Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Seattle Mariners v Athletics

Начало: 2026-09-04 01:40 UTC

Итог: Seattle Mariners 4–7 Athletics

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

66 букмекерских контор (21 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Seattle Mariners (Хозяева)

Прогноз 65.51%1.53справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.07%
Преимущество -0.710%
Kelly -2.10%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.51

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
63.88%65.57%65.48%68.85%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.341.441.451.5174.63%69.24%68.97%66.23%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Athletics (Гости)

Прогноз 34.49%2.90справедливый коэффициент
EV +5.18%
Преимущество +1.70%
Kelly +2.53%
Рост +0.131%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.05

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
31.15%34.43%34.52%36.12%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.602.822.803.0538.46%35.47%35.71%32.79%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Seattle Mariners (Хозяева): 65.51%; Athletics (Гости): 34.49%. Для исхода «Athletics (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.90. 16 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.05, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +5.18%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (66 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼МаржаОбновлено
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -8.28%E -5.91%K -20.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +5.18%E +1.70%K +2.53%G +0.131%4.2%2026-09-04 01:30
Casumo🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -8.28%E -5.91%K -20.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +5.18%E +1.70%K +2.53%G +0.131%4.2%2026-09-04 01:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -8.28%E -5.91%K -20.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +5.18%E +1.70%K +2.53%G +0.131%4.2%2026-09-04 01:30
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -8.28%E -5.91%K -20.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +5.18%E +1.70%K +2.53%G +0.131%4.2%2026-09-04 01:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -8.28%E -5.91%K -20.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +5.18%E +1.70%K +2.53%G +0.131%4.2%2026-09-04 01:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -8.28%E -5.91%K -20.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +5.18%E +1.70%K +2.53%G +0.131%4.2%2026-09-04 01:30
betPARX🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -8.28%E -5.91%K -20.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +5.18%E +1.70%K +2.53%G +0.131%4.2%2026-09-04 01:30
Bally Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -8.28%E -5.91%K -20.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +5.18%E +1.70%K +2.53%G +0.131%4.2%2026-09-04 01:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -8.28%E -5.91%K -20.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +5.18%E +1.70%K +2.53%G +0.131%4.2%2026-09-04 01:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -8.28%E -5.91%K -20.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +5.18%E +1.70%K +2.53%G +0.131%4.2%2026-09-04 01:30
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -9.59%E -6.95%K -25.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +5.18%E +1.70%K +2.53%G +0.131%5.3%2026-09-04 01:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -10.24%E -7.48%K -27.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV +3.46%E +1.15%K +1.73%G +0.060%6.3%2026-09-04 01:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -10.24%E -7.48%K -27.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV +3.46%E +1.15%K +1.73%G +0.060%6.3%2026-09-04 01:30
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -12.21%E -9.11%K -35.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV +1.73%E +0.587%K +0.888%G +0.015%8.5%2026-09-04 01:30
Pinnacle🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 66.21%EV -3.04%E -2.05%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.79%EV +0.007%E +0.002%K +0.004%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-04 01:35
theScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -4.35%E -2.98%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV +0.007%E +0.002%K +0.004%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-03 12:44
BetUS🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -3.69%E -2.51%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -1.37%E -0.480%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-04 01:05
BetAnything🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.69%E -2.51%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -1.72%E -0.603%K -0.928%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-03 20:30
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.66%E -3.93%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.72%E -0.603%K -0.928%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 23:04
Caesars🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -2.38%E -1.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49%EV -2.41%E -0.851%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-04 01:19
GTbets🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -2.38%E -1.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49%EV -2.41%E -0.851%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-04 01:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.43%EV -2.38%E -1.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.57%EV -2.75%E -0.976%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-04 01:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.43%EV -2.38%E -1.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.57%EV -2.75%E -0.976%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-04 01:05
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -1.07%E -0.710%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -3.10%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-03 16:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.81%EV -4.35%E -2.98%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.19%EV -3.10%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 23:40
Everygame🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.38%E -1.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -3.44%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-03 13:04
ReBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.35%E -2.98%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.44%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.00%E -3.45%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.44%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 23:05
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.00%E -3.45%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.44%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 01:35
TAB🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.00%E -3.45%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.44%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 01:35
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.00%E -3.45%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.44%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 22:14
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.00%E -3.45%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.44%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 12:40
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.00%E -3.45%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.44%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 23:05
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.66%E -3.93%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.44%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 14:39
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.66%E -3.93%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.44%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 12:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.66%E -3.93%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.44%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 12:40
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.00%E -3.45%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.13%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 13:05
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.66%E -3.93%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.13%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 01:35
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.66%E -3.93%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.13%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 01:35
DraftKings🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.35%E -2.98%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -4.48%E -1.62%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 01:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.04%E -2.05%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-03 12:10
Fanatics🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.69%E -2.51%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 01:20
Bet Right🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.35%E -2.98%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 19:54
888sport🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.00%E -3.45%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 12:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.00%E -3.45%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 13:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.00%E -3.45%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 12:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.00%E -3.45%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 12:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.00%E -3.45%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 23:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.66%E -3.93%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 01:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.66%E -3.93%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 23:05
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.66%E -3.93%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 14:40
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.66%E -3.93%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 12:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.97%E -4.91%K -16.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 01:00
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -2.38%E -1.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -6.20%E -2.28%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 00:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -4.35%E -2.98%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -6.20%E -2.28%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 16:50
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -3.69%E -2.51%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -6.55%E -2.42%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 00:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -1.73%E -1.15%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-04 00:39
Fliff🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.69%E -2.51%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 01:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.31%E -4.42%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 23:05
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.04%E -2.05%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.61%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 12:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.04%E -2.05%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.61%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 12:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -6.97%E -4.91%K -16.59%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.61%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 01:14
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.66%E -3.93%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.65%E -3.68%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 00:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -3.69%E -2.51%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 17:35
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.00%E -3.45%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 01:33
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.00%E -3.45%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 01:34
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (10)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
BetOpenly◎1.51I 66.23%NM 66.14%2.95I 33.90%NM 33.86%0.1%2026-09-04 01:30
ProphetX◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.52%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.48%0.2%2026-09-03 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-09-04 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-09-04 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-09-04 00:55
Novig◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-09-04 01:15
Matchbook◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-09-04 01:35
Kalshi◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-09-03 17:55
Polymarket◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-09-03 21:30
Smarkets◎1.46I 68.49%NM 66.82%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.18%2.5%2026-09-04 01:10