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Seattle Mariners v Arizona Diamondbacks
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Seattle Mariners (Local)
Predicción 56.81%1.76momio equitativo
EV +2.27%
Ventaja +1.26%
Kelly +2.83%
Crecimiento +0.064%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.91%56.51%56.78%58.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.621.691.681.8061.73%59.26%59.52%55.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante)
Predicción 43.19%2.32momio equitativo
EV +0.623%
Ventaja +0.267%
Kelly +0.468%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.86%43.49%43.22%47.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.212.222.3350.00%45.19%45.05%42.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Seattle Mariners (Local): 56.81%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante): 43.19%. Para Seattle Mariners (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.76. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.80, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.27%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV +2.27%E +1.26%K +2.83%G +0.064% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -10.61%E -5.12%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-31 20:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV +1.13%E +0.634%K +1.45%G +0.016% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -13.63%E -6.81%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 20:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -0.007%E -0.004%K -0.009%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -13.63%E -6.81%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-31 20:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -0.575%E -0.329%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -4.13%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -1.14%E -0.657%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-31 14:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -1.14%E -0.657%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -11.47%E -5.59%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-31 20:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.71%E -0.989%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -2.40%E -1.06%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-31 19:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.53%EV -1.71%E -0.989%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.47%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-31 17:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.85%E -1.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.40%E -1.06%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-31 20:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.85%E -1.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-31 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-31 20:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -4.56%E -2.06%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-31 18:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-31 18:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-31 14:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.98%E -2.36%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV +0.623%E +0.267%K +0.468%G +0.003% | 2.1% | 2026-05-31 20:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -3.98%E -2.36%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -0.673%E -0.292%K -0.517%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-31 20:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.98%E -2.36%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-31 14:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.98%E -2.36%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.13%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-31 20:08 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -3.98%E -2.36%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -4.56%E -2.06%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 20:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.98%E -2.36%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-31 20:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.98%E -2.36%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.85%E -2.69%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 18:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.98%E -2.36%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.15%E -3.33%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-31 19:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV +0.623%E +0.267%K +0.468%G +0.003% | 2.4% | 2026-05-31 20:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV +0.623%E +0.267%K +0.468%G +0.003% | 2.4% | 2026-05-31 20:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.70%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 20:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.70%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 19:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.70%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 19:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.70%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 20:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.70%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 20:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.70%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 19:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.70%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 19:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.70%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 19:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.70%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 20:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.70%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 20:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 20:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 15:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 19:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.85%E -2.69%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.85%E -2.69%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-31 20:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-31 20:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-31 20:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-31 20:08 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 15:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 14:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 15:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 14:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 19:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 20:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 20:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 20:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 15:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.15%E -3.33%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-31 18:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.15%E -3.33%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-31 19:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.69%E -3.43%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.13%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 20:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -1.54%E -0.674%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-31 20:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-31 20:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-31 20:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-31 20:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.96%E -4.91%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 20:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 57.49% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 42.51% | -1.2% | 2026-05-31 20:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-05-31 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 0.9% | 2026-05-31 20:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 0.9% | 2026-05-31 20:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 0.9% | 2026-05-31 20:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-05-31 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 1.3% | 2026-05-31 20:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11% | 2.2% | 2026-05-31 20:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86% | 2.3% | 2026-05-31 20:10 |