Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Diego Padres v Pittsburgh Pirates

Início: 2026-08-26 20:11 UTC

Final: San Diego Padres 3–0 Pittsburgh Pirates

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Diego Padres (Local)

Previsão 55.76%1.79odd justa
EV +2.03%
Vantagem +1.11%
Kelly +2.45%
Crescimento +0.050%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.63%55.45%55.78%56.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.631.721.711.8361.35%58.27%58.48%54.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)

Previsão 44.24%2.26odd justa
EV -0.009%
Vantagem -0.004%
Kelly -0.007%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.26

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.15%44.55%44.22%47.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.162.172.2650.00%46.24%46.19%44.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: San Diego Padres (Local): 55.76%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante): 44.24%. Para San Diego Padres (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.79. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.83, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.03%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV +2.03%E +1.11%K +2.45%G +0.050%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -9.30%E -4.54%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-26 20:09
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +0.361%E +0.201%K +0.451%G +0.002%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -11.51%E -5.76%K -11.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-26 20:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -0.754%E -0.424%K -0.967%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -11.51%E -5.76%K -11.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-26 20:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.31%E -0.741%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-26 14:09
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -1.87%E -1.06%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -1.78%E -0.801%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-26 18:19
Everygame🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -1.87%E -1.06%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -1.78%E -0.801%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-26 18:24
GTbets🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -1.87%E -1.06%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -1.78%E -0.801%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-26 20:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -1.87%E -1.06%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-26 20:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -1.87%E -1.06%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-26 20:04
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -2.43%E -1.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -0.894%E -0.399%K -0.721%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-26 20:04
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.43%E -1.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.78%E -0.801%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-26 19:34
BetUS🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.43%E -1.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.22%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-26 20:04
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -2.43%E -1.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -11.51%E -5.76%K -11.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-26 19:56
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -2.43%E -1.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -11.51%E -5.76%K -11.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-26 19:56
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -2.98%E -1.72%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -0.009%E -0.004%K -0.007%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-26 19:39
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.98%E -1.72%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.451%E -0.201%K -0.361%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-26 17:39
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV -2.98%E -1.72%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV -2.22%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-26 18:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.98%E -1.72%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-26 14:03
BetAnything🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -3.54%E -2.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%EV -2.22%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-26 19:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.54%E -2.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -4.43%E -2.05%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-26 20:09
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -1.34%E -0.599%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-26 18:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -1.34%E -0.599%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-26 18:59
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-26 20:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-26 20:09
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.20%E -2.93%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 20:04
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.20%E -2.93%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 20:05
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.20%E -2.93%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 20:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.09%E -3.38%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-26 18:59
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.66%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-26 19:39
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.66%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.55%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-26 20:09
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.66%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 14:03
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.66%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 14:03
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.66%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 14:03
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.66%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 20:09
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-26 20:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-26 18:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-26 18:34
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-26 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-26 18:59
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-26 18:59
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-26 18:55
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-26 18:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-26 18:59
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-26 19:34
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.55%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-26 19:39
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.55%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-26 19:40
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.99%E -1.84%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-26 19:39
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 18:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 14:03
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 19:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 20:09
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 20:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.09%E -3.38%K -6.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-26 17:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.77%E -3.42%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-26 20:00
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.77%E -3.42%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-26 17:55
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.33%E -3.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.55%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-26 18:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.33%E -3.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.09%E -3.38%K -6.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-26 17:49
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.89%E -4.12%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 19:40
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.89%E -4.12%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-26 18:10
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.89%E -4.12%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-26 17:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -7.44%E -4.48%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -4.43%E -2.05%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-26 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -7.44%E -4.48%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -4.43%E -2.05%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-26 18:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -7.44%E -4.48%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.09%E -3.38%K -6.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-26 19:44
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.53%EV -9.12%E -5.59%K -14.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.47%EV -6.20%E -2.93%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-26 18:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.79I 55.87%NM 56.13%2.29I 43.67%NM 43.87%-0.5%2026-08-26 20:09
Novig◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%0.3%2026-08-26 20:09
ProphetX◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-08-26 20:04
Matchbook◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-08-26 20:09
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-26 20:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-08-26 20:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-08-26 20:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-08-26 20:09
Polymarket◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-26 19:14
Smarkets◎1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%1.9%2026-08-26 19:55