Language:English
San Diego Padres v Seattle Mariners
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
San Diego Padres (Local)
Prediction 49.94%2.00fair odd
EV -1.62%
Edge -0.821%
Kelly -1.67%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.47%49.95%50.00%51.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.911.911.9754.05%52.24%52.36%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Seattle Mariners (Visit)
Prediction 50.06%2.00fair odd
EV -1.88%
Edge -0.961%
Kelly -1.96%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.96
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.94%50.05%50.00%50.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.841.901.901.9654.35%52.50%52.63%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego Padres (Local): 49.94%; Seattle Mariners (Visit): 50.06%. For San Diego Padres (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.00. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.97, with an expected value of -1.62%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.62%E -0.821%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.39%E -1.75%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-16 01:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.12%E -1.08%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.88%E -0.961%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-15 23:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.12%E -1.08%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.88%E -0.961%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-16 01:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.12%E -1.08%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.89%E -1.49%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-16 01:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.62%E -1.34%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.38%E -1.22%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-15 21:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -2.62%E -1.34%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-16 01:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -3.11%E -1.61%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -1.88%E -0.961%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-16 01:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -3.11%E -1.61%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -1.88%E -0.961%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-16 01:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -3.11%E -1.61%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -3.39%E -1.75%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-15 21:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.61%E -1.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.39%E -1.75%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-15 21:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.61%E -1.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.89%E -2.02%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-16 01:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.61%E -1.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-15 21:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.61%E -1.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-15 21:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.61%E -1.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.39%E -2.85%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 01:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.11%E -2.14%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.89%E -2.02%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-15 21:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.11%E -2.14%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.89%E -2.57%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 01:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.11%E -2.14%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.39%E -2.85%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-16 01:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.11%E -2.14%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.39%E -2.85%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 21:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.11%E -2.14%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.39%E -2.85%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 21:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.11%E -2.14%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.39%E -2.85%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 21:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.11%E -2.14%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.39%E -2.85%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 21:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.11%E -2.14%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.39%E -2.85%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 21:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.11%E -2.14%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.39%E -2.85%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 21:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.11%E -2.14%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.39%E -2.85%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 21:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.11%E -2.14%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.39%E -2.85%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 21:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 21:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 21:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 21:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 23:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 21:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 21:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 21:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 21:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 21:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 21:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 03:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.89%E -2.57%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-16 01:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.39%E -2.85%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 01:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.39%E -2.85%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 21:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.39%E -2.85%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 21:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.89%E -3.13%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 21:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.89%E -3.13%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 21:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.39%E -3.42%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-16 01:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.39%E -3.42%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-16 01:31 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.39%E -3.42%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-16 01:38 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.11%E -2.69%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.89%E -2.02%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 01:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.69%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.89%E -2.57%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 21:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.69%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.89%E -2.57%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 21:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.69%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.89%E -2.57%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 01:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.69%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.89%E -2.57%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 23:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.69%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.89%E -2.57%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 21:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.69%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.89%E -2.57%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 21:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.69%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.89%E -2.57%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 01:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.69%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.89%E -2.57%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 01:34 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.69%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.89%E -2.57%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 01:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.11%E -3.25%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.89%E -3.13%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-16 01:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.61%E -3.54%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.39%E -3.42%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 23:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -7.11%E -3.82%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -7.89%E -4.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-16 01:28 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.61%E -4.11%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.39%E -1.75%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 21:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.61%E -4.11%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -4.89%E -2.57%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-16 01:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00% | 0.0% | 2026-04-16 01:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87% | 0.3% | 2026-04-16 01:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 0.5% | 2026-04-16 01:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 0.5% | 2026-04-16 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 0.5% | 2026-04-16 01:39 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-04-15 21:19 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.87% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.13% | 1.3% | 2026-04-16 01:39 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.89% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.11% | 1.3% | 2026-04-16 01:39 |
| Novig◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.00% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.00% | 1.5% | 2026-04-16 01:39 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.13% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.87% | 2.3% | 2026-04-16 01:39 |