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San Diego Padres v Toronto Blue Jays
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
San Diego Padres (Local)
Prediction 46.22%2.16fair odd
EV -0.172%
Edge -0.080%
Kelly -0.148%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%46.22%46.25%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.982.072.072.1650.51%48.23%48.31%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Toronto Blue Jays (Visit)
Prediction 53.78%1.86fair odd
EV -2.11%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -2.58%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%53.78%53.75%55.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.771.771.8258.82%56.54%56.50%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego Padres (Local): 46.22%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visit): 53.78%. For San Diego Padres (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.164. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.160, with an expected value of -0.172%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.172%E -0.080%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.73%E -2.08%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-12 19:59 |
| BetUS | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -0.634%E -0.295%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.73%E -2.08%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-12 19:59 |
| Fliff | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -0.634%E -0.295%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -8.03%E -4.70%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-12 19:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -1.10%E -0.512%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-12 20:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.10%E -0.512%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.73%E -2.08%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-12 19:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.10%E -0.512%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.73%E -2.08%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-12 20:04 |
| 1xBet | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -1.56%E -0.732%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -2.11%E -1.16%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-12 19:54 |
| BetAnything | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.56%E -0.732%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-12 19:54 |
| Everygame | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.02%E -0.953%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.11%E -1.16%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-12 18:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.19%E -1.77%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-12 19:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-11 18:40 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-11 18:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-12 17:00 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-12 19:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.42%E -3.69%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 18:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.42%E -3.69%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 18:59 |
| Bally Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.95%E -4.02%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 18:59 |
| betPARX | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.95%E -4.02%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 19:00 |
| Casumo | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.95%E -4.02%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 18:59 |
| Unibet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.95%E -4.02%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 18:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.95%E -4.02%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 19:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.95%E -4.02%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 18:59 |
| TABtouch | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.49%E -4.36%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-12 18:59 |
| BetRivers | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.49%E -4.36%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-12 18:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.49%E -4.36%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-12 18:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.49%E -4.36%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-12 18:59 |
| FanDuel | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.87%E -1.86%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.73%E -2.08%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-11 18:34 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.87%E -1.86%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.88%E -3.36%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-12 19:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -3.87%E -1.86%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.57%E -5.04%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-12 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -4.33%E -2.09%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.19%E -1.77%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-12 18:54 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -4.33%E -2.09%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.19%E -1.77%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-12 20:09 |
| Bovada | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -4.33%E -2.09%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -4.27%E -2.40%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-12 20:09 |
| SportsBet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.79%E -2.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-12 08:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.79%E -2.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.34%E -3.03%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 20:04 |
| ReBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.19%E -1.77%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-12 18:54 |
| Caesars | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.19%E -1.77%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-12 18:54 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.19%E -1.77%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-12 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.19%E -1.77%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-12 18:54 |
| TAB | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.19%E -1.77%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-12 18:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.19%E -1.77%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-12 20:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.73%E -2.08%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-12 18:54 |
| Bet Right | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.27%E -2.40%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-12 19:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.27%E -2.40%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-12 19:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 20:04 |
| PlayUp | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 05:54 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 19:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.34%E -3.03%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-11 18:45 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.88%E -3.36%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-12 18:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.88%E -3.36%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-12 18:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.88%E -3.36%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-12 18:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.88%E -3.36%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-12 19:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.72%E -2.80%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-12 19:29 |
| Betsson | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.72%E -2.80%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-12 19:29 |
| Neds | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.64%E -3.29%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.19%E -1.77%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.64%E -3.29%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.19%E -1.77%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 18:49 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.57%E -3.78%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.19%E -1.77%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 20:09 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.57%E -3.78%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.19%E -1.77%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 19:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.57%E -3.78%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.27%E -2.40%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-12 20:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.57%E -3.78%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.34%E -3.03%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-12 18:54 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.57%E -3.78%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.88%E -3.36%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-12 17:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -8.49%E -4.29%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -6.42%E -3.69%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-12 20:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73% | 0.1% | 2026-07-12 20:09 |
| ProphetX | 2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75% | 0.6% | 2026-07-12 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 0.6% | 2026-07-12 20:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 0.6% | 2026-07-12 20:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 0.6% | 2026-07-12 20:05 |
| Matchbook | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 0.8% | 2026-07-12 20:10 |
| Kalshi | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-07-12 19:50 |
| Polymarket | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-07-12 20:10 |
| Novig | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02% | 1.2% | 2026-07-12 20:05 |
| Smarkets | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81% | 2.1% | 2026-07-12 20:00 |