默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

San Francisco Giants v Pittsburgh Pirates

开赛时间: 2026-05-09 02:16 UTC

最终结果: San Francisco Giants 5–2 Pittsburgh Pirates

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

59 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

San Francisco Giants (主队)

预测 50.37%1.99公平赔率
EV -0.270%
优势 -0.136%
Kelly -0.275%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.98

博彩公司预测分布
48.41%50.42%50.26%52.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.811.881.881.9855.25%53.07%53.19%50.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

Pittsburgh Pirates (客队)

预测 49.63%2.01公平赔率
EV +1.74%
优势 +0.851%
Kelly +1.66%
增长率 +0.029%

假设最高赔率为 2.05

博彩公司预测分布
47.70%49.58%49.74%51.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.831.931.932.0554.64%51.80%51.81%48.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:San Francisco Giants (主队):50.37%;Pittsburgh Pirates (客队):49.63%。 对于“Pittsburgh Pirates (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.01。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.05,对应+1.74%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (59 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
GTbets🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV +1.74%E +0.851%K +1.66%G +0.029%2.3%2026-05-09 02:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV +1.25%E +0.612%K +1.20%G +0.015%2.5%2026-05-09 02:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV +1.25%E +0.612%K +1.20%G +0.015%2.5%2026-05-09 02:14
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -0.738%E -0.369%K -0.738%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-09 02:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -0.738%E -0.369%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 02:14
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -1.73%E -0.874%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 02:14
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -1.73%E -0.874%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 02:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -1.73%E -0.874%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 02:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -4.80%E -2.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -2.23%E -1.13%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-08 23:50
1xBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -0.773%E -0.393%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -3.22%E -1.65%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-09 01:39
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.78%E -0.913%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.22%E -1.65%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-08 22:34
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.22%E -1.65%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-09 01:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.31%E -2.82%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.22%E -1.65%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 23:49
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.22%E -1.65%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 02:14
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.22%E -1.65%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 02:13
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.22%E -1.65%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 17:14
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.22%E -1.65%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 02:15
Pinnacle🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -0.270%E -0.136%K -0.275%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -3.72%E -1.92%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-09 02:04
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.31%E -2.82%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.72%E -1.92%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 02:10
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.72%E -1.92%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 23:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.72%E -1.92%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 23:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.72%E -1.92%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 23:50
FanDuel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -2.79%E -1.44%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-08 22:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.29%E -1.71%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 02:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 01:59
BetRivers🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 23:49
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 23:49
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 02:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 02:15
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 02:15
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.29%E -1.71%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 02:04
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 22:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.31%E -2.82%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 02:14
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.31%E -2.82%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 02:04
Dabble (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.31%E -2.82%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 02:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -6.31%E -3.39%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 02:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 22:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 22:40
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 22:40
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 15:38
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 17:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 22:08
Betsson🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.80%E -2.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 02:04
NordicBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.80%E -2.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 02:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.80%E -2.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 22:39
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -1.78%E -0.913%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 02:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 23:24
SportsBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.13%EV -4.80%E -2.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.87%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 22:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.31%E -2.82%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 02:03
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -7.32%E -3.98%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 02:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -7.82%E -4.28%K -9.43%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 02:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -7.82%E -4.28%K -9.43%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 02:15
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -7.82%E -4.28%K -9.43%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -6.20%E -3.28%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 02:15
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -7.82%E -4.28%K -9.43%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -6.20%E -3.28%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 02:15
LeoVegas🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.95%EV -8.83%E -4.88%K -10.90%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -6.69%E -3.56%K -7.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 02:15
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.19%E -3.84%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 02:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -7.19%E -3.84%K -8.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 18:29
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.19%E -3.84%K -8.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 23:49
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -1.78%E -0.913%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -9.18%E -5.01%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 01:59
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly1.97I 50.76%NM 50.75%2.03I 49.26%NM 49.25%0.0%2026-05-09 02:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-05-09 02:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-05-09 02:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-05-09 02:15
Novig1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-05-09 02:14
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-05-08 23:30
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-05-08 14:50
ProphetX1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-05-09 02:04
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 50.13%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.87%1.3%2026-05-09 02:15
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%2.6%2026-05-09 02:09