La escuela de los momios

Seattle Mariners v Cleveland Guardians

Inicio: 2026-03-27 02:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Predicción 62.09%1.61momio equitativo
EV -1.28%
Ventaja -0.808%
Kelly -2.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.59

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.61%62.03%62.10%63.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.461.531.531.5968.49%65.15%65.36%62.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Predicción 37.91%2.64momio equitativo
EV -1.42%
Ventaja -0.547%
Kelly -0.889%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.67%37.97%37.90%39.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.522.552.6043.48%39.70%39.22%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -1.28%E -0.808%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -2.94%E -1.15%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-26 23:39
GTbets1.58I 63.29%NM 61.93%EV -1.91%E -1.21%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 38.07%EV -2.56%E -0.996%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-26 23:29
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -1.91%E -1.21%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-26 23:30
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -1.91%E -1.21%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-26 23:30
BetUS1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -1.91%E -1.21%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -4.45%E -1.77%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-26 23:30
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%EV -1.42%E -0.547%K -0.889%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-27 01:45
BetAnything1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -2.56%E -0.996%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-27 00:39
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-26 23:34
MyBookie.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -4.45%E -1.77%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-27 01:49
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-25 16:00
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 23:29
Betway1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 02:10
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 02:03
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-25 16:05
ReBet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 02:09
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 02:09
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 23:14
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 23:14
Unibet (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 23:15
Unibet (NL)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 23:15
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -4.08%E -1.61%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 02:10
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-26 23:54
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.97%E -2.41%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 15:29
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-27 02:10
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-27 02:10
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.18%E -0.845%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 01:25
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 02:10
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 15:04
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 01:55
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:15
Bally Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:14
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:15
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:14
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:14
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:15
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.45%E -1.77%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 00:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-25 16:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-25 16:04
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-25 16:05
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-25 16:04
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 23:29
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 23:29
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 23:30
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 23:29
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 20:44
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 23:14
TABtouch1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 23:15
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 23:29
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.63%E -3.70%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.42%E -0.547%K -0.889%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 02:09
Bovada1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -5.63%E -3.70%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -2.18%E -0.845%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 02:09
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.63%E -3.70%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 01:55
Betsson1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -6.25%E -4.14%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -2.56%E -0.996%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 02:09
SportsBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -6.25%E -4.14%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -2.94%E -1.15%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 14:15
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -1.80%E -0.695%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 02:09
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-26 23:35
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-26 23:45
Dabble (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -8.11%E -5.48%K -16.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-27 02:09
Parions Sport (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 61.17%EV -9.36%E -6.41%K -20.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -12.80%E -5.56%K -9.84%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-27 02:09
Unibet (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 61.17%EV -9.36%E -6.41%K -20.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -12.80%E -5.56%K -9.84%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-27 02:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.57I 63.69%NM 63.74%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.26%-0.1%2026-03-27 02:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-03-27 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-03-27 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-03-27 02:10
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-03-27 02:10
ProphetX1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.0%2026-03-27 02:10
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-03-27 02:10
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%2.1%2026-03-27 02:00
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%2.8%2026-03-27 02:10
Novig1.50I 66.67%NM 63.05%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.95%5.7%2026-03-27 02:10