San Diego Padres v Toronto Blue Jays

Inizio: 2026-07-12 20:11 UTC

Finale: San Diego Padres 5–4 Toronto Blue Jays

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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61 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

46%

54%

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

San Diego Padres (Casa)

Previsione 46.22%2.16quota equa

EV -0.172%

Vantaggio -0.080%

Kelly -0.148%

Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.16

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

44.30%46.22%46.25%47.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Distribuzione delle quote

1.982.072.072.1650.51%48.23%48.31%46.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Toronto Blue Jays (Trasferta)

Previsione 53.78%1.86quota equa

EV -2.11%

Vantaggio -1.16%

Kelly -2.58%

Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.82

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

52.63%53.78%53.75%55.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Distribuzione delle quote

1.701.771.771.8258.82%56.54%56.50%54.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

Bookmaker	Casa ▼	Trasferta	Margine	Aggiornamento
GTbets	2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.172%E -0.080%K -0.148%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.73%E -2.08%K -4.72%G +0.000%	2.2%	2026-07-12 19:59
BetUS	2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -0.634%E -0.295%K -0.551%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.73%E -2.08%K -4.72%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-07-12 19:59
Fliff	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -0.634%E -0.295%K -0.551%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -8.03%E -4.70%K -11.31%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-12 19:59
Pinnacle	2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -1.10%E -0.512%K -0.962%G +0.000%	1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%	2.0%	2026-07-12 20:05
BetOnline.ag	2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.10%E -0.512%K -0.962%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.73%E -2.08%K -4.72%G +0.000%	2.6%	2026-07-12 19:59
LowVig.ag	2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.10%E -0.512%K -0.962%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.73%E -2.08%K -4.72%G +0.000%	2.6%	2026-07-12 20:04
1xBet	2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -1.56%E -0.732%K -1.38%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -2.11%E -1.16%K -2.58%G +0.000%	1.9%	2026-07-12 19:54
BetAnything	2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.56%E -0.732%K -1.38%G +0.000%	1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%	2.2%	2026-07-12 19:54
Everygame	2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.02%E -0.953%K -1.80%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.11%E -1.16%K -2.58%G +0.000%	2.1%	2026-07-12 18:54
Svenska Spel	2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.19%E -1.77%K -3.99%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-07-12 19:00
PointsBet (AU)	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.24%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-11 18:40
theScore Bet	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.24%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-11 18:59
Hard Rock Bet	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.24%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-12 17:00
Fanatics	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.24%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-12 19:44
Unibet (NL)	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.42%E -3.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-12 18:59
Unibet (SE)	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.42%E -3.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-12 18:59
Bally Bet	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.95%E -4.02%K -9.53%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-12 18:59
betPARX	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.95%E -4.02%K -9.53%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-12 19:00
Casumo	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.95%E -4.02%K -9.53%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-12 18:59
Unibet	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.95%E -4.02%K -9.53%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-12 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.95%E -4.02%K -9.53%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-12 19:00
ATG (SE)	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.95%E -4.02%K -9.53%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-12 18:59
TABtouch	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.49%E -4.36%K -10.41%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-12 18:59
BetRivers	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.49%E -4.36%K -10.41%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-12 18:59
LiveScore Bet	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.49%E -4.36%K -10.41%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-12 18:59
Virgin Bet	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.49%E -4.36%K -10.41%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-12 18:59
FanDuel	2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.87%E -1.86%K -3.58%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.73%E -2.08%K -4.72%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-07-11 18:34
Dabble (AU)	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.87%E -1.86%K -3.58%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.88%E -3.36%K -7.84%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-12 19:50
Grosvenor	2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -3.87%E -1.86%K -3.58%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.57%E -5.04%K -12.24%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-07-12 18:30
Unibet (UK)	2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -4.33%E -2.09%K -4.05%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.19%E -1.77%K -3.99%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-07-12 18:54
MyBookie.ag	2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -4.33%E -2.09%K -4.05%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.19%E -1.77%K -3.99%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-07-12 20:09
Bovada	2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -4.33%E -2.09%K -4.05%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -4.27%E -2.40%K -5.47%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-07-12 20:09
SportsBet	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.79%E -2.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.24%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-12 08:14
Marathon Bet	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.79%E -2.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.34%E -3.03%K -7.03%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-12 20:04
ReBet	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.19%E -1.77%K -3.99%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-12 18:54
Caesars	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.19%E -1.77%K -3.99%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-12 18:54
Coral	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.19%E -1.77%K -3.99%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-12 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.19%E -1.77%K -3.99%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-12 18:54
TAB	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.19%E -1.77%K -3.99%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-12 18:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.19%E -1.77%K -3.99%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-12 20:05
DraftKings	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.73%E -2.08%K -4.72%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-12 18:54
Bet Right	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.27%E -2.40%K -5.47%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-12 19:59
Coolbet	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.27%E -2.40%K -5.47%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-12 19:59
Unibet (FR)	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.24%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-12 20:04
PlayUp	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.24%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-12 05:54
BetMGM	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.24%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-12 19:49
Betr (AU)	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.34%E -3.03%K -7.03%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-11 18:45
888sport	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.88%E -3.36%K -7.84%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-12 18:54
888sport (SE)	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.88%E -3.36%K -7.84%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-12 18:54
Mr Green (SE)	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.88%E -3.36%K -7.84%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-12 18:54
Tipico (DE)	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.88%E -3.36%K -7.84%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-12 19:55
NordicBet	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.72%E -2.80%K -5.50%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.24%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-07-12 19:29
Betsson	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.72%E -2.80%K -5.50%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.24%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-07-12 19:29
Neds	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.64%E -3.29%K -6.51%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.19%E -1.77%K -3.99%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-12 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.64%E -3.29%K -6.51%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.19%E -1.77%K -3.99%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-12 18:49
Betway	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.57%E -3.78%K -7.57%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.19%E -1.77%K -3.99%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-12 20:09
William Hill	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.57%E -3.78%K -7.57%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.19%E -1.77%K -3.99%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-12 19:44
Winamax (DE)	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.57%E -3.78%K -7.57%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.27%E -2.40%K -5.47%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-12 20:04
Winamax (FR)	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.57%E -3.78%K -7.57%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.34%E -3.03%K -7.03%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-07-12 18:54
Paddy Power	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.57%E -3.78%K -7.57%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.88%E -3.36%K -7.84%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-12 17:45
Betclic (FR)	1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -8.49%E -4.29%K -8.66%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -6.42%E -3.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-07-12 20:04

Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

Bookmaker	Casa	Trasferta	Margine ▲	Aggiornamento
BetOpenly	2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%	1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%	0.1%	2026-07-12 20:09
ProphetX	2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%	1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%	0.6%	2026-07-12 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)	2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%	1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%	0.6%	2026-07-12 20:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)	2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%	1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%	0.6%	2026-07-12 20:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)	2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%	1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%	0.6%	2026-07-12 20:05
Matchbook	2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%	1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%	0.8%	2026-07-12 20:10
Kalshi	2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%	1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%	1.0%	2026-07-12 19:50
Polymarket	2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%	1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%	1.0%	2026-07-12 20:10
Novig	2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%	1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%	1.2%	2026-07-12 20:05
Smarkets	2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%	1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%	2.1%	2026-07-12 20:00