La escuela de los momios

San Francisco Giants v Pittsburgh Pirates

Inicio: 2026-05-09 02:16 UTC

Final: San Francisco Giants 5–2 Pittsburgh Pirates

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

San Francisco Giants (Local)

Predicción 50.37%1.99momio equitativo
EV -0.270%
Ventaja -0.136%
Kelly -0.275%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.98

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.41%50.42%50.26%52.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.811.881.881.9855.25%53.07%53.19%50.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)

Predicción 49.63%2.01momio equitativo
EV +1.74%
Ventaja +0.851%
Kelly +1.66%
Crecimiento +0.029%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.70%49.58%49.74%51.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.931.932.0554.64%51.80%51.81%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV +1.74%E +0.851%K +1.66%G +0.029%2.3%2026-05-09 02:14
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV +1.25%E +0.612%K +1.20%G +0.015%2.5%2026-05-09 02:15
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV +1.25%E +0.612%K +1.20%G +0.015%2.5%2026-05-09 02:14
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -0.738%E -0.369%K -0.738%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-09 02:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -0.738%E -0.369%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 02:14
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -1.73%E -0.874%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 02:14
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -1.73%E -0.874%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 02:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -1.73%E -0.874%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 02:15
Svenska Spel1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -4.80%E -2.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -2.23%E -1.13%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-08 23:50
1xBet1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -0.773%E -0.393%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -3.22%E -1.65%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-09 01:39
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.78%E -0.913%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.22%E -1.65%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-08 22:34
ReBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.22%E -1.65%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-09 01:59
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.31%E -2.82%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.22%E -1.65%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 23:49
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.22%E -1.65%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 02:14
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.22%E -1.65%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 02:13
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.22%E -1.65%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 17:14
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.22%E -1.65%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 02:15
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -0.270%E -0.136%K -0.275%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -3.72%E -1.92%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-09 02:04
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.31%E -2.82%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.72%E -1.92%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 02:10
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.72%E -1.92%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 23:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.72%E -1.92%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 23:49
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.72%E -1.92%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 23:50
FanDuel1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -2.79%E -1.44%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-08 22:10
MyBookie.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.29%E -1.71%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 02:04
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 01:59
BetRivers1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 23:49
TABtouch1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 23:49
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 02:15
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 02:15
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 02:15
TAB1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.29%E -1.71%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 02:04
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 22:39
Marathon Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.31%E -2.82%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 02:14
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.31%E -2.82%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 02:04
Dabble (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.31%E -2.82%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 02:04
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -6.31%E -3.39%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 02:14
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 22:39
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 22:40
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 22:40
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 15:38
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 17:34
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 22:08
Betsson1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.80%E -2.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 02:04
NordicBet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.80%E -2.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 02:04
Betr (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.80%E -2.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 22:39
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -1.78%E -0.913%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 02:15
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 23:24
SportsBet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.13%EV -4.80%E -2.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.87%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 22:09
Unibet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.31%E -2.82%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 02:03
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -7.32%E -3.98%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 02:14
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -7.82%E -4.28%K -9.43%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 02:15
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -7.82%E -4.28%K -9.43%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 02:15
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -7.82%E -4.28%K -9.43%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -6.20%E -3.28%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 02:15
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -7.82%E -4.28%K -9.43%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -6.20%E -3.28%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 02:15
LeoVegas1.81I 55.25%NM 50.95%EV -8.83%E -4.88%K -10.90%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -6.69%E -3.56%K -7.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 02:15
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.19%E -3.84%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 02:14
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -7.19%E -3.84%K -8.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 18:29
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.19%E -3.84%K -8.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 23:49
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -1.78%E -0.913%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -9.18%E -5.01%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 01:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.97I 50.76%NM 50.75%2.03I 49.26%NM 49.25%0.0%2026-05-09 02:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-05-09 02:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-05-09 02:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-05-09 02:15
Novig1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-05-09 02:14
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-05-08 23:30
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-05-08 14:50
ProphetX1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-05-09 02:04
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 50.13%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.87%1.3%2026-05-09 02:15
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%2.6%2026-05-09 02:09