L’École des cotes

Seattle Mariners v Arizona Diamondbacks

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-31 20:11 UTC

Score final : Seattle Mariners 3–2 Arizona Diamondbacks

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Prévision 56.81%1.76cote équitable
EV +2.27%
Avantage +1.26%
Kelly +2.83%
Croissance +0.064%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.91%56.51%56.78%58.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.691.681.8061.73%59.26%59.52%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.19%2.32cote équitable
EV +0.623%
Avantage +0.267%
Kelly +0.468%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 2.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.86%43.49%43.22%47.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.212.222.3350.00%45.19%45.05%42.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV +2.27%E +1.26%K +2.83%G +0.064%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -10.61%E -5.12%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-31 20:10
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV +1.13%E +0.634%K +1.45%G +0.016%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -13.63%E -6.81%K -13.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 20:10
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -0.007%E -0.004%K -0.009%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -13.63%E -6.81%K -13.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 20:09
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -0.575%E -0.329%K -0.767%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -4.13%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-31 16:20
Everygame1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -1.14%E -0.657%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-31 14:50
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -1.14%E -0.657%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -11.47%E -5.59%K -10.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 20:10
Pinnacle1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.71%E -0.989%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -2.40%E -1.06%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-31 19:30
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 56.53%EV -1.71%E -0.989%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.47%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-31 17:10
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.85%E -1.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.40%E -1.06%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-31 20:09
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.85%E -1.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-31 17:00
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-31 20:00
MyBookie.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -4.56%E -2.06%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-31 18:49
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 18:50
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 14:49
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.98%E -2.36%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV +0.623%E +0.267%K +0.468%G +0.003%2.1%2026-05-31 20:09
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -3.98%E -2.36%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -0.673%E -0.292%K -0.517%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-31 20:09
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.98%E -2.36%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-31 14:50
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.98%E -2.36%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.13%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-31 20:08
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -3.98%E -2.36%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -4.56%E -2.06%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 20:09
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.98%E -2.36%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 20:09
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.98%E -2.36%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.85%E -2.69%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 18:50
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.98%E -2.36%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.15%E -3.33%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-31 19:50
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV +0.623%E +0.267%K +0.468%G +0.003%2.4%2026-05-31 20:10
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV +0.623%E +0.267%K +0.468%G +0.003%2.4%2026-05-31 20:10
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.70%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 20:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.70%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 19:59
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.70%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 19:59
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.70%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 20:00
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.70%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 20:00
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.70%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 19:59
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.70%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 19:59
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.70%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 19:59
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.70%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 20:00
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.70%E -1.66%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 20:00
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 20:09
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 16:20
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 15:00
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 19:30
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.85%E -2.69%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 17:20
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.85%E -2.69%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 17:20
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 20:10
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 20:09
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 20:08
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 15:00
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 14:59
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 15:00
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 14:59
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 19:59
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 20:00
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 20:00
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 20:00
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 15:29
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.15%E -3.33%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-31 18:50
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.15%E -3.33%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-31 19:59
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.69%E -3.43%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.13%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 20:09
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -1.54%E -0.674%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-31 20:10
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 20:10
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 20:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 20:10
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.96%E -4.91%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 20:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 57.49%2.38I 42.02%NM 42.51%-1.2%2026-05-31 20:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-05-31 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-05-31 20:00
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-05-31 20:10
ProphetX1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-05-31 20:10
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-05-31 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-05-31 20:00
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-05-31 20:10
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%2.3%2026-05-31 20:10