L’École des cotes

San Francisco Giants v Milwaukee Brewers

2026-07-29 01:46 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

34 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

San Francisco Giants (Local)

Prévision 43.97%2.27cote équitable
EV +0.258%
Avantage +0.113%
Kelly +0.201%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.89%44.10%43.96%45.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.152.152.2850.00%46.45%46.51%43.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Milwaukee Brewers (Visiteur)

Prévision 56.03%1.78cote équitable
EV -0.832%
Avantage -0.470%
Kelly -1.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.26%55.90%56.04%57.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.711.711.7761.73%58.49%58.48%56.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (34 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
GTbets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV +0.258%E +0.113%K +0.201%G +0.001%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -3.63%E -2.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-27 18:00
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.06%E -0.472%K -0.849%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.63%E -2.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-27 18:00
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.06%E -0.472%K -0.849%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.63%E -2.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-27 18:00
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.06%E -0.472%K -0.849%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-27 18:00
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.38%E -1.07%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.95%E -1.12%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-27 18:25
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 21:25
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 18:00
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 20:04
DraftKings2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -3.70%E -1.69%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 18:10
MyBookie.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.14%E -1.90%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.63%E -2.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-27 20:08
Caesars2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.14%E -1.90%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-27 18:10
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.51%E -1.44%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-27 20:29
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 20:03
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 18:00
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 18:00
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.19%E -2.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 18:00
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 20:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 20:05
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.75%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 20:05
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.46%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 18:13
Bet Right2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.90%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.63%E -2.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-27 20:10
Betclic (FR)2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -6.34%E -2.98%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -5.31%E -3.14%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 20:04
FanDuel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -6.78%E -3.20%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -1.39%E -0.791%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-27 18:00
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.78%E -3.20%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.63%E -2.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 20:40
Bovada2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -7.22%E -3.42%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -1.95%E -1.12%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 19:00
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -0.832%E -0.470%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 20:05
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.51%E -1.44%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 18:05
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.07%E -1.78%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 18:00
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.07%E -1.78%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 20:10
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.66%E -3.65%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.43%E -3.85%K -9.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 18:15
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -8.54%E -4.10%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -3.63%E -2.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 17:59
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44%EV -9.86%E -4.81%K -9.39%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-27 20:05
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.75%EV -12.05%E -6.03%K -12.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -9.24%E -5.70%K -14.90%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-27 20:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-07-27 20:15
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-07-27 19:35
Novig2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%4.6%2026-07-27 20:35
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 44.57%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.43%10.0%2026-07-27 20:05