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Seattle Mariners v Arizona Diamondbacks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Seattle Mariners (Local)
Prediction 56.81%1.76fair odd
EV +2.27%
Edge +1.26%
Kelly +2.83%
Growth +0.064%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.91%56.51%56.78%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.691.681.8061.73%59.26%59.52%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit)
Prediction 43.19%2.32fair odd
EV +0.623%
Edge +0.267%
Kelly +0.468%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 2.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.86%43.49%43.22%47.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.212.222.3350.00%45.19%45.05%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Mariners (Local): 56.81%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit): 43.19%. For Seattle Mariners (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.76. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.27%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV +2.27%E +1.26%K +2.83%G +0.064% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -10.61%E -5.12%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-31 20:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV +1.13%E +0.634%K +1.45%G +0.016% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -13.63%E -6.81%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 20:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -0.007%E -0.004%K -0.009%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -13.63%E -6.81%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-31 20:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -0.575%E -0.329%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -4.13%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -1.14%E -0.657%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-31 14:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -1.14%E -0.657%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -11.47%E -5.59%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-31 20:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.71%E -0.989%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -2.40%E -1.06%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-31 19:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.53%EV -1.71%E -0.989%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.47%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-31 17:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.85%E -1.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.40%E -1.06%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-31 20:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.85%E -1.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-31 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-31 20:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -4.56%E -2.06%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-31 18:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-31 18:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-31 14:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.98%E -2.36%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV +0.623%E +0.267%K +0.468%G +0.003% | 2.1% | 2026-05-31 20:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -3.98%E -2.36%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -0.673%E -0.292%K -0.517%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-31 20:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.98%E -2.36%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-31 14:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.98%E -2.36%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.13%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-31 20:08 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -3.98%E -2.36%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -4.56%E -2.06%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 20:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.98%E -2.36%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-31 20:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.98%E -2.36%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.85%E -2.69%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 18:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.98%E -2.36%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.15%E -3.33%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-31 19:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV +0.623%E +0.267%K +0.468%G +0.003% | 2.4% | 2026-05-31 20:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV +0.623%E +0.267%K +0.468%G +0.003% | 2.4% | 2026-05-31 20:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.70%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 20:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.70%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 19:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.70%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 19:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.70%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 20:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.70%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 20:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.70%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 19:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.70%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 19:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.70%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 19:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.70%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 20:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.70%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 20:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 20:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 15:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 19:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.85%E -2.69%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.85%E -2.69%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-31 20:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-31 20:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-31 20:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-31 20:08 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 15:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 14:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 15:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 14:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 19:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 20:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 20:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 20:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 15:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.15%E -3.33%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-31 18:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.15%E -3.33%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-31 19:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.69%E -3.43%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.13%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 20:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -1.54%E -0.674%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-31 20:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-31 20:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-31 20:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-31 20:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.96%E -4.91%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 20:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 57.49% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 42.51% | -1.2% | 2026-05-31 20:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-05-31 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 0.9% | 2026-05-31 20:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 0.9% | 2026-05-31 20:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 0.9% | 2026-05-31 20:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-05-31 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 1.3% | 2026-05-31 20:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11% | 2.2% | 2026-05-31 20:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86% | 2.3% | 2026-05-31 20:10 |