The School of Odds

San Diego Padres v Toronto Blue Jays

2026-07-12 20:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

San Diego Padres (Local)

Prediction 46.64%2.14fair odd
EV -1.60%
Edge -0.758%
Kelly -1.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.69%46.57%46.68%47.37%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.962.052.052.1151%49%49%47%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Toronto Blue Jays (Visit)

Prediction 53.36%1.87fair odd
EV -1.27%
Edge -0.689%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%53.43%53.32%54.31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.741.781.781.8557%56%56%54%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.60%E -0.758%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.34%E -1.28%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-12 01:34
BetOnline.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.07%E -0.984%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.34%E -1.28%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-12 01:34
LowVig.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.07%E -0.984%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.34%E -1.28%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-12 01:34
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.07%E -0.984%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.34%E -1.28%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-12 01:39
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.07%E -0.984%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.54%E -3.13%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 18:40
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.07%E -0.984%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.54%E -3.13%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 18:59
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.53%E -1.21%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.27%E -0.689%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-12 00:25
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.53%E -1.21%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.34%E -1.28%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-11 23:54
FanDuel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.00%E -1.44%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.48%E -2.50%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 18:34
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.00%E -1.44%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.01%E -2.81%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 00:44
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.00%E -1.44%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.01%E -2.81%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 00:44
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.00%E -1.44%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.01%E -2.81%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 00:44
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.00%E -1.44%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.61%E -3.78%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 18:34
Bovada2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -3.47%E -1.67%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -5.01%E -2.81%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 20:54
MyBookie.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.93%E -1.91%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.41%E -1.88%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-11 20:19
Bally Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.93%E -1.91%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.01%E -2.81%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 00:40
betPARX2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.93%E -1.91%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.01%E -2.81%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 00:40
Casumo2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.93%E -1.91%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.01%E -2.81%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 00:44
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.93%E -1.91%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.01%E -2.81%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 00:44
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.93%E -1.91%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.01%E -2.81%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 00:44
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.93%E -1.91%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.01%E -2.81%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 00:44
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.40%E -2.15%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.94%E -2.19%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 19:32
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.40%E -2.15%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.94%E -2.19%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 20:14
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.40%E -2.15%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.94%E -2.19%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 20:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.40%E -2.15%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.94%E -2.19%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 20:34
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.40%E -2.15%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.94%E -2.19%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 20:34
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.40%E -2.15%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.94%E -2.19%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 20:34
BetAnything2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.40%E -2.15%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.94%E -2.19%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 01:44
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.40%E -2.15%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.01%E -2.81%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 23:59
TABtouch2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.40%E -2.15%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.54%E -3.13%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 00:44
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.40%E -2.15%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.54%E -3.13%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 00:44
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.40%E -2.15%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.54%E -3.13%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 00:44
Virgin Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.40%E -2.15%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.54%E -3.13%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 00:44
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.40%E -2.15%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.08%E -3.45%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 18:45
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.40%E -2.15%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.61%E -3.78%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 18:34
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.40%E -2.15%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.61%E -3.78%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 18:44
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.40%E -2.15%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.61%E -3.78%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 18:44
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.40%E -2.15%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.61%E -3.78%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 18:44
Bet Right2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.86%E -2.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.94%E -2.19%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 18:44
DraftKings2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.86%E -2.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.48%E -2.50%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-11 19:29
Unibet (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.86%E -2.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.01%E -2.81%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 19:29
NordicBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.33%E -2.63%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.01%E -2.81%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 23:09
Betsson2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.33%E -2.63%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.01%E -2.81%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 23:09
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.80%E -2.87%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.94%E -2.19%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 00:00
Neds2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.80%E -2.87%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.94%E -2.19%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:34
Ladbrokes (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.80%E -2.87%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.94%E -2.19%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:34
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.80%E -2.87%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.48%E -2.50%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 00:04
Betclic (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -5.80%E -2.87%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -5.54%E -3.13%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 19:32
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -5.80%E -2.87%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -7.15%E -4.11%K -9.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 00:44
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.73%E -3.36%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.94%E -2.19%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 22:09
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.73%E -3.36%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.94%E -2.19%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 23:35
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.73%E -3.36%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.94%E -2.19%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 02:09
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.73%E -3.36%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.01%E -2.81%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 19:30
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.73%E -3.36%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.54%E -3.13%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-11 20:14
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.73%E -3.36%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.61%E -3.78%K -8.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 19:36
Unibet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.66%E -3.87%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -7.15%E -4.11%K -9.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 02:14
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.03%EV -8.60%E -4.39%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.97%EV -7.15%E -4.11%K -9.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-11 20:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%0.9%2026-07-12 01:29
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-07-11 21:04
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-07-12 00:00
ProphetX2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%1.8%2026-07-12 01:19
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20%2.7%2026-07-12 01:35
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 46.87%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%9.4%2026-07-12 02:25