默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Seattle Mariners v Athletics

开赛时间: 2026-09-04 01:40 UTC

最终结果: Seattle Mariners 4–7 Athletics

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

66 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Seattle Mariners (主队)

预测 65.51%1.53公平赔率
EV -1.07%
优势 -0.710%
Kelly -2.10%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.51

博彩公司预测分布
63.88%65.57%65.48%68.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.341.441.451.5174.63%69.24%68.97%66.23%最小值均值中位数最大值

Athletics (客队)

预测 34.49%2.90公平赔率
EV +5.18%
优势 +1.70%
Kelly +2.53%
增长率 +0.131%

假设最高赔率为 3.05

博彩公司预测分布
31.15%34.43%34.52%36.12%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.602.822.803.0538.46%35.47%35.71%32.79%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Seattle Mariners (主队):65.51%;Athletics (客队):34.49%。 对于“Athletics (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.90。 当时有16家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.05,对应+5.18%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (66 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -8.28%E -5.91%K -20.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +5.18%E +1.70%K +2.53%G +0.131%4.2%2026-09-04 01:30
Casumo🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -8.28%E -5.91%K -20.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +5.18%E +1.70%K +2.53%G +0.131%4.2%2026-09-04 01:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -8.28%E -5.91%K -20.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +5.18%E +1.70%K +2.53%G +0.131%4.2%2026-09-04 01:30
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -8.28%E -5.91%K -20.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +5.18%E +1.70%K +2.53%G +0.131%4.2%2026-09-04 01:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -8.28%E -5.91%K -20.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +5.18%E +1.70%K +2.53%G +0.131%4.2%2026-09-04 01:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -8.28%E -5.91%K -20.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +5.18%E +1.70%K +2.53%G +0.131%4.2%2026-09-04 01:30
betPARX🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -8.28%E -5.91%K -20.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +5.18%E +1.70%K +2.53%G +0.131%4.2%2026-09-04 01:30
Bally Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -8.28%E -5.91%K -20.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +5.18%E +1.70%K +2.53%G +0.131%4.2%2026-09-04 01:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -8.28%E -5.91%K -20.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +5.18%E +1.70%K +2.53%G +0.131%4.2%2026-09-04 01:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -8.28%E -5.91%K -20.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +5.18%E +1.70%K +2.53%G +0.131%4.2%2026-09-04 01:30
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -9.59%E -6.95%K -25.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +5.18%E +1.70%K +2.53%G +0.131%5.3%2026-09-04 01:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -10.24%E -7.48%K -27.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV +3.46%E +1.15%K +1.73%G +0.060%6.3%2026-09-04 01:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -10.24%E -7.48%K -27.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV +3.46%E +1.15%K +1.73%G +0.060%6.3%2026-09-04 01:30
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -12.21%E -9.11%K -35.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV +1.73%E +0.587%K +0.888%G +0.015%8.5%2026-09-04 01:30
Pinnacle🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 66.21%EV -3.04%E -2.05%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.79%EV +0.007%E +0.002%K +0.004%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-04 01:35
theScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -4.35%E -2.98%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV +0.007%E +0.002%K +0.004%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-03 12:44
BetUS🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -3.69%E -2.51%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -1.37%E -0.480%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-04 01:05
BetAnything🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.69%E -2.51%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -1.72%E -0.603%K -0.928%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-03 20:30
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.66%E -3.93%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.72%E -0.603%K -0.928%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 23:04
Caesars🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -2.38%E -1.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49%EV -2.41%E -0.851%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-04 01:19
GTbets🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -2.38%E -1.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49%EV -2.41%E -0.851%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-04 01:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.43%EV -2.38%E -1.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.57%EV -2.75%E -0.976%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-04 01:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.43%EV -2.38%E -1.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.57%EV -2.75%E -0.976%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-04 01:05
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -1.07%E -0.710%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -3.10%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-03 16:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.81%EV -4.35%E -2.98%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.19%EV -3.10%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 23:40
Everygame🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.38%E -1.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -3.44%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-03 13:04
ReBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.35%E -2.98%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.44%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.00%E -3.45%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.44%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 23:05
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.00%E -3.45%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.44%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 01:35
TAB🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.00%E -3.45%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.44%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 01:35
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.00%E -3.45%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.44%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 22:14
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.00%E -3.45%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.44%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 12:40
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.00%E -3.45%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.44%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 23:05
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.66%E -3.93%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.44%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 14:39
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.66%E -3.93%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.44%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 12:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.66%E -3.93%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.44%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 12:40
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.00%E -3.45%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.13%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 13:05
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.66%E -3.93%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.13%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 01:35
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.66%E -3.93%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.13%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 01:35
DraftKings🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.35%E -2.98%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -4.48%E -1.62%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 01:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.04%E -2.05%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-03 12:10
Fanatics🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.69%E -2.51%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 01:20
Bet Right🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.35%E -2.98%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 19:54
888sport🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.00%E -3.45%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 12:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.00%E -3.45%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 13:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.00%E -3.45%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 12:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.00%E -3.45%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 12:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.00%E -3.45%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 23:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.66%E -3.93%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 01:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.66%E -3.93%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 23:05
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.66%E -3.93%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 14:40
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.66%E -3.93%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 12:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.97%E -4.91%K -16.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 01:00
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -2.38%E -1.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -6.20%E -2.28%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 00:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -4.35%E -2.98%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -6.20%E -2.28%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 16:50
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -3.69%E -2.51%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -6.55%E -2.42%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 00:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -1.73%E -1.15%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-04 00:39
Fliff🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.69%E -2.51%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 01:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.31%E -4.42%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 23:05
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.04%E -2.05%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.61%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 12:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.04%E -2.05%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.61%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 12:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -6.97%E -4.91%K -16.59%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.61%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 01:14
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.66%E -3.93%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.65%E -3.68%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 00:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -3.69%E -2.51%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 17:35
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.00%E -3.45%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 01:33
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.00%E -3.45%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 01:34
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly◎1.51I 66.23%NM 66.14%2.95I 33.90%NM 33.86%0.1%2026-09-04 01:30
ProphetX◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.52%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.48%0.2%2026-09-03 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-09-04 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-09-04 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-09-04 00:55
Novig◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-09-04 01:15
Matchbook◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-09-04 01:35
Kalshi◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-09-03 17:55
Polymarket◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-09-03 21:30
Smarkets◎1.46I 68.49%NM 66.82%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.18%2.5%2026-09-04 01:10