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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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San Diego Padres v Milwaukee Brewers

2026-08-12 01:41 UTC — MLB

胜负盘

51 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

San Diego Padres (主队)

预测 43.95%2.28公平赔率
EV +0.208%
优势 +0.091%
Kelly +0.162%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.28

博彩公司预测分布
43.00%44.00%43.93%45.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.052.172.152.2848.78%46.16%46.51%43.86%最小值均值中位数最大值

Milwaukee Brewers (客队)

预测 56.05%1.78公平赔率
EV -1.91%
优势 -1.09%
Kelly -2.55%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.75

博彩公司预测分布
54.97%56.00%56.07%57.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.641.711.711.7560.98%58.59%58.48%57.14%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：San Diego Padres (主队)：43.95%；Milwaukee Brewers (客队)：56.05%。 对于“San Diego Padres (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.275。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为2.280，由此产生+0.208%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (51 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
GTbets🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV +0.208%E +0.091%K +0.162%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -3.60%E -2.09%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-10 18:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.11%E -0.494%K -0.889%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.47%E -1.42%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-10 19:40
Caesars🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.11%E -0.494%K -0.889%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.47%E -1.42%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-10 20:43
BetOnline.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.11%E -0.494%K -0.889%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.60%E -2.09%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-10 19:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.11%E -0.494%K -0.889%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.60%E -2.09%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-10 19:00
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.11%E -0.494%K -0.889%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.60%E -2.09%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-11 01:44
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.43%E -1.09%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.91%E -1.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-10 21:29
Pinnacle🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.43%E -1.09%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.47%E -1.42%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-10 21:35
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-11 01:45
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.72%E -2.77%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-10 20:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.72%E -2.77%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-10 20:45
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.28%E -3.12%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 01:05
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.28%E -3.12%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 20:50
DraftKings🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -3.75%E -1.71%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.72%E -2.77%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-10 19:35
FanDuel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.19%E -1.92%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.60%E -2.09%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-11 01:04
Unibet (UK)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.19%E -1.92%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.72%E -2.77%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-10 19:34
Bet Right🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.19%E -1.92%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.72%E -2.77%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-10 19:59
Bovada🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -4.63%E -2.13%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 01:05
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.63%E -2.13%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.72%E -2.77%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-10 19:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -5.07%E -2.35%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 00:59
BetRivers🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -5.07%E -2.35%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 00:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -5.07%E -2.35%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 00:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -5.07%E -2.35%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.03%E -1.75%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 01:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.47%E -1.42%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-10 19:40
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.47%E -1.42%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-10 19:54
Casumo🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.60%E -2.09%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 01:00
Unibet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.60%E -2.09%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 00:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.60%E -2.09%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 00:59
betPARX🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.60%E -2.09%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 01:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.60%E -2.09%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 00:59
Bally Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.60%E -2.09%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 01:00
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-10 19:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-10 19:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-10 19:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.72%E -2.77%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 20:05
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.72%E -2.77%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 20:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.72%E -2.77%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 20:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.72%E -2.77%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 21:24
ReBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.28%E -3.12%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-11 01:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.84%E -3.47%K -8.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-10 19:38
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.84%E -3.47%K -8.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-10 19:35
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.40%E -3.83%K -9.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-10 18:55
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.40%E -3.83%K -9.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-10 19:35
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.40%E -3.83%K -9.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-10 19:40
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.95%E -2.78%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-11 01:00
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.60%E -2.09%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-10 19:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.72%E -2.77%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-11 00:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.72%E -2.77%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-11 00:59
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -8.08%E -4.93%K -12.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-11 01:45
Grosvenor🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.50%EV -9.02%E -4.36%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -6.96%E -4.19%K -10.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-11 01:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44%EV -9.90%E -4.83%K -9.43%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -8.08%E -4.93%K -12.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-11 01:49
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-08-11 01:05
Polymarket◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-08-10 18:50
Novig◎2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25%1.6%2026-08-11 00:05
Matchbook◎2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%5.0%2026-08-11 01:55
Smarkets◎2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%6.5%2026-08-11 02:05

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