Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Francisco Giants v Houston Astros

Início: 2026-08-11 01:46 UTC

Final: San Francisco Giants 3–6 Houston Astros

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Francisco Giants (Local)

Previsão 42.48%2.35odd justa
EV +1.10%
Vantagem +0.463%
Kelly +0.799%
Crescimento +0.009%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.50%42.41%42.41%44.01%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.152.242.252.3846.51%44.63%44.44%42.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Houston Astros (Visitante)

Previsão 57.52%1.74odd justa
EV -0.491%
Vantagem -0.284%
Kelly -0.672%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.99%57.59%57.59%59.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.601.651.651.7362.50%60.53%60.61%57.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: San Francisco Giants (Local): 42.48%; Houston Astros (Visitante): 57.52%. Para San Francisco Giants (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.35. 5 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.38, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.10%.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV +1.10%E +0.463%K +0.799%G +0.009%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -6.82%E -4.21%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-11 01:45
GTbets🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV +0.678%E +0.286%K +0.495%G +0.003%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-10 23:00
Caesars🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV +0.253%E +0.107%K +0.186%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -3.37%E -2.00%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-11 01:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV +0.253%E +0.107%K +0.186%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-10 22:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV +0.253%E +0.107%K +0.186%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-11 01:44
BetAnything🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -0.596%E -0.255%K -0.445%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -4.52%E -2.72%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-11 01:45
FanDuel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -1.45%E -0.623%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -2.22%E -1.30%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-10 16:25
Pinnacle🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -1.45%E -0.623%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -2.22%E -1.30%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-11 01:35
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -2.30%E -0.998%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -2.79%E -1.65%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-11 00:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.30%E -0.998%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-10 22:59
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.30%E -0.998%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 01:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.30%E -0.998%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.97%E -4.98%K -13.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-10 10:10
Bovada🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.15%E -1.38%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-11 01:39
NordicBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -3.57%E -1.57%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -6.24%E -3.83%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 01:39
Betsson🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -3.57%E -1.57%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -6.24%E -3.83%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 01:40
1xBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -3.99%E -1.77%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -0.491%E -0.284%K -0.672%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-10 17:35
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.79%E -1.65%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-10 16:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.37%E -2.00%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-10 23:45
MyBookie.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.37%E -2.00%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-10 23:43
ReBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-10 23:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-10 14:10
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.52%E -2.72%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 01:10
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.52%E -2.72%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 01:09
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 16:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 16:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 16:25
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 01:40
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 01:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 22:59
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 22:59
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 22:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.67%E -3.46%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 16:25
Dabble (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.67%E -3.46%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 01:19
Bet Right🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.84%E -2.16%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.52%E -2.72%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-11 00:59
Coolbet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.27%E -2.36%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.52%E -2.72%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 01:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -5.27%E -2.36%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -5.67%E -3.46%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 01:45
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -5.27%E -2.36%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -5.67%E -3.46%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 01:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -5.27%E -2.36%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -5.67%E -3.46%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 01:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -5.27%E -2.36%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -5.67%E -3.46%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 01:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -5.27%E -2.36%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -5.67%E -3.46%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 01:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -5.27%E -2.36%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -6.24%E -3.83%K -9.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 01:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 22:59
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 22:59
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 23:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-11 01:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-11 01:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.67%E -3.46%K -8.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-11 01:44
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.67%E -3.46%K -8.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-10 23:39
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.82%E -4.21%K -11.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-11 01:45
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.82%E -4.21%K -11.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-11 01:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -6.97%E -3.18%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -3.37%E -2.00%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-10 17:28
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -7.39%E -3.39%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -6.82%E -4.21%K -11.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 01:45
Bally Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -7.39%E -3.39%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -6.82%E -4.21%K -11.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 01:45
BetRivers🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -7.82%E -3.60%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -7.39%E -4.59%K -12.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-11 01:45
Grosvenor🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -7.82%E -3.60%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -7.97%E -4.98%K -13.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-11 01:10
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.79%E -1.65%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-11 01:45
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-11 01:45
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-11 01:43
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-11 01:45
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-11 01:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.82%E -4.21%K -11.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-11 01:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.97%E -4.98%K -13.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-11 01:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%0.9%2026-08-11 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%0.9%2026-08-11 01:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%0.9%2026-08-11 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%0.9%2026-08-11 01:00
Novig◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.0%2026-08-11 01:45
Polymarket◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.1%2026-08-11 01:45
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.1%2026-08-11 01:20
ProphetX◎2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%2.1%2026-08-11 01:45
Smarkets◎2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.3%2026-08-10 23:00
BetOpenly◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%2.6%2026-08-11 01:35