Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

San Diego Padres v San Francisco Giants

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-02 00:41 UTC

Score final : San Diego Padres 6–5 San Francisco Giants

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

San Diego Padres (Local)

Prévision 57.84%1.73cote équitable
EV -1.09%
Avantage -0.639%
Kelly -1.54%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.70%57.90%57.89%59.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.571.651.661.7163.69%60.48%60.24%58.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

San Francisco Giants (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.16%2.37cote équitable
EV +1.18%
Avantage +0.493%
Kelly +0.845%
Croissance +0.010%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.50%42.10%42.11%43.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.162.262.252.4046.30%44.18%44.44%41.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : San Diego Padres (Local) : 57.84% ; San Francisco Giants (Visiteur) : 42.16%. Pour San Francisco Giants (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.37. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.40, soit une espérance positive de +1.18%.

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV +1.18%E +0.493%K +0.845%G +0.010%1.5%2026-08-02 00:30
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -4.56%E -2.77%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV +0.340%E +0.143%K +0.246%G +0.001%2.6%2026-08-02 00:30
BetAnything🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -5.14%E -3.14%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV +0.340%E +0.143%K +0.246%G +0.001%3.0%2026-08-02 00:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -6.30%E -3.89%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV +0.340%E +0.143%K +0.246%G +0.001%3.7%2026-08-02 00:30
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -2.83%E -1.68%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -0.504%E -0.213%K -0.370%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-02 00:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.25%E -1.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -0.925%E -0.394%K -0.685%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-01 17:09
GTbets🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -2.83%E -1.68%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -0.925%E -0.394%K -0.685%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-02 00:29
BetUS🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -3.98%E -2.40%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -0.925%E -0.394%K -0.685%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-02 00:35
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.56%E -2.77%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.925%E -0.394%K -0.685%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 00:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.83%E -1.68%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.77%E -0.759%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-02 00:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.83%E -1.68%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.77%E -0.759%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-02 00:30
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.88%E -4.27%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -1.77%E -0.759%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 00:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.03%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-02 00:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.56%E -2.77%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.03%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 00:35
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.56%E -2.77%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.03%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 00:29
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.56%E -2.77%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.03%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 00:34
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.56%E -2.77%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.03%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 00:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.30%E -3.89%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.03%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 00:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.46%E -4.66%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.03%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 16:49
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -9.19%E -5.85%K -16.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -3.03%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 00:29
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -1.09%E -0.639%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -3.45%E -1.51%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-01 16:34
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -1.67%E -0.983%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -3.88%E -1.70%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-02 00:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -1.67%E -0.983%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -3.88%E -1.70%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-02 00:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -4.30%E -1.89%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-01 22:45
Coolbet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.14%E -3.14%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.30%E -1.89%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 00:30
Bet Right🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.56%E -2.77%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.72%E -2.09%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-01 16:55
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.83%E -1.68%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.14%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 17:09
ReBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.14%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 22:09
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.14%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 21:48
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.14%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 00:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.14%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 00:34
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.56%E -2.77%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.14%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 16:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.56%E -2.77%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.14%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 16:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.56%E -2.77%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.14%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 16:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.56%E -2.77%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.14%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 00:39
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.56%E -2.77%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.14%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 00:39
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.56%E -2.77%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.14%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 23:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.14%E -3.14%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.14%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 16:54
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.30%E -3.89%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.14%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 00:40
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.30%E -3.89%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.14%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 00:40
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -5.56%E -2.48%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-01 22:09
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.98%E -2.68%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 00:35
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.98%E -2.68%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 00:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.98%E -2.68%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 00:35
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.98%E -2.68%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 00:34
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.98%E -2.68%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 00:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.98%E -2.68%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 00:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.98%E -2.40%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.98%E -2.68%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 00:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.98%E -2.40%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.98%E -2.68%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 00:35
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.98%E -2.40%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.98%E -2.68%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 00:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.98%E -2.40%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.41%E -2.89%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 16:25
NordicBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.98%E -2.40%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.41%E -2.89%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 00:35
Betsson🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.98%E -2.40%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.41%E -2.89%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 00:35
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.83%E -1.68%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.25%E -3.30%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 00:05
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.25%E -3.30%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 23:39
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.25%E -3.30%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 00:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.25%E -3.30%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 00:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.14%E -3.14%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.25%E -3.30%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 00:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.14%E -3.14%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.25%E -3.30%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 22:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.30%E -3.89%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.25%E -3.30%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 00:40
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.30%E -3.89%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.25%E -3.30%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 22:37
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.46%E -4.66%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.25%E -3.30%K -6.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 00:29
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.46%E -4.66%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.25%E -3.30%K -6.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 00:33
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -6.30%E -3.89%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -8.51%E -3.92%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 00:13
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.29%EV -6.88%E -4.27%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.71%EV -8.94%E -4.14%K -7.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 00:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%0.1%2026-08-02 00:39
Novig◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-08-02 00:39
ProphetX◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-08-02 00:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-08-02 00:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-08-02 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-08-02 00:40
Polymarket◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-01 16:50
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-02 00:40
Matchbook◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-08-02 00:40
Smarkets◎1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%3.0%2026-08-02 00:40