Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Seattle Mariners v Athletics

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-04 01:40 UTC

Score final : Seattle Mariners 4–7 Athletics

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

66 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Prévision 65.51%1.53cote équitable
EV -1.07%
Avantage -0.710%
Kelly -2.10%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.88%65.57%65.48%68.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.341.441.451.5174.63%69.24%68.97%66.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Athletics (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.49%2.90cote équitable
EV +5.18%
Avantage +1.70%
Kelly +2.53%
Croissance +0.131%

avec la cote maximale 3.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.15%34.43%34.52%36.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.602.822.803.0538.46%35.47%35.71%32.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Seattle Mariners (Local) : 65.51% ; Athletics (Visiteur) : 34.49%. Pour Athletics (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.90. 16 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.05, soit une espérance positive de +5.18%.

Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -8.28%E -5.91%K -20.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +5.18%E +1.70%K +2.53%G +0.131%4.2%2026-09-04 01:30
Casumo🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -8.28%E -5.91%K -20.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +5.18%E +1.70%K +2.53%G +0.131%4.2%2026-09-04 01:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -8.28%E -5.91%K -20.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +5.18%E +1.70%K +2.53%G +0.131%4.2%2026-09-04 01:30
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -8.28%E -5.91%K -20.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +5.18%E +1.70%K +2.53%G +0.131%4.2%2026-09-04 01:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -8.28%E -5.91%K -20.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +5.18%E +1.70%K +2.53%G +0.131%4.2%2026-09-04 01:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -8.28%E -5.91%K -20.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +5.18%E +1.70%K +2.53%G +0.131%4.2%2026-09-04 01:30
betPARX🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -8.28%E -5.91%K -20.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +5.18%E +1.70%K +2.53%G +0.131%4.2%2026-09-04 01:30
Bally Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -8.28%E -5.91%K -20.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +5.18%E +1.70%K +2.53%G +0.131%4.2%2026-09-04 01:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -8.28%E -5.91%K -20.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +5.18%E +1.70%K +2.53%G +0.131%4.2%2026-09-04 01:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -8.28%E -5.91%K -20.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +5.18%E +1.70%K +2.53%G +0.131%4.2%2026-09-04 01:30
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -9.59%E -6.95%K -25.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +5.18%E +1.70%K +2.53%G +0.131%5.3%2026-09-04 01:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -10.24%E -7.48%K -27.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV +3.46%E +1.15%K +1.73%G +0.060%6.3%2026-09-04 01:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -10.24%E -7.48%K -27.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV +3.46%E +1.15%K +1.73%G +0.060%6.3%2026-09-04 01:30
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -12.21%E -9.11%K -35.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV +1.73%E +0.587%K +0.888%G +0.015%8.5%2026-09-04 01:30
Pinnacle🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 66.21%EV -3.04%E -2.05%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.79%EV +0.007%E +0.002%K +0.004%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-04 01:35
theScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -4.35%E -2.98%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV +0.007%E +0.002%K +0.004%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-03 12:44
BetUS🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -3.69%E -2.51%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -1.37%E -0.480%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-04 01:05
BetAnything🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.69%E -2.51%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -1.72%E -0.603%K -0.928%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-03 20:30
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.66%E -3.93%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.72%E -0.603%K -0.928%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 23:04
Caesars🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -2.38%E -1.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49%EV -2.41%E -0.851%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-04 01:19
GTbets🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -2.38%E -1.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49%EV -2.41%E -0.851%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-04 01:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.43%EV -2.38%E -1.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.57%EV -2.75%E -0.976%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-04 01:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.43%EV -2.38%E -1.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.57%EV -2.75%E -0.976%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-04 01:05
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -1.07%E -0.710%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -3.10%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-03 16:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.81%EV -4.35%E -2.98%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.19%EV -3.10%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 23:40
Everygame🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.38%E -1.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -3.44%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-03 13:04
ReBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.35%E -2.98%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.44%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.00%E -3.45%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.44%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 23:05
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.00%E -3.45%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.44%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 01:35
TAB🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.00%E -3.45%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.44%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 01:35
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.00%E -3.45%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.44%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 22:14
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.00%E -3.45%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.44%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 12:40
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.00%E -3.45%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.44%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 23:05
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.66%E -3.93%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.44%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 14:39
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.66%E -3.93%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.44%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 12:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.66%E -3.93%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.44%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 12:40
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.00%E -3.45%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.13%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 13:05
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.66%E -3.93%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.13%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 01:35
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.66%E -3.93%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.13%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 01:35
DraftKings🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.35%E -2.98%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -4.48%E -1.62%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 01:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.04%E -2.05%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-03 12:10
Fanatics🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.69%E -2.51%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 01:20
Bet Right🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.35%E -2.98%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 19:54
888sport🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.00%E -3.45%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 12:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.00%E -3.45%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 13:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.00%E -3.45%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 12:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.00%E -3.45%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 12:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.00%E -3.45%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 23:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.66%E -3.93%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 01:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.66%E -3.93%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 23:05
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.66%E -3.93%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 14:40
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.66%E -3.93%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 12:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.97%E -4.91%K -16.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 01:00
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -2.38%E -1.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -6.20%E -2.28%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 00:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -4.35%E -2.98%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -6.20%E -2.28%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 16:50
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -3.69%E -2.51%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -6.55%E -2.42%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 00:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -1.73%E -1.15%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-04 00:39
Fliff🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.69%E -2.51%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 01:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.31%E -4.42%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 23:05
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.04%E -2.05%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.61%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 12:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.04%E -2.05%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.61%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 12:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -6.97%E -4.91%K -16.59%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.61%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 01:14
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.66%E -3.93%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.65%E -3.68%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 00:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -3.69%E -2.51%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 17:35
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.00%E -3.45%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 01:33
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.00%E -3.45%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 01:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly◎1.51I 66.23%NM 66.14%2.95I 33.90%NM 33.86%0.1%2026-09-04 01:30
ProphetX◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.52%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.48%0.2%2026-09-03 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-09-04 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-09-04 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-09-04 00:55
Novig◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-09-04 01:15
Matchbook◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-09-04 01:35
Kalshi◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-09-03 17:55
Polymarket◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-09-03 21:30
Smarkets◎1.46I 68.49%NM 66.82%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.18%2.5%2026-09-04 01:10