Language:English
San Francisco Giants v Pittsburgh Pirates
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
San Francisco Giants (Local)
Prediction 50.37%1.99fair odd
EV -0.270%
Edge -0.136%
Kelly -0.275%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.41%50.42%50.26%52.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.881.881.9855.25%53.07%53.19%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit)
Prediction 49.63%2.01fair odd
EV +1.74%
Edge +0.851%
Kelly +1.66%
Growth +0.029%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.70%49.58%49.74%51.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.931.932.0554.64%51.80%51.81%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Francisco Giants (Local): 50.37%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit): 49.63%. For Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.01. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.74%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV +1.74%E +0.851%K +1.66%G +0.029% | 2.3% | 2026-05-09 02:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV +1.25%E +0.612%K +1.20%G +0.015% | 2.5% | 2026-05-09 02:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV +1.25%E +0.612%K +1.20%G +0.015% | 2.5% | 2026-05-09 02:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -0.738%E -0.369%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-09 02:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -0.738%E -0.369%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-09 02:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -1.73%E -0.874%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 02:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -1.73%E -0.874%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 02:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -1.73%E -0.874%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 02:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -4.80%E -2.54%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -2.23%E -1.13%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-08 23:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -0.773%E -0.393%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -3.22%E -1.65%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-09 01:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.78%E -0.913%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.22%E -1.65%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-08 22:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.22%E -1.65%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-09 01:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.31%E -2.82%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.22%E -1.65%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-08 23:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.22%E -1.65%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 02:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.22%E -1.65%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 02:13 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.22%E -1.65%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 17:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.22%E -1.65%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 02:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -0.270%E -0.136%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -3.72%E -1.92%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-09 02:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.31%E -2.82%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.72%E -1.92%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 02:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.72%E -1.92%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 23:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.72%E -1.92%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 23:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.72%E -1.92%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 23:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -2.79%E -1.44%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-08 22:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.29%E -1.71%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-09 02:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 01:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 23:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 23:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 02:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 02:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 02:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.29%E -1.71%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 02:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 22:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.31%E -2.82%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 02:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.31%E -2.82%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 02:04 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.31%E -2.82%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 02:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -6.31%E -3.39%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 02:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 22:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 22:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 22:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 15:38 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 22:08 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.80%E -2.54%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 02:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.80%E -2.54%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 02:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.80%E -2.54%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 22:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -1.78%E -0.913%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-09 02:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 23:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.13%EV -4.80%E -2.54%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.87%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 22:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.31%E -2.82%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 02:03 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -7.32%E -3.98%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 02:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -7.82%E -4.28%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 02:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -7.82%E -4.28%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 02:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -7.82%E -4.28%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -6.20%E -3.28%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-09 02:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -7.82%E -4.28%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -6.20%E -3.28%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-09 02:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.95%EV -8.83%E -4.88%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -6.69%E -3.56%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 02:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.19%E -3.84%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 02:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -7.19%E -3.84%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.19%E -3.84%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 23:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -1.78%E -0.913%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -9.18%E -5.01%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 01:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.75% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 49.25% | 0.0% | 2026-05-09 02:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 02:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 02:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 02:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 02:14 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-05-08 23:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-05-08 14:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 02:04 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.13% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.87% | 1.3% | 2026-05-09 02:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74% | 2.6% | 2026-05-09 02:09 |