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San Diego Padres v Milwaukee Brewers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
San Diego Padres (Local)
Prediction 45.60%2.19fair odd
EV -0.595%
Edge -0.273%
Kelly -0.504%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.01%45.66%45.74%47.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.102.102.1850.00%47.66%47.62%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Milwaukee Brewers (Visit)
Prediction 54.40%1.84fair odd
EV +1.19%
Edge +0.638%
Kelly +1.38%
Growth +0.016%
assuming max odds 1.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.67%54.34%54.26%55.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.751.751.8659.52%57.04%57.14%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego Padres (Local): 45.60%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visit): 54.40%. For Milwaukee Brewers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.84. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.86, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.19%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -5.61%E -2.71%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV +1.19%E +0.638%K +1.38%G +0.016% | 2.1% | 2026-08-11 15:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.96%E -0.913%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.08%E -1.15%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.96%E -0.913%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.08%E -1.15%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-12 01:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -5.61%E -2.71%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -2.08%E -1.15%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-12 01:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%EV -0.595%E -0.273%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%EV -2.62%E -1.46%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -1.05%E -0.484%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.62%E -1.46%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-11 21:13 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.51%E -0.698%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.62%E -1.46%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-11 22:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.595%E -0.273%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.17%E -1.78%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-12 00:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.51%E -0.698%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.17%E -1.78%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-12 00:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.51%E -0.698%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.17%E -1.78%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-12 00:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -4.70%E -2.25%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.17%E -1.78%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-11 22:43 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -0.595%E -0.273%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-12 01:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -1.96%E -0.913%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-11 23:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -1.96%E -0.913%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-11 23:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-11 19:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-11 22:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-11 19:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-11 21:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 23:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 01:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -1.05%E -0.484%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -4.25%E -2.42%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-12 00:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.61%E -2.71%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.25%E -2.42%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 00:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.61%E -2.71%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.25%E -2.42%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 00:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.07%E -2.94%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.25%E -2.42%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 01:38 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -8.80%E -4.40%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -4.25%E -2.42%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-12 01:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.33%E -1.57%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 23:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.33%E -1.57%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 23:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -3.79%E -1.79%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-12 01:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-12 00:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-12 00:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 23:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-12 01:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.15%E -2.48%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 00:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.80%E -4.40%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 01:28 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.80%E -4.40%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 01:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.33%E -1.57%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-11 23:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.33%E -1.57%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-11 23:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.33%E -1.57%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-11 23:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.33%E -1.57%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-11 23:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.33%E -1.57%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-11 23:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.33%E -1.57%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-11 23:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 23:08 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.15%E -2.48%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-11 22:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-12 01:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-12 01:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.89%E -3.40%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 22:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.89%E -3.40%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 00:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.89%E -3.40%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 22:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.89%E -3.40%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 22:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.89%E -3.40%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 23:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.89%E -3.40%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-11 23:13 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.89%E -3.40%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-11 19:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -5.15%E -2.48%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -6.97%E -4.08%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-11 23:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -5.15%E -2.48%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -6.97%E -4.08%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-11 23:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -7.89%E -3.91%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -6.97%E -4.08%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-12 01:13 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.52%E -4.42%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-11 19:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -1.96%E -0.913%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.06%E -4.77%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-11 22:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -6.98%E -3.42%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -8.61%E -5.12%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-11 23:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59% | 0.1% | 2026-08-12 01:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.19I 45.66%NM 45.52% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.48% | 0.3% | 2026-08-12 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 0.5% | 2026-08-12 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 0.5% | 2026-08-12 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 0.5% | 2026-08-12 00:25 |
| Novig◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25% | 0.7% | 2026-08-11 23:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-11 21:39 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-12 01:14 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41% | 1.5% | 2026-08-12 01:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31% | 2.3% | 2026-08-12 01:35 |