -1.61%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 02:10
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-26 23:54
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.97%E -2.41%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 15:29
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-27 02:10
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-27 02:10
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.18%E -0.845%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 01:25
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 02:10
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 15:04
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 01:55
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:15
Bally Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:14
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:15
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:14
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:14
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:15
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.45%E -1.77%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 00:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-25 16:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-25 16:04
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-25 16:05
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-25 16:04
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 23:29
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 23:29
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 23:30
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 23:29
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 20:44
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 23:14
TABtouch1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 23:15
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 23:29
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.63%E -3.70%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.42%E -0.547%K -0.889%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 02:09
Bovada1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -5.63%E -3.70%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -2.18%E -0.845%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 02:09
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.63%E -3.70%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 01:55
Betsson1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -6.25%E -4.14%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -2.56%E -0.996%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 02:09
SportsBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -6.25%E -4.14%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -2.94%E -1.15%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 14:15
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -1.80%E -0.695%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 02:09
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-26 23:35
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-26 23:45
Dabble (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -8.11%E -5.48%K -16.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-27 02:09
Parions Sport (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 61.17%EV -9.36%E -6.41%K -20.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -12.80%E -5.56%K -9.84%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-27 02:09
Unibet (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 61.17%EV -9.36%E -6.41%K -20.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -12.80%E -5.56%K -9.84%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-27 02:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.57I 63.69%NM 63.74%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.26%-0.1%2026-03-27 02:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-03-27 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-03-27 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-03-27 02:10
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-03-27 02:10
ProphetX1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.0%2026-03-27 02:10
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-03-27 02:10
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%2.1%2026-03-27 02:00
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%2.8%2026-03-27 02:10
Novig1.50I 66.67%NM 63.05%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.95%5.7%2026-03-27 02:10