Language:English
San Francisco Giants v Houston Astros
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
San Francisco Giants (Local)
Prediction 42.48%2.35fair odd
EV +1.10%
Edge +0.463%
Kelly +0.799%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.50%42.41%42.41%44.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.242.252.3846.51%44.63%44.44%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Houston Astros (Visit)
Prediction 57.52%1.74fair odd
EV -0.491%
Edge -0.284%
Kelly -0.672%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.99%57.59%57.59%59.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.651.651.7362.50%60.53%60.61%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Francisco Giants (Local): 42.48%; Houston Astros (Visit): 57.52%. For San Francisco Giants (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.35. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.38, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.10%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV +1.10%E +0.463%K +0.799%G +0.009% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -6.82%E -4.21%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-11 01:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV +0.678%E +0.286%K +0.495%G +0.003% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-10 23:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV +0.253%E +0.107%K +0.186%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -3.37%E -2.00%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-11 01:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV +0.253%E +0.107%K +0.186%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-10 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV +0.253%E +0.107%K +0.186%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-11 01:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -0.596%E -0.255%K -0.445%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -4.52%E -2.72%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-11 01:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -1.45%E -0.623%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -2.22%E -1.30%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-10 16:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -1.45%E -0.623%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -2.22%E -1.30%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-11 01:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -2.30%E -0.998%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -2.79%E -1.65%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-11 00:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.30%E -0.998%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-10 22:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.30%E -0.998%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-11 01:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.30%E -0.998%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.97%E -4.98%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-10 10:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.15%E -1.38%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-11 01:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -3.57%E -1.57%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -6.24%E -3.83%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 01:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -3.57%E -1.57%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -6.24%E -3.83%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 01:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -3.99%E -1.77%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -0.491%E -0.284%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-10 17:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.79%E -1.65%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-10 16:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.37%E -2.00%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-10 23:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.37%E -2.00%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-10 23:43 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-10 23:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-10 14:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.52%E -2.72%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 01:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.52%E -2.72%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 01:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-10 16:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-10 16:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-10 16:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 01:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 01:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-10 22:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-10 22:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-10 22:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.67%E -3.46%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 16:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.67%E -3.46%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 01:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.84%E -2.16%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.52%E -2.72%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-11 00:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.27%E -2.36%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.52%E -2.72%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 01:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -5.27%E -2.36%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -5.67%E -3.46%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 01:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -5.27%E -2.36%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -5.67%E -3.46%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 01:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -5.27%E -2.36%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -5.67%E -3.46%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 01:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -5.27%E -2.36%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -5.67%E -3.46%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 01:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -5.27%E -2.36%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -5.67%E -3.46%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 01:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -5.27%E -2.36%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -6.24%E -3.83%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-11 01:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 22:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 22:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 23:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 01:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 01:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.67%E -3.46%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-11 01:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.67%E -3.46%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-10 23:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.82%E -4.21%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 01:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.82%E -4.21%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 01:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -6.97%E -3.18%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -3.37%E -2.00%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-10 17:28 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -7.39%E -3.39%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -6.82%E -4.21%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-11 01:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -7.39%E -3.39%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -6.82%E -4.21%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-11 01:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -7.82%E -3.60%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -7.39%E -4.59%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-11 01:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -7.82%E -3.60%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -7.97%E -4.98%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-11 01:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.79%E -1.65%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-11 01:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-11 01:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-11 01:43 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-11 01:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-11 01:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.82%E -4.21%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-11 01:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.97%E -4.98%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-11 01:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 0.9% | 2026-08-11 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 0.9% | 2026-08-11 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 0.9% | 2026-08-11 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 0.9% | 2026-08-11 01:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36% | 2.0% | 2026-08-11 01:45 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96% | 2.1% | 2026-08-11 01:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96% | 2.1% | 2026-08-11 01:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25% | 2.1% | 2026-08-11 01:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21% | 2.3% | 2026-08-10 23:00 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64% | 2.6% | 2026-08-11 01:35 |