Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Diego Padres v Milwaukee Brewers

Início: 2026-08-12 01:41 UTC

Final: San Diego Padres 11–2 Milwaukee Brewers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Diego Padres (Local)

Previsão 45.60%2.19odd justa
EV -0.595%
Vantagem -0.273%
Kelly -0.504%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.18

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.01%45.66%45.74%47.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.102.102.1850.00%47.66%47.62%45.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante)

Previsão 54.40%1.84odd justa
EV +1.19%
Vantagem +0.638%
Kelly +1.38%
Crescimento +0.016%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.86

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.67%54.34%54.26%55.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.681.751.751.8659.52%57.04%57.14%53.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: San Diego Padres (Local): 45.60%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante): 54.40%. Para Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.84. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.86, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.19%.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -5.61%E -2.71%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV +1.19%E +0.638%K +1.38%G +0.016%2.1%2026-08-11 15:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.96%E -0.913%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.08%E -1.15%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-11 22:45
Pinnacle🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.96%E -0.913%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.08%E -1.15%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-12 01:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -5.61%E -2.71%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -2.08%E -1.15%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-12 01:40
DraftKings🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%EV -0.595%E -0.273%K -0.504%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%EV -2.62%E -1.46%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-11 22:40
Caesars🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -1.05%E -0.484%K -0.898%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.62%E -1.46%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-11 21:13
FanDuel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.51%E -0.698%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.62%E -1.46%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-11 22:55
GTbets🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.595%E -0.273%K -0.504%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.17%E -1.78%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-12 00:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.51%E -0.698%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.17%E -1.78%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-12 00:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.51%E -0.698%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.17%E -1.78%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-12 00:20
MyBookie.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -4.70%E -2.25%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.17%E -1.78%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-11 22:43
BetUS🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -0.595%E -0.273%K -0.504%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-12 01:24
BetRivers🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -1.96%E -0.913%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-11 23:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -1.96%E -0.913%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-11 23:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 19:09
ReBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 22:29
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 19:29
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 21:30
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 23:05
Dabble (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 01:14
BetAnything🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -1.05%E -0.484%K -0.898%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -4.25%E -2.42%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-12 00:44
Betsson🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.61%E -2.71%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.25%E -2.42%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 00:20
NordicBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.61%E -2.71%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.25%E -2.42%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 00:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.07%E -2.94%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.25%E -2.42%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 01:38
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -8.80%E -4.40%K -8.80%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -4.25%E -2.42%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-12 01:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.33%E -1.57%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 23:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.33%E -1.57%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 23:49
Bovada🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -3.79%E -1.79%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 01:39
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 00:20
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 00:19
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 23:10
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 01:39
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.15%E -2.48%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 00:20
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.80%E -4.40%K -8.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 01:28
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.80%E -4.40%K -8.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 01:29
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.33%E -1.57%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 23:49
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.33%E -1.57%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 23:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.33%E -1.57%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 23:49
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.33%E -1.57%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 23:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.33%E -1.57%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 23:50
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.33%E -1.57%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 23:50
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 23:08
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.15%E -2.48%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-11 22:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-12 01:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-11 22:40
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-12 01:39
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.89%E -3.40%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 22:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.89%E -3.40%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 00:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.89%E -3.40%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 22:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.89%E -3.40%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 22:54
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.89%E -3.40%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 23:49
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.89%E -3.40%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-11 23:13
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.89%E -3.40%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-11 19:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -5.15%E -2.48%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -6.97%E -4.08%K -9.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-11 23:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -5.15%E -2.48%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -6.97%E -4.08%K -9.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-11 23:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -7.89%E -3.91%K -7.74%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -6.97%E -4.08%K -9.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-12 01:13
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.52%E -4.42%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-11 19:29
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -1.96%E -0.913%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.06%E -4.77%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-11 22:39
Grosvenor🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -6.98%E -3.42%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -8.61%E -5.12%K -12.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-11 23:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%0.1%2026-08-12 01:15
ProphetX◎2.19I 45.66%NM 45.52%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.48%0.3%2026-08-12 01:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-08-12 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-08-12 00:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-08-12 00:25
Novig◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%0.7%2026-08-11 23:09
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-08-11 21:39
Polymarket◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-08-12 01:14
Matchbook◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%1.5%2026-08-12 01:40
Smarkets◎2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%2.3%2026-08-12 01:35