Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Seattle Mariners v Cleveland Guardians

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-27 02:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Prévision 62.09%1.61cote équitable
EV -1.28%
Avantage -0.808%
Kelly -2.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.61%62.03%62.10%63.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.461.531.531.5968.49%65.15%65.36%62.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.91%2.64cote équitable
EV -1.42%
Avantage -0.547%
Kelly -0.889%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.67%37.97%37.90%39.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.522.552.6043.48%39.70%39.22%38.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Seattle Mariners (Local) : 62.09% ; Cleveland Guardians (Visiteur) : 37.91%. Pour Seattle Mariners (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.61. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 1.59, pour une espérance de -1.28% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -1.28%E -0.808%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -2.94%E -1.15%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-26 23:39
GTbets🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.93%EV -1.91%E -1.21%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 38.07%EV -2.56%E -0.996%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-26 23:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -1.91%E -1.21%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-26 23:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -1.91%E -1.21%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-26 23:30
BetUS🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -1.91%E -1.21%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -4.45%E -1.77%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-26 23:30
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%EV -1.42%E -0.547%K -0.889%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-27 01:45
BetAnything🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -2.56%E -0.996%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-27 00:39
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-26 23:34
MyBookie.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -4.45%E -1.77%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-27 01:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-25 16:00
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 23:29
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 02:10
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 02:03
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-25 16:05
ReBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 02:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 02:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 23:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 23:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 23:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 23:15
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -4.08%E -1.61%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 02:10
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-26 23:54
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.97%E -2.41%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 15:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-27 02:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-27 02:10
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.18%E -0.845%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 01:25
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 02:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 15:04
Fliff🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 01:55
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:15
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:14
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:15
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:14
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:14
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:15
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.45%E -1.77%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 00:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-25 16:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-25 16:04
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-25 16:05
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-25 16:04
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 23:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 23:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 23:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 23:29
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 20:44
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 23:14
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 23:15
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 23:29
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.63%E -3.70%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.42%E -0.547%K -0.889%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 02:09
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -5.63%E -3.70%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -2.18%E -0.845%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 02:09
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.63%E -3.70%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 01:55
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -6.25%E -4.14%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -2.56%E -0.996%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 02:09
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -6.25%E -4.14%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -2.94%E -1.15%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 14:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -1.80%E -0.695%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 02:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-26 23:35
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-26 23:45
Dabble (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -8.11%E -5.48%K -16.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-27 02:09
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.17%EV -9.36%E -6.41%K -20.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -12.80%E -5.56%K -9.84%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-27 02:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.17%EV -9.36%E -6.41%K -20.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -12.80%E -5.56%K -9.84%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-27 02:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.57I 63.69%NM 63.74%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.26%-0.1%2026-03-27 02:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-03-27 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-03-27 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-03-27 02:10
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-03-27 02:10
ProphetX1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.0%2026-03-27 02:10
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-03-27 02:10
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%2.1%2026-03-27 02:00
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%2.8%2026-03-27 02:10
Novig1.50I 66.67%NM 63.05%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.95%5.7%2026-03-27 02:10