默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

San Diego Padres v Seattle Mariners

开赛时间: 2026-04-16 01:41 UTC

最终结果: San Diego Padres 7–6 Seattle Mariners

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

60 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

San Diego Padres (主队)

预测 49.94%2.00公平赔率
EV -1.62%
优势 -0.821%
Kelly -1.67%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.97

博彩公司预测分布
49.47%49.95%50.00%51.06%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.851.911.911.9754.05%52.24%52.36%50.76%最小值均值中位数最大值

Seattle Mariners (客队)

预测 50.06%2.00公平赔率
EV -1.88%
优势 -0.961%
Kelly -1.96%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.96

博彩公司预测分布
48.94%50.05%50.00%50.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.841.901.901.9654.35%52.50%52.63%51.02%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:San Diego Padres (主队):49.94%;Seattle Mariners (客队):50.06%。 对于“San Diego Padres (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.00。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为1.97,期望值为-1.62%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (60 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
BetUS🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.62%E -0.821%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.39%E -1.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-16 01:29
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.12%E -1.08%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.88%E -0.961%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-15 23:54
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.12%E -1.08%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.88%E -0.961%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-16 01:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.12%E -1.08%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.89%E -1.49%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-16 01:39
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.62%E -1.34%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.38%E -1.22%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-15 21:29
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -2.62%E -1.34%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-16 01:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -3.11%E -1.61%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -1.88%E -0.961%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-16 01:34
GTbets🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -3.11%E -1.61%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -1.88%E -0.961%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-16 01:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -3.11%E -1.61%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -3.39%E -1.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-15 21:54
FanDuel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.61%E -1.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.39%E -1.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-15 21:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.61%E -1.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.89%E -2.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-16 01:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.61%E -1.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-15 21:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.61%E -1.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-15 21:44
DraftKings🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.61%E -1.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.39%E -2.85%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-16 01:29
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.11%E -2.14%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.89%E -2.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-15 21:34
Bet Right🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.11%E -2.14%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.89%E -2.57%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-16 01:29
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.11%E -2.14%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.39%E -2.85%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 01:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.11%E -2.14%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.39%E -2.85%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 21:44
Unibet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.11%E -2.14%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.39%E -2.85%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 21:49
Grosvenor🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.11%E -2.14%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.39%E -2.85%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 21:44
Casumo🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.11%E -2.14%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.39%E -2.85%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 21:44
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.11%E -2.14%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.39%E -2.85%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 21:44
Bally Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.11%E -2.14%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.39%E -2.85%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 21:44
betPARX🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.11%E -2.14%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.39%E -2.85%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 21:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.11%E -2.14%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.39%E -2.85%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 21:49
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 21:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 21:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 21:24
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 23:30
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 21:29
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 21:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 21:20
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 21:19
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 21:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 21:19
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 03:05
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.89%E -2.57%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 01:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.39%E -2.85%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 01:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.39%E -2.85%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 21:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.39%E -2.85%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 21:44
TABtouch🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.89%E -3.13%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 21:44
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.89%E -3.13%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 21:44
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.39%E -3.42%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 01:34
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.39%E -3.42%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 01:31
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.39%E -3.42%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 01:38
Bovada🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.11%E -2.69%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.89%E -2.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-16 01:39
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.69%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.89%E -2.57%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 21:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.69%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.89%E -2.57%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 21:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.69%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.89%E -2.57%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 01:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.69%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.89%E -2.57%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 23:54
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.69%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.89%E -2.57%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 21:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.69%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.89%E -2.57%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 21:19
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.69%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.89%E -2.57%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 01:34
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.69%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.89%E -2.57%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 01:34
Dabble (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.69%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.89%E -2.57%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 01:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.11%E -3.25%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.89%E -3.13%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 01:39
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.61%E -3.54%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.39%E -3.42%K -7.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 23:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -7.11%E -3.82%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -7.89%E -4.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-16 01:28
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.61%E -4.11%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.39%E -1.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 21:24
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.61%E -4.11%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -4.89%E -2.57%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 01:34
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00%2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00%0.0%2026-04-16 01:39
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%0.3%2026-04-16 01:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-04-16 01:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-04-16 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-04-16 01:39
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-04-15 21:19
ProphetX1.98I 50.51%NM 49.87%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.13%1.3%2026-04-16 01:39
BetOpenly1.94I 51.55%NM 50.89%2.01I 49.75%NM 49.11%1.3%2026-04-16 01:39
Novig1.97I 50.76%NM 50.00%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.00%1.5%2026-04-16 01:39
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.13%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.87%2.3%2026-04-16 01:39