مدرسة الاحتمالات

San Diego Padres v Toronto Blue Jays

البداية: 2026-07-12 20:11 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: San Diego Padres 5–4 Toronto Blue Jays

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

San Diego Padres (المضيف)

التنبؤ 46.22%2.16السعر العادل
EV -0.172%
الأفضلية -0.080%
Kelly -0.148%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.16

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.30%46.22%46.25%47.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.982.072.072.1650.51%48.23%48.31%46.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Toronto Blue Jays (الضيف)

التنبؤ 53.78%1.86السعر العادل
EV -2.11%
الأفضلية -1.16%
Kelly -2.58%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.82

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
52.63%53.78%53.75%55.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.701.771.771.8258.82%56.54%56.50%54.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
GTbets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.172%E -0.080%K -0.148%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.73%E -2.08%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-12 19:59
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -0.634%E -0.295%K -0.551%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.73%E -2.08%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-12 19:59
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -0.634%E -0.295%K -0.551%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -8.03%E -4.70%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 19:59
Pinnacle2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -1.10%E -0.512%K -0.962%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-12 20:05
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.10%E -0.512%K -0.962%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.73%E -2.08%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-12 19:59
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.10%E -0.512%K -0.962%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.73%E -2.08%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-12 20:04
1xBet2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -1.56%E -0.732%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -2.11%E -1.16%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-12 19:54
BetAnything2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.56%E -0.732%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-12 19:54
Everygame2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.02%E -0.953%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.11%E -1.16%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-12 18:54
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.19%E -1.77%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-12 19:00
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 18:40
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 18:59
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 17:00
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 19:44
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.42%E -3.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 18:59
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.42%E -3.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 18:59
Bally Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.95%E -4.02%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 18:59
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.95%E -4.02%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 19:00
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.95%E -4.02%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 18:59
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.95%E -4.02%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.95%E -4.02%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 19:00
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.95%E -4.02%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 18:59
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.49%E -4.36%K -10.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 18:59
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.49%E -4.36%K -10.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 18:59
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.49%E -4.36%K -10.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 18:59
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.49%E -4.36%K -10.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 18:59
FanDuel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.87%E -1.86%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.73%E -2.08%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 18:34
Dabble (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.87%E -1.86%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.88%E -3.36%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 19:50
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -3.87%E -1.86%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.57%E -5.04%K -12.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-12 18:30
Unibet (UK)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -4.33%E -2.09%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.19%E -1.77%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-12 18:54
MyBookie.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -4.33%E -2.09%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.19%E -1.77%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-12 20:09
Bovada2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -4.33%E -2.09%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -4.27%E -2.40%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-12 20:09
SportsBet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.79%E -2.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 08:14
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.79%E -2.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.34%E -3.03%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 20:04
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.19%E -1.77%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 18:54
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.19%E -1.77%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 18:54
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.19%E -1.77%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.19%E -1.77%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 18:54
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.19%E -1.77%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 18:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.19%E -1.77%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 20:05
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.73%E -2.08%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-12 18:54
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.27%E -2.40%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 19:59
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.27%E -2.40%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 19:59
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 20:04
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 05:54
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 19:49
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.34%E -3.03%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 18:45
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.88%E -3.36%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 18:54
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.88%E -3.36%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 18:54
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.88%E -3.36%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 18:54
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.88%E -3.36%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 19:55
NordicBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.72%E -2.80%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 19:29
Betsson2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.72%E -2.80%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 19:29
Neds2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.64%E -3.29%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.19%E -1.77%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.64%E -3.29%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.19%E -1.77%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 18:49
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.57%E -3.78%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.19%E -1.77%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 20:09
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.57%E -3.78%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.19%E -1.77%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 19:44
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.57%E -3.78%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.27%E -2.40%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 20:04
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.57%E -3.78%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.34%E -3.03%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-12 18:54
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.57%E -3.78%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.88%E -3.36%K -7.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 17:45
Betclic (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -8.49%E -4.29%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -6.42%E -3.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 20:04
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%0.1%2026-07-12 20:09
ProphetX2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%0.6%2026-07-12 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-07-12 20:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-07-12 20:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-07-12 20:05
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-07-12 20:10
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-07-12 19:50
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-07-12 20:10
Novig2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%1.2%2026-07-12 20:05
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%2.1%2026-07-12 20:00