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San Francisco Giants v Houston Astros
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
San Francisco Giants (Local)
Predicción 42.48%2.35momio equitativo
EV +1.10%
Ventaja +0.463%
Kelly +0.799%
Crecimiento +0.009%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.50%42.41%42.41%44.01%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.152.242.252.3846.51%44.63%44.44%42.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Houston Astros (Visitante)
Predicción 57.52%1.74momio equitativo
EV -0.491%
Ventaja -0.284%
Kelly -0.672%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.99%57.59%57.59%59.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.601.651.651.7362.50%60.53%60.61%57.80%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: San Francisco Giants (Local): 42.48%; Houston Astros (Visitante): 57.52%. Para San Francisco Giants (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.35. 5 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.38, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.10%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV +1.10%E +0.463%K +0.799%G +0.009% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -6.82%E -4.21%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-11 01:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV +0.678%E +0.286%K +0.495%G +0.003% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-10 23:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV +0.253%E +0.107%K +0.186%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -3.37%E -2.00%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-11 01:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV +0.253%E +0.107%K +0.186%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-10 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV +0.253%E +0.107%K +0.186%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-11 01:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -0.596%E -0.255%K -0.445%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -4.52%E -2.72%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-11 01:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -1.45%E -0.623%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -2.22%E -1.30%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-10 16:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -1.45%E -0.623%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -2.22%E -1.30%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-11 01:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -2.30%E -0.998%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -2.79%E -1.65%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-11 00:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.30%E -0.998%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-10 22:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.30%E -0.998%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-11 01:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.30%E -0.998%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.97%E -4.98%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-10 10:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.15%E -1.38%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-11 01:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -3.57%E -1.57%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -6.24%E -3.83%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 01:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -3.57%E -1.57%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -6.24%E -3.83%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 01:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -3.99%E -1.77%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -0.491%E -0.284%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-10 17:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.79%E -1.65%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-10 16:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.37%E -2.00%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-10 23:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.37%E -2.00%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-10 23:43 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-10 23:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-10 14:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.52%E -2.72%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 01:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.52%E -2.72%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 01:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-10 16:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-10 16:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-10 16:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 01:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 01:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-10 22:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-10 22:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-10 22:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.67%E -3.46%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 16:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.67%E -3.46%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 01:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.84%E -2.16%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.52%E -2.72%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-11 00:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.27%E -2.36%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.52%E -2.72%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 01:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -5.27%E -2.36%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -5.67%E -3.46%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 01:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -5.27%E -2.36%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -5.67%E -3.46%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 01:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -5.27%E -2.36%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -5.67%E -3.46%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 01:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -5.27%E -2.36%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -5.67%E -3.46%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 01:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -5.27%E -2.36%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -5.67%E -3.46%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 01:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -5.27%E -2.36%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -6.24%E -3.83%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-11 01:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 22:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 22:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 23:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 01:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 01:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.67%E -3.46%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-11 01:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.67%E -3.46%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-10 23:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.82%E -4.21%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 01:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.82%E -4.21%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 01:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -6.97%E -3.18%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -3.37%E -2.00%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-10 17:28 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -7.39%E -3.39%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -6.82%E -4.21%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-11 01:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -7.39%E -3.39%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -6.82%E -4.21%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-11 01:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -7.82%E -3.60%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -7.39%E -4.59%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-11 01:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -7.82%E -3.60%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -7.97%E -4.98%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-11 01:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.79%E -1.65%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-11 01:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-11 01:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-11 01:43 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-11 01:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-11 01:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.82%E -4.21%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-11 01:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.97%E -4.98%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-11 01:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 0.9% | 2026-08-11 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 0.9% | 2026-08-11 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 0.9% | 2026-08-11 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 0.9% | 2026-08-11 01:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36% | 2.0% | 2026-08-11 01:45 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96% | 2.1% | 2026-08-11 01:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96% | 2.1% | 2026-08-11 01:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25% | 2.1% | 2026-08-11 01:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21% | 2.3% | 2026-08-10 23:00 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64% | 2.6% | 2026-08-11 01:35 |