Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

San Diego Padres v San Francisco Giants

2026-08-02 00:41 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (19 en el análisis )

56%

44%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

San Diego Padres (Local)

Predicción 55.51%1.80momio equitativo

EV -1.74%

Ventaja -0.982%

Kelly -2.26%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

54.26%55.60%55.58%57.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

1.651.721.711.7760.61%58.30%58.48%56.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

San Francisco Giants (Visitante)

Predicción 44.49%2.25momio equitativo

EV +0.092%

Ventaja +0.041%

Kelly +0.073%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

42.86%44.40%44.42%45.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

2.052.152.152.2548.78%46.53%46.51%44.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: San Diego Padres (Local): 55.51%; San Francisco Giants (Visitante): 44.49%. Para San Francisco Giants (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.248. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.250, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.092%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local	Visitante ▼	Margen	Actualizado
Hard Rock Bet	1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.40%E -1.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +0.092%E +0.041%K +0.073%G +0.000%	1.9%	2026-08-01 05:04
FanDuel	1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -2.85%E -1.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%	2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -0.353%E -0.158%K -0.285%G +0.000%	1.8%	2026-08-01 00:40
Everygame	1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -2.85%E -1.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%	2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -0.353%E -0.158%K -0.285%G +0.000%	1.8%	2026-08-01 04:59
1xBet	1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.85%E -1.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%	2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.24%E -0.560%K -1.02%G +0.000%	2.2%	2026-08-01 00:54
GTbets	1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.74%E -0.982%K -2.26%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.13%E -0.969%K -1.78%G +0.000%	2.0%	2026-08-01 05:49
Tipico (DE)	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.40%E -5.09%K -12.92%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.13%E -0.969%K -1.78%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-01 05:34
Bovada	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -5.62%E -3.31%K -8.04%G +0.000%	2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -2.58%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-08-01 02:09
LowVig.ag	1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.74%E -0.982%K -2.26%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -3.02%E -1.39%K -2.56%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-08-01 05:49
BetOnline.ag	1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.74%E -0.982%K -2.26%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -3.02%E -1.39%K -2.56%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-08-01 05:49
BetUS	1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.74%E -0.982%K -2.26%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -3.02%E -1.39%K -2.56%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-08-01 05:49
BetRivers	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.51%E -2.62%K -6.27%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.02%E -1.39%K -2.56%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-01 03:44
Unibet (NL)	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.51%E -2.62%K -6.27%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.02%E -1.39%K -2.56%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-01 03:44
Unibet (SE)	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.51%E -2.62%K -6.27%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.02%E -1.39%K -2.56%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-01 03:44
Svenska Spel	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.51%E -2.62%K -6.27%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.02%E -1.39%K -2.56%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-01 03:44
MyBookie.ag	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.51%E -2.62%K -6.27%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.47%E -1.60%K -2.96%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-08-01 05:44
Bally Bet	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.07%E -2.96%K -7.14%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.91%E -1.81%K -3.37%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-01 03:29
betPARX	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.07%E -2.96%K -7.14%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.91%E -1.81%K -3.37%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-01 03:34
LeoVegas (SE)	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.07%E -2.96%K -7.14%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.91%E -1.81%K -3.37%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-01 03:44
Casumo	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.07%E -2.96%K -7.14%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.91%E -1.81%K -3.37%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-01 03:44
Unibet	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.07%E -2.96%K -7.14%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.91%E -1.81%K -3.37%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-01 03:44
ATG (SE)	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.07%E -2.96%K -7.14%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.91%E -1.81%K -3.37%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-01 03:44
TAB	1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.85%E -1.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-08-01 05:44
PointsBet (AU)	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.40%E -1.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-01 00:40
Betway	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.40%E -1.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-01 05:39
Caesars	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.40%E -1.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-01 05:38
theScore Bet	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.40%E -1.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-01 07:20
Ladbrokes (UK)	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.96%E -2.29%K -5.42%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-01 04:44
Coral	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.96%E -2.29%K -5.42%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-01 04:39
888sport	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.07%E -2.96%K -7.14%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-01 00:45
Bet Right	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.07%E -2.96%K -7.14%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-01 00:44
Mr Green (SE)	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.07%E -2.96%K -7.14%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-01 00:45
888sport (SE)	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.07%E -2.96%K -7.14%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-01 00:44
Coolbet	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.07%E -2.96%K -7.14%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-01 06:34
BetMGM	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.07%E -2.96%K -7.14%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-01 04:39
Fanatics	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.07%E -2.96%K -7.14%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-01 07:03
Marathon Bet	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.62%E -3.31%K -8.04%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-01 00:49
Betr (AU)	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.62%E -3.31%K -8.04%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-01 00:45
LiveScore Bet	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.62%E -3.31%K -8.04%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-01 03:39
Virgin Bet	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.62%E -3.31%K -8.04%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-01 03:44
TABtouch	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.62%E -3.31%K -8.04%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-01 03:44
Dabble (AU)	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.62%E -3.31%K -8.04%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-01 07:14
Fliff	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.18%E -3.66%K -8.96%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-01 03:05
SportsBet	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.74%E -4.01%K -9.90%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-01 00:39
Paddy Power	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.88%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-01 00:39
Unibet (UK)	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.07%E -2.96%K -7.14%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.80%E -2.24%K -4.21%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-01 05:38
DraftKings	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -3.40%E -1.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%	2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -5.25%E -2.46%K -4.64%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-08-01 05:39
PlayUp	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.51%E -2.62%K -6.27%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.69%E -2.68%K -5.08%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-01 05:44
NordicBet	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.51%E -2.62%K -6.27%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.69%E -2.68%K -5.08%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-01 05:44
Betsson	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.51%E -2.62%K -6.27%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.69%E -2.68%K -5.08%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-01 05:45
Betclic (FR)	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.62%E -3.31%K -8.04%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.69%E -2.68%K -5.08%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-01 05:42
BetAnything	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.74%E -0.982%K -2.26%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-01 05:49
William Hill	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.96%E -2.29%K -5.42%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-01 06:29
Neds	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.96%E -2.29%K -5.42%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-01 04:39
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.96%E -2.29%K -5.42%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-01 04:39
Winamax (DE)	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.62%E -3.31%K -8.04%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-01 05:38
ReBet	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.18%E -3.66%K -8.96%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-01 05:39
Bet Victor	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.88%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-01 05:39
betano_uk	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.88%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-01 05:39
Grosvenor	1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -8.40%E -5.09%K -12.92%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -7.47%E -3.59%K -6.92%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-08-01 03:44
Unibet (FR)	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.88%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-08-01 06:44
Winamax (FR)	1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -7.85%E -4.73%K -11.89%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-08-01 05:38

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
Novig	1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%	2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03%	0.9%	2026-08-01 08:40
Polymarket	1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%	2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%	1.2%	2026-08-01 02:40
Kalshi	1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%	2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%	1.2%	2026-08-01 04:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%	2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%	2.9%	2026-08-01 05:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%	2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%	2.9%	2026-08-01 05:49
ProphetX	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.73%	2.19I 45.66%NM 44.27%	3.1%	2026-08-01 08:45
Matchbook	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%	2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%	3.3%	2026-08-01 08:10
Smarkets	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%	5.9%	2026-08-01 06:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.74I 57.47%NM 36.73%	1.01I 99.01%NM 63.27%	56.5%	2026-08-01 08:45