Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

San Diego Padres v San Francisco Giants

2026-08-02 00:41 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

56%

44%

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

San Diego Padres (Local)

Prévision 55.51%1.80cote équitable

EV -1.74%

Avantage -0.982%

Kelly -2.26%

Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs

54.26%55.60%55.58%57.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Distribution des cotes

1.651.721.711.7760.61%58.30%58.48%56.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

San Francisco Giants (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.49%2.25cote équitable

EV +0.092%

Avantage +0.041%

Kelly +0.073%

Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs

42.86%44.40%44.42%45.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Distribution des cotes

2.052.152.152.2548.78%46.53%46.51%44.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : San Diego Padres (Local) : 55.51% ; San Francisco Giants (Visiteur) : 44.49%. Pour San Francisco Giants (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.248. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.250, pour une espérance positive de +0.092%.

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

Opérateur	Local	Visiteur ▼	Marge	Mise à jour
Hard Rock Bet	1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.40%E -1.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +0.092%E +0.041%K +0.073%G +0.000%	1.9%	2026-08-01 05:04
FanDuel	1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -2.85%E -1.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%	2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -0.353%E -0.158%K -0.285%G +0.000%	1.8%	2026-08-01 00:40
Everygame	1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -2.85%E -1.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%	2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -0.353%E -0.158%K -0.285%G +0.000%	1.8%	2026-08-01 04:59
1xBet	1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.85%E -1.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%	2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.24%E -0.560%K -1.02%G +0.000%	2.2%	2026-08-01 00:54
GTbets	1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.74%E -0.982%K -2.26%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.13%E -0.969%K -1.78%G +0.000%	2.0%	2026-08-01 05:49
Tipico (DE)	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.40%E -5.09%K -12.92%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.13%E -0.969%K -1.78%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-01 05:34
Bovada	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -5.62%E -3.31%K -8.04%G +0.000%	2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -2.58%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-08-01 02:09
LowVig.ag	1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.74%E -0.982%K -2.26%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -3.02%E -1.39%K -2.56%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-08-01 05:49
BetOnline.ag	1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.74%E -0.982%K -2.26%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -3.02%E -1.39%K -2.56%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-08-01 05:49
BetUS	1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.74%E -0.982%K -2.26%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -3.02%E -1.39%K -2.56%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-08-01 05:49
BetRivers	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.51%E -2.62%K -6.27%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.02%E -1.39%K -2.56%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-01 03:44
Unibet (NL)	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.51%E -2.62%K -6.27%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.02%E -1.39%K -2.56%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-01 03:44
Unibet (SE)	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.51%E -2.62%K -6.27%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.02%E -1.39%K -2.56%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-01 03:44
Svenska Spel	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.51%E -2.62%K -6.27%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.02%E -1.39%K -2.56%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-01 03:44
MyBookie.ag	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.51%E -2.62%K -6.27%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.47%E -1.60%K -2.96%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-08-01 05:44
Bally Bet	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.07%E -2.96%K -7.14%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.91%E -1.81%K -3.37%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-01 03:29
betPARX	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.07%E -2.96%K -7.14%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.91%E -1.81%K -3.37%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-01 03:34
LeoVegas (SE)	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.07%E -2.96%K -7.14%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.91%E -1.81%K -3.37%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-01 03:44
Casumo	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.07%E -2.96%K -7.14%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.91%E -1.81%K -3.37%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-01 03:44
Unibet	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.07%E -2.96%K -7.14%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.91%E -1.81%K -3.37%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-01 03:44
ATG (SE)	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.07%E -2.96%K -7.14%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.91%E -1.81%K -3.37%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-01 03:44
TAB	1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.85%E -1.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-08-01 05:44
PointsBet (AU)	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.40%E -1.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-01 00:40
Betway	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.40%E -1.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-01 05:39
Caesars	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.40%E -1.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-01 05:38
theScore Bet	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.40%E -1.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-01 07:20
Ladbrokes (UK)	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.96%E -2.29%K -5.42%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-01 04:44
Coral	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.96%E -2.29%K -5.42%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-01 04:39
888sport	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.07%E -2.96%K -7.14%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-01 00:45
Bet Right	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.07%E -2.96%K -7.14%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-01 00:44
Mr Green (SE)	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.07%E -2.96%K -7.14%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-01 00:45
888sport (SE)	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.07%E -2.96%K -7.14%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-01 00:44
Coolbet	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.07%E -2.96%K -7.14%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-01 06:34
BetMGM	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.07%E -2.96%K -7.14%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-01 04:39
Fanatics	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.07%E -2.96%K -7.14%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-01 07:03
Marathon Bet	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.62%E -3.31%K -8.04%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-01 00:49
Betr (AU)	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.62%E -3.31%K -8.04%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-01 00:45
LiveScore Bet	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.62%E -3.31%K -8.04%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-01 03:39
Virgin Bet	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.62%E -3.31%K -8.04%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-01 03:44
TABtouch	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.62%E -3.31%K -8.04%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-01 03:44
Dabble (AU)	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.62%E -3.31%K -8.04%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-01 07:14
Fliff	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.18%E -3.66%K -8.96%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-01 03:05
SportsBet	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.74%E -4.01%K -9.90%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-01 00:39
Paddy Power	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.88%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-01 00:39
Unibet (UK)	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.07%E -2.96%K -7.14%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.80%E -2.24%K -4.21%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-01 05:38
DraftKings	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -3.40%E -1.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%	2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -5.25%E -2.46%K -4.64%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-08-01 05:39
PlayUp	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.51%E -2.62%K -6.27%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.69%E -2.68%K -5.08%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-01 05:44
NordicBet	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.51%E -2.62%K -6.27%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.69%E -2.68%K -5.08%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-01 05:44
Betsson	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.51%E -2.62%K -6.27%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.69%E -2.68%K -5.08%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-01 05:45
Betclic (FR)	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.62%E -3.31%K -8.04%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.69%E -2.68%K -5.08%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-01 05:42
BetAnything	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.74%E -0.982%K -2.26%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-01 05:49
William Hill	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.96%E -2.29%K -5.42%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-01 06:29
Neds	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.96%E -2.29%K -5.42%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-01 04:39
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.96%E -2.29%K -5.42%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-01 04:39
Winamax (DE)	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.62%E -3.31%K -8.04%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-01 05:38
ReBet	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.18%E -3.66%K -8.96%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-01 05:39
Bet Victor	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.88%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-01 05:39
betano_uk	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.88%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-01 05:39
Grosvenor	1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -8.40%E -5.09%K -12.92%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -7.47%E -3.59%K -6.92%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-08-01 03:44
Unibet (FR)	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.29%E -4.37%K -10.88%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-08-01 06:44
Winamax (FR)	1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -7.85%E -4.73%K -11.89%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-08-01 05:38

Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

Opérateur	Local	Visiteur	Marge ▲	Mise à jour
Novig	1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%	2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03%	0.9%	2026-08-01 08:40
Polymarket	1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%	2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%	1.2%	2026-08-01 02:40
Kalshi	1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%	2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%	1.2%	2026-08-01 04:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%	2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%	2.9%	2026-08-01 05:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%	2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%	2.9%	2026-08-01 05:49
ProphetX	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.73%	2.19I 45.66%NM 44.27%	3.1%	2026-08-01 08:45
Matchbook	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%	2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%	3.3%	2026-08-01 08:10
Smarkets	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%	5.9%	2026-08-01 06:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.74I 57.47%NM 36.73%	1.01I 99.01%NM 63.27%	56.5%	2026-08-01 08:45