Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Diego Padres v San Francisco Giants

Início: 2026-08-02 00:41 UTC

Final: San Diego Padres 6–5 San Francisco Giants

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Diego Padres (Local)

Previsão 57.84%1.73odd justa
EV -1.09%
Vantagem -0.639%
Kelly -1.54%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.71

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.70%57.90%57.89%59.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.571.651.661.7163.69%60.48%60.24%58.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

San Francisco Giants (Visitante)

Previsão 42.16%2.37odd justa
EV +1.18%
Vantagem +0.493%
Kelly +0.845%
Crescimento +0.010%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.50%42.10%42.11%43.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.162.262.252.4046.30%44.18%44.44%41.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: San Diego Padres (Local): 57.84%; San Francisco Giants (Visitante): 42.16%. Para San Francisco Giants (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.37. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.40, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.18%.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV +1.18%E +0.493%K +0.845%G +0.010%1.5%2026-08-02 00:30
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -4.56%E -2.77%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV +0.340%E +0.143%K +0.246%G +0.001%2.6%2026-08-02 00:30
BetAnything🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -5.14%E -3.14%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV +0.340%E +0.143%K +0.246%G +0.001%3.0%2026-08-02 00:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -6.30%E -3.89%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV +0.340%E +0.143%K +0.246%G +0.001%3.7%2026-08-02 00:30
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -2.83%E -1.68%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -0.504%E -0.213%K -0.370%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-02 00:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.25%E -1.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -0.925%E -0.394%K -0.685%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-01 17:09
GTbets🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -2.83%E -1.68%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -0.925%E -0.394%K -0.685%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-02 00:29
BetUS🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -3.98%E -2.40%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -0.925%E -0.394%K -0.685%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-02 00:35
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.56%E -2.77%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.925%E -0.394%K -0.685%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 00:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.83%E -1.68%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.77%E -0.759%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-02 00:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.83%E -1.68%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.77%E -0.759%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-02 00:30
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.88%E -4.27%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -1.77%E -0.759%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 00:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.03%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-02 00:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.56%E -2.77%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.03%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 00:35
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.56%E -2.77%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.03%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 00:29
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.56%E -2.77%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.03%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 00:34
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.56%E -2.77%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.03%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 00:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.30%E -3.89%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.03%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 00:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.46%E -4.66%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.03%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 16:49
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -9.19%E -5.85%K -16.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -3.03%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 00:29
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -1.09%E -0.639%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -3.45%E -1.51%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-01 16:34
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -1.67%E -0.983%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -3.88%E -1.70%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-02 00:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -1.67%E -0.983%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -3.88%E -1.70%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-02 00:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -4.30%E -1.89%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-01 22:45
Coolbet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.14%E -3.14%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.30%E -1.89%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 00:30
Bet Right🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.56%E -2.77%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.72%E -2.09%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-01 16:55
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.83%E -1.68%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.14%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 17:09
ReBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.14%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 22:09
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.14%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 21:48
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.14%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 00:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.14%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 00:34
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.56%E -2.77%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.14%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 16:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.56%E -2.77%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.14%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 16:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.56%E -2.77%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.14%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 16:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.56%E -2.77%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.14%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 00:39
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.56%E -2.77%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.14%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 00:39
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.56%E -2.77%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.14%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 23:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.14%E -3.14%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.14%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 16:54
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.30%E -3.89%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.14%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 00:40
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.30%E -3.89%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.14%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 00:40
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -5.56%E -2.48%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-01 22:09
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.98%E -2.68%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 00:35
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.98%E -2.68%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 00:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.98%E -2.68%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 00:35
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.98%E -2.68%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 00:34
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.98%E -2.68%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 00:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.98%E -2.68%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 00:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.98%E -2.40%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.98%E -2.68%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 00:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.98%E -2.40%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.98%E -2.68%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 00:35
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.98%E -2.40%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.98%E -2.68%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 00:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.98%E -2.40%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.41%E -2.89%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 16:25
NordicBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.98%E -2.40%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.41%E -2.89%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 00:35
Betsson🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.98%E -2.40%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.41%E -2.89%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 00:35
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.83%E -1.68%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.25%E -3.30%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 00:05
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.25%E -3.30%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 23:39
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.25%E -3.30%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 00:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.25%E -3.30%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 00:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.14%E -3.14%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.25%E -3.30%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 00:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.14%E -3.14%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.25%E -3.30%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 22:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.30%E -3.89%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.25%E -3.30%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 00:40
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.30%E -3.89%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.25%E -3.30%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 22:37
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.46%E -4.66%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.25%E -3.30%K -6.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 00:29
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.46%E -4.66%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.25%E -3.30%K -6.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 00:33
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -6.30%E -3.89%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -8.51%E -3.92%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 00:13
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.29%EV -6.88%E -4.27%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.71%EV -8.94%E -4.14%K -7.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 00:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%0.1%2026-08-02 00:39
Novig◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-08-02 00:39
ProphetX◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-08-02 00:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-08-02 00:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-08-02 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-08-02 00:40
Polymarket◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-01 16:50
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-02 00:40
Matchbook◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-08-02 00:40
Smarkets◎1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%3.0%2026-08-02 00:40