Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

San Diego Padres v Pittsburgh Pirates

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-26 20:11 UTC

Score final : San Diego Padres 3–0 Pittsburgh Pirates

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

San Diego Padres (Local)

Prévision 55.76%1.79cote équitable
EV +2.03%
Avantage +1.11%
Kelly +2.45%
Croissance +0.050%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.63%55.45%55.78%56.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.631.721.711.8361.35%58.27%58.48%54.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.24%2.26cote équitable
EV -0.009%
Avantage -0.004%
Kelly -0.007%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.15%44.55%44.22%47.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.162.172.2650.00%46.24%46.19%44.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : San Diego Padres (Local) : 55.76% ; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visiteur) : 44.24%. Pour San Diego Padres (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.79. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 1.83, soit une espérance positive de +2.03%.

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV +2.03%E +1.11%K +2.45%G +0.050%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -9.30%E -4.54%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-26 20:09
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +0.361%E +0.201%K +0.451%G +0.002%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -11.51%E -5.76%K -11.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-26 20:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -0.754%E -0.424%K -0.967%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -11.51%E -5.76%K -11.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-26 20:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.31%E -0.741%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-26 14:09
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -1.87%E -1.06%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -1.78%E -0.801%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-26 18:19
Everygame🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -1.87%E -1.06%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -1.78%E -0.801%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-26 18:24
GTbets🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -1.87%E -1.06%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -1.78%E -0.801%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-26 20:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -1.87%E -1.06%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-26 20:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -1.87%E -1.06%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-26 20:04
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -2.43%E -1.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -0.894%E -0.399%K -0.721%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-26 20:04
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.43%E -1.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.78%E -0.801%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-26 19:34
BetUS🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.43%E -1.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.22%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-26 20:04
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -2.43%E -1.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -11.51%E -5.76%K -11.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-26 19:56
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -2.43%E -1.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -11.51%E -5.76%K -11.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-26 19:56
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -2.98%E -1.72%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -0.009%E -0.004%K -0.007%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-26 19:39
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.98%E -1.72%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.451%E -0.201%K -0.361%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-26 17:39
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV -2.98%E -1.72%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV -2.22%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-26 18:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.98%E -1.72%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-26 14:03
BetAnything🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -3.54%E -2.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%EV -2.22%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-26 19:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.54%E -2.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -4.43%E -2.05%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-26 20:09
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -1.34%E -0.599%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-26 18:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -1.34%E -0.599%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-26 18:59
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-26 20:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-26 20:09
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.20%E -2.93%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 20:04
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.20%E -2.93%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 20:05
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.20%E -2.93%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 20:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.10%E -2.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.09%E -3.38%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-26 18:59
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.66%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-26 19:39
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.66%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.55%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-26 20:09
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.66%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 14:03
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.66%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 14:03
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.66%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 14:03
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.66%E -2.72%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 20:09
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-26 20:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-26 18:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-26 18:34
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-26 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-26 18:59
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-26 18:59
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-26 18:55
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-26 18:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-26 18:59
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-26 19:34
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.55%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-26 19:39
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.55%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-26 19:40
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.99%E -1.84%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-26 19:39
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 18:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 14:03
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 19:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 20:09
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 20:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.21%E -3.07%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.09%E -3.38%K -6.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-26 17:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.77%E -3.42%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-26 20:00
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.77%E -3.42%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-26 17:55
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.33%E -3.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.55%E -1.63%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-26 18:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.33%E -3.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.09%E -3.38%K -6.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-26 17:49
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.89%E -4.12%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 19:40
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.89%E -4.12%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-26 18:10
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.89%E -4.12%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.88%E -2.27%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-26 17:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -7.44%E -4.48%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -4.43%E -2.05%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-26 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -7.44%E -4.48%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -4.43%E -2.05%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-26 18:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -7.44%E -4.48%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.09%E -3.38%K -6.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-26 19:44
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.53%EV -9.12%E -5.59%K -14.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.47%EV -6.20%E -2.93%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-26 18:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly◎1.79I 55.87%NM 56.13%2.29I 43.67%NM 43.87%-0.5%2026-08-26 20:09
Novig◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%0.3%2026-08-26 20:09
ProphetX◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-08-26 20:04
Matchbook◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-08-26 20:09
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-26 20:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-08-26 20:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-08-26 20:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-08-26 20:09
Polymarket◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-26 19:14
Smarkets◎1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%1.9%2026-08-26 19:55