مدرسة الاحتمالاتodds.school
النموذج الافتراضيالمتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)
+ نموذج جديدجميع النماذج

San Diego Padres v San Francisco Giants

البداية: 2026-08-02 00:41 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: San Diego Padres 6–5 San Francisco Giants

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

65 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

San Diego Padres (المضيف)

التنبؤ 57.84%1.73السعر العادل
EV -1.09%
الأفضلية -0.639%
Kelly -1.54%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.71

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.70%57.90%57.89%59.50%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
1.571.651.661.7163.69%60.48%60.24%58.48%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

San Francisco Giants (الضيف)

التنبؤ 42.16%2.37السعر العادل
EV +1.18%
الأفضلية +0.493%
Kelly +0.845%
النمو +0.010%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.50%42.10%42.11%43.30%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
2.162.262.252.4046.30%44.18%44.44%41.67%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

وفق آخر الأسعار قبل البداية، قدّر نموذج ⁨المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)⁩ احتمالات سوق ⁨نتيجة المباراة⁩ كالآتي: ⁨San Diego Padres (المضيف)⁩: ⁨57.84%⁩؛ ⁨San Francisco Giants (الضيف)⁩: ⁨42.16%⁩. بالنسبة إلى ⁨San Francisco Giants (الضيف)⁩، كان هذا التقدير يعادل سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره ⁨2.37⁩. عرضت 4 شركات مراهنات أسعار إغلاق أعلى من ذلك المستوى؛ وكان أفضل سعر ⁨2.40⁩، بما يقابل قيمة متوقعة موجبة قدرها ⁨+1.18%⁩.

أسعار شركات المراهنات (65 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV +1.18%E +0.493%K +0.845%G +0.010%1.5%2026-08-02 00:30
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -4.56%E -2.77%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV +0.340%E +0.143%K +0.246%G +0.001%2.6%2026-08-02 00:30
BetAnything🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -5.14%E -3.14%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV +0.340%E +0.143%K +0.246%G +0.001%3.0%2026-08-02 00:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -6.30%E -3.89%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV +0.340%E +0.143%K +0.246%G +0.001%3.7%2026-08-02 00:30
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -2.83%E -1.68%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -0.504%E -0.213%K -0.370%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-02 00:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.25%E -1.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -0.925%E -0.394%K -0.685%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-01 17:09
GTbets🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -2.83%E -1.68%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -0.925%E -0.394%K -0.685%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-02 00:29
BetUS🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -3.98%E -2.40%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -0.925%E -0.394%K -0.685%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-02 00:35
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.56%E -2.77%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.925%E -0.394%K -0.685%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 00:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.83%E -1.68%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.77%E -0.759%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-02 00:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.83%E -1.68%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.77%E -0.759%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-02 00:30
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.88%E -4.27%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -1.77%E -0.759%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 00:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.03%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-02 00:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.56%E -2.77%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.03%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 00:35
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.56%E -2.77%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.03%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 00:29
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.56%E -2.77%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.03%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 00:34
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.56%E -2.77%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.03%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 00:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.30%E -3.89%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.03%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 00:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.46%E -4.66%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.03%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 16:49
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -9.19%E -5.85%K -16.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -3.03%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 00:29
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -1.09%E -0.639%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -3.45%E -1.51%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-01 16:34
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -1.67%E -0.983%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -3.88%E -1.70%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-02 00:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -1.67%E -0.983%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -3.88%E -1.70%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-02 00:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -4.30%E -1.89%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-01 22:45
Coolbet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.14%E -3.14%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.30%E -1.89%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 00:30
Bet Right🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.56%E -2.77%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.72%E -2.09%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-01 16:55
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.83%E -1.68%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.14%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 17:09
ReBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.14%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 22:09
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.14%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 21:48
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.14%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 00:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.14%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 00:34
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.56%E -2.77%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.14%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 16:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.56%E -2.77%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.14%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 16:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.56%E -2.77%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.14%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 16:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.56%E -2.77%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.14%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 00:39
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.56%E -2.77%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.14%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 00:39
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.56%E -2.77%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.14%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 23:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.14%E -3.14%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.14%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 16:54
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.30%E -3.89%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.14%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 00:40
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.30%E -3.89%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.14%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 00:40
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -5.56%E -2.48%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-01 22:09
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.98%E -2.68%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 00:35
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.98%E -2.68%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 00:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.98%E -2.68%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 00:35
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.98%E -2.68%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 00:34
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.98%E -2.68%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 00:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.98%E -2.68%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 00:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.98%E -2.40%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.98%E -2.68%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 00:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.98%E -2.40%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.98%E -2.68%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 00:35
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.98%E -2.40%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.98%E -2.68%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 00:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.98%E -2.40%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.41%E -2.89%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 16:25
NordicBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.98%E -2.40%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.41%E -2.89%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 00:35
Betsson🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.98%E -2.40%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.41%E -2.89%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 00:35
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.83%E -1.68%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.25%E -3.30%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 00:05
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.25%E -3.30%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 23:39
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.25%E -3.30%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 00:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.25%E -3.30%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 00:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.14%E -3.14%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.25%E -3.30%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 00:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.14%E -3.14%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.25%E -3.30%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 22:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.30%E -3.89%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.25%E -3.30%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 00:40
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.30%E -3.89%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.25%E -3.30%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 22:37
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.46%E -4.66%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.25%E -3.30%K -6.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 00:29
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.46%E -4.66%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.25%E -3.30%K -6.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 00:33
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -6.30%E -3.89%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -8.51%E -3.92%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 00:13
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.29%EV -6.88%E -4.27%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.71%EV -8.94%E -4.14%K -7.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 00:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%0.1%2026-08-02 00:39
Novig◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-08-02 00:39
ProphetX◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-08-02 00:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-08-02 00:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-08-02 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-08-02 00:40
Polymarket◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-01 16:50
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-02 00:40
Matchbook◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-08-02 00:40
Smarkets◎1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%3.0%2026-08-02 00:40