La scuola delle quote

San Diego Padres v Seattle Mariners

Inizio: 2026-04-16 01:41 UTC

Finale: San Diego Padres 7–6 Seattle Mariners

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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60 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

San Diego Padres (Casa)

Previsione 49.94%2.00quota equa
EV -1.62%
Vantaggio -0.821%
Kelly -1.67%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.97

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.47%49.95%50.00%51.06%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.851.911.911.9754.05%52.24%52.36%50.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Seattle Mariners (Trasferta)

Previsione 50.06%2.00quota equa
EV -1.88%
Vantaggio -0.961%
Kelly -1.96%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.96

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.94%50.05%50.00%50.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.841.901.901.9654.35%52.50%52.63%51.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
BetUS1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.62%E -0.821%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.39%E -1.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-16 01:29
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.12%E -1.08%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.88%E -0.961%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-15 23:54
Pinnacle1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.12%E -1.08%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.88%E -0.961%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-16 01:24
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.12%E -1.08%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.89%E -1.49%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-16 01:39
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.62%E -1.34%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.38%E -1.22%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-15 21:29
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -2.62%E -1.34%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-16 01:29
LowVig.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -3.11%E -1.61%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -1.88%E -0.961%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-16 01:34
GTbets1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -3.11%E -1.61%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -1.88%E -0.961%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-16 01:34
Svenska Spel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -3.11%E -1.61%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -3.39%E -1.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-15 21:54
FanDuel1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.61%E -1.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.39%E -1.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-15 21:19
MyBookie.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.61%E -1.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.89%E -2.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-16 01:34
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.61%E -1.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-15 21:44
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.61%E -1.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-15 21:44
DraftKings1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.61%E -1.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.39%E -2.85%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-16 01:29
TAB1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.11%E -2.14%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.89%E -2.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-15 21:34
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.11%E -2.14%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.89%E -2.57%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-16 01:29
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.11%E -2.14%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.39%E -2.85%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 01:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.11%E -2.14%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.39%E -2.85%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 21:44
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.11%E -2.14%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.39%E -2.85%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 21:49
Grosvenor1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.11%E -2.14%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.39%E -2.85%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 21:44
Casumo1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.11%E -2.14%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.39%E -2.85%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 21:44
LeoVegas1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.11%E -2.14%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.39%E -2.85%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 21:44
Bally Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.11%E -2.14%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.39%E -2.85%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 21:44
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.11%E -2.14%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.39%E -2.85%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 21:44
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.11%E -2.14%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.39%E -2.85%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 21:49
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 21:24
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 21:24
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 21:24
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 23:30
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 21:29
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 21:35
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 21:20
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 21:19
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 21:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 21:19
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 03:05
PlayUp1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.89%E -2.57%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 01:39
Betr (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.39%E -2.85%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 01:29
LiveScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.39%E -2.85%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 21:44
Virgin Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.39%E -2.85%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 21:44
TABtouch1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.89%E -3.13%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 21:44
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.89%E -3.13%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 21:44
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.39%E -3.42%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 01:34
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.39%E -3.42%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 01:31
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.61%E -2.42%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.39%E -3.42%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 01:38
Bovada1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.11%E -2.69%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.89%E -2.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-16 01:39
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.69%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.89%E -2.57%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 21:24
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.69%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.89%E -2.57%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 21:24
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.69%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.89%E -2.57%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 01:39
Marathon Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.69%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.89%E -2.57%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 23:54
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.69%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.89%E -2.57%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 21:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.69%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.89%E -2.57%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 21:19
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.69%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.89%E -2.57%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 01:34
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.69%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.89%E -2.57%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 01:34
Dabble (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.69%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.89%E -2.57%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 01:19
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.11%E -3.25%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.89%E -3.13%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 01:39
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.61%E -3.54%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.39%E -3.42%K -7.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 23:14
Unibet (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -7.11%E -3.82%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -7.89%E -4.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-16 01:28
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.61%E -4.11%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.39%E -1.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 21:24
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.61%E -4.11%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -4.89%E -2.57%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 01:34
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00%2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00%0.0%2026-04-16 01:39
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%0.3%2026-04-16 01:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-04-16 01:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-04-16 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-04-16 01:39
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-04-15 21:19
ProphetX1.98I 50.51%NM 49.87%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.13%1.3%2026-04-16 01:39
BetOpenly1.94I 51.55%NM 50.89%2.01I 49.75%NM 49.11%1.3%2026-04-16 01:39
Novig1.97I 50.76%NM 50.00%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.00%1.5%2026-04-16 01:39
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.13%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.87%2.3%2026-04-16 01:39