Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.43
assuming max odds 1.70
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Francisco Giants (Local): 41.84%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visit): 58.16%. For San Francisco Giants (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.39. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.43, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.68%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV +1.68%E +0.692%K +1.18%G +0.020% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -5.79%E -3.57%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-29 01:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV +0.426%E +0.177%K +0.304%G +0.001% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -4.04%E -2.45%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-29 01:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV +0.426%E +0.177%K +0.304%G +0.001% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -6.37%E -3.96%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-29 01:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV +0.007%E +0.003%K +0.005%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -4.04%E -2.45%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-29 01:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV +0.007%E +0.003%K +0.005%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -4.04%E -2.45%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-29 01:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -0.411%E -0.173%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -6.95%E -4.34%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-29 01:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -0.411%E -0.173%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -6.95%E -4.34%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-29 01:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -0.411%E -0.173%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -8.11%E -5.14%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 01:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -0.830%E -0.350%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -4.04%E -2.45%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-29 01:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -1.67%E -0.709%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.88%E -1.72%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-29 01:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.67%E -0.709%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.04%E -2.45%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-29 01:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.67%E -0.709%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.21%E -3.19%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-29 01:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -1.67%E -0.709%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -7.53%E -4.74%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 21:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -2.08%E -0.891%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -2.30%E -1.37%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-29 01:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -2.08%E -0.891%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -2.88%E -1.72%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-29 01:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.50%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.72%E -1.02%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-29 01:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -2.92%E -1.26%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -5.21%E -3.19%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-29 01:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -2.92%E -1.26%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -5.21%E -3.19%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-29 01:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -2.92%E -1.26%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -5.21%E -3.19%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-29 01:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.76%E -1.63%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.88%E -1.72%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-28 12:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.76%E -1.63%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.04%E -2.45%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-28 22:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.76%E -1.63%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.04%E -2.45%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-28 23:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.76%E -1.63%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.04%E -2.45%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-29 01:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.76%E -1.63%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.79%E -3.57%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 18:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.76%E -1.63%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.79%E -3.57%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-29 01:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.76%E -1.63%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.79%E -3.57%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-29 00:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.76%E -1.63%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.79%E -3.57%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-29 01:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.76%E -1.63%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.95%E -4.34%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 11:38 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.88%EV -4.18%E -1.82%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.12%EV -4.04%E -2.45%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-29 01:43 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.60%E -2.02%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.62%E -2.82%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 01:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -5.01%E -2.21%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -2.88%E -1.72%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-29 01:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -5.01%E -2.21%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -2.88%E -1.72%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-29 01:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.01%E -2.21%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.62%E -2.82%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 01:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.01%E -2.21%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.21%E -3.19%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 01:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.01%E -2.21%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.21%E -3.19%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 01:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.43%E -2.40%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.62%E -2.82%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 22:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.88%E -1.72%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-29 01:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.88%E -1.72%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-29 01:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.04%E -2.45%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 13:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.04%E -2.45%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 01:08 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.04%E -2.45%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 01:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.04%E -2.45%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 01:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.04%E -2.45%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 11:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.04%E -2.45%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 11:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.04%E -2.45%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 11:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.62%E -2.82%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 11:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.79%E -3.57%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 01:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.79%E -3.57%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 01:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.95%E -4.34%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-28 23:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.95%E -4.34%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 01:32 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.95%E -4.34%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 01:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.95%E -4.34%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 01:33 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -6.27%E -2.80%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -2.88%E -1.72%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-29 01:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -6.27%E -2.80%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.04%E -2.45%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-29 01:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -6.69%E -3.00%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -1.13%E -0.668%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-29 01:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -6.69%E -3.00%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -1.13%E -0.668%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-29 01:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.30%E -1.37%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 00:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.88%E -1.72%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 01:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.88%E -1.72%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 01:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.88%E -1.72%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 00:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.62%E -2.82%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-29 01:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.62%E -2.82%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-29 01:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -9.20%E -4.24%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -6.37%E -3.96%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-29 01:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -10.45%E -4.88%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -5.21%E -3.19%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-29 01:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.37I 42.19%NM 42.05% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.95% | 0.3% | 2026-07-29 01:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 0.8% | 2026-07-29 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 0.8% | 2026-07-29 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 0.8% | 2026-07-29 01:39 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-07-28 13:34 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-07-28 11:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-07-29 01:44 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27% | 1.5% | 2026-07-29 01:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06% | 1.9% | 2026-07-29 01:44 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87% | 4.1% | 2026-07-29 01:45 |
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