Language:English
San Diego Padres v Pittsburgh Pirates
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
San Diego Padres (Local)
Prediction 55.76%1.79fair odd
EV +2.03%
Edge +1.11%
Kelly +2.45%
Growth +0.050%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%55.45%55.78%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.721.711.8361.35%58.27%58.48%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit)
Prediction 44.24%2.26fair odd
EV -0.009%
Edge -0.004%
Kelly -0.007%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%44.55%44.22%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.162.172.2650.00%46.24%46.19%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego Padres (Local): 55.76%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit): 44.24%. For San Diego Padres (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.79. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.83, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.03%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV +2.03%E +1.11%K +2.45%G +0.050% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -9.30%E -4.54%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-26 20:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +0.361%E +0.201%K +0.451%G +0.002% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -11.51%E -5.76%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-26 20:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -0.754%E -0.424%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -11.51%E -5.76%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-26 20:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.31%E -0.741%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-26 14:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -1.87%E -1.06%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -1.78%E -0.801%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-26 18:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -1.87%E -1.06%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -1.78%E -0.801%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-26 18:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -1.87%E -1.06%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -1.78%E -0.801%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-26 20:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -1.87%E -1.06%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-26 20:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -1.87%E -1.06%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-26 20:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -2.43%E -1.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -0.894%E -0.399%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-26 20:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.43%E -1.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.78%E -0.801%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-26 19:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.43%E -1.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.22%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-26 20:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -2.43%E -1.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -11.51%E -5.76%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-26 19:56 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -2.43%E -1.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -11.51%E -5.76%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-26 19:56 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -2.98%E -1.72%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -0.009%E -0.004%K -0.007%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-26 19:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.98%E -1.72%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.451%E -0.201%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-26 17:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV -2.98%E -1.72%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV -2.22%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-26 18:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.98%E -1.72%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-26 14:03 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -3.54%E -2.05%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%EV -2.22%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-26 19:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.54%E -2.05%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -4.43%E -2.05%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-26 20:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -1.34%E -0.599%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-26 18:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -1.34%E -0.599%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-26 18:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-26 20:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-26 20:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.20%E -2.93%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-26 20:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.20%E -2.93%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-26 20:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.20%E -2.93%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-26 20:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.09%E -3.38%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-26 18:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.66%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-26 19:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.66%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.55%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-26 20:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.66%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-26 14:03 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.66%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-26 14:03 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.66%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-26 14:03 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.66%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-26 20:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-26 20:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-26 18:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-26 18:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-26 18:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-26 18:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-26 18:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-26 18:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-26 18:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-26 18:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-26 19:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.55%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-26 19:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.55%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-26 19:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.99%E -1.84%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-26 19:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-26 18:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-26 14:03 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-26 19:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-26 20:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-26 20:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.09%E -3.38%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-26 17:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.77%E -3.42%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-26 20:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.77%E -3.42%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-26 17:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.33%E -3.77%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.55%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-26 18:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.33%E -3.77%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.09%E -3.38%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-26 17:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.89%E -4.12%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-26 19:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.89%E -4.12%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-26 18:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.89%E -4.12%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-26 17:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -7.44%E -4.48%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -4.43%E -2.05%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-26 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -7.44%E -4.48%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -4.43%E -2.05%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-26 18:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -7.44%E -4.48%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.09%E -3.38%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-26 19:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.53%EV -9.12%E -5.59%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.47%EV -6.20%E -2.93%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-26 18:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 56.13% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 43.87% | -0.5% | 2026-08-26 20:09 |
| Novig◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31% | 0.3% | 2026-08-26 20:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 0.4% | 2026-08-26 20:04 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 0.8% | 2026-08-26 20:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-08-26 20:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14% | 1.1% | 2026-08-26 20:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14% | 1.1% | 2026-08-26 20:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14% | 1.1% | 2026-08-26 20:09 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-08-26 19:14 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22% | 1.9% | 2026-08-26 19:55 |