Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego Padres v Miami Marlins

2026-09-20 00:40 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

58%

42%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego Padres (Local)

Prediction 58.45%1.71fair odd

EV -1.22%

Edge -0.720%

Kelly -1.76%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

57.69%58.57%58.59%60.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.511.621.621.6966.23%61.80%61.73%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Miami Marlins (Visit)

Prediction 41.55%2.41fair odd

EV +0.964%

Edge +0.397%

Kelly +0.674%

Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 2.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

39.10%41.43%41.41%42.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.152.332.302.4346.51%43.00%43.48%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: San Diego Padres (Local): 58.45%; Miami Marlins (Visit): 41.55%. For Miami Marlins (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.41. 11 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.43, producing a positive expected value of +0.964%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -8.23%E -5.24%K -14.44%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +0.964%E +0.397%K +0.674%G +0.006%	4.8%	2026-09-19 17:34
BetRivers🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -8.23%E -5.24%K -14.44%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +0.964%E +0.397%K +0.674%G +0.006%	4.8%	2026-09-19 17:34
Casumo🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -8.23%E -5.24%K -14.44%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +0.964%E +0.397%K +0.674%G +0.006%	4.8%	2026-09-19 17:34
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -8.23%E -5.24%K -14.44%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +0.964%E +0.397%K +0.674%G +0.006%	4.8%	2026-09-19 17:34
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -8.23%E -5.24%K -14.44%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +0.964%E +0.397%K +0.674%G +0.006%	4.8%	2026-09-19 17:34
Unibet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -8.23%E -5.24%K -14.44%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +0.964%E +0.397%K +0.674%G +0.006%	4.8%	2026-09-19 17:34
Svenska Spel🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -8.23%E -5.24%K -14.44%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +0.964%E +0.397%K +0.674%G +0.006%	4.8%	2026-09-19 17:34
Bally Bet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -8.23%E -5.24%K -14.44%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +0.964%E +0.397%K +0.674%G +0.006%	4.8%	2026-09-19 17:34
ATG (SE)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -8.23%E -5.24%K -14.44%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +0.964%E +0.397%K +0.674%G +0.006%	4.8%	2026-09-19 17:34
betPARX🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -8.23%E -5.24%K -14.44%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +0.964%E +0.397%K +0.674%G +0.006%	4.8%	2026-09-19 17:34
TABtouch🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -8.82%E -5.65%K -15.74%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +0.964%E +0.397%K +0.674%G +0.006%	5.3%	2026-09-19 17:34
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -9.40%E -6.06%K -17.09%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -0.283%E -0.118%K -0.202%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-19 17:34
Virgin Bet🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -9.40%E -6.06%K -17.09%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -0.283%E -0.118%K -0.202%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-19 17:35
GTbets🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -2.97%E -1.79%K -4.50%G +0.000%	2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -0.698%E -0.292%K -0.502%G +0.000%	2.1%	2026-09-19 14:01
LowVig.ag🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -2.97%E -1.79%K -4.50%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -1.11%E -0.468%K -0.807%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-09-19 14:01
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -2.97%E -1.79%K -4.50%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -1.11%E -0.468%K -0.807%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-09-19 14:01
Pinnacle🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.39%E -1.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -1.53%E -0.645%K -1.12%G +0.000%	2.1%	2026-09-19 16:44
BetAnything🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -3.56%E -2.15%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -1.53%E -0.645%K -1.12%G +0.000%	2.8%	2026-09-19 19:59
Coral🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.53%E -0.645%K -1.12%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-19 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.53%E -0.645%K -1.12%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-19 14:01
BetUS🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%EV -2.97%E -1.79%K -4.50%G +0.000%	2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%EV -1.94%E -0.824%K -1.43%G +0.000%	2.6%	2026-09-19 14:01
Everygame🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.39%E -1.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -2.36%E -1.00%K -1.75%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-09-19 14:17
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.36%E -1.00%K -1.75%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-09-19 14:01
BetMGM🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.36%E -1.00%K -1.75%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-19 14:01
1xBet🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.22%E -0.720%K -1.76%G +0.000%	2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -3.19%E -1.37%K -2.40%G +0.000%	2.1%	2026-09-19 13:59
Bovada🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000%	2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -3.19%E -1.37%K -2.40%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-19 19:19
Grosvenor🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -11.74%E -7.77%K -23.02%G +0.000%	2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -3.19%E -1.37%K -2.40%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-09-19 17:34
FanDuel🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.14%E -2.52%K -6.47%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.61%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-19 14:01
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -3.56%E -2.15%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -4.02%E -1.74%K -3.07%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-09-19 15:54
DraftKings🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.63%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000%	2.31I 43.29%NM 41.37%EV -4.02%E -1.74%K -3.07%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-19 14:01
theScore Bet🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.39%E -1.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-09-19 14:01
Fanatics🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.56%E -2.15%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-19 14:01
TAB🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.56%E -2.15%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-19 14:01
ReBet🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.56%E -2.15%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-19 18:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.56%E -2.15%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-19 14:01
Bet Right🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-19 14:01
betfred_uk🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-19 14:01
888sport🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-19 14:01
Betr (AU)🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-19 14:01
Betway🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-19 14:01
Coolbet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-19 14:01
William Hill🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-19 14:01
888sport (SE)🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-19 14:01
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-19 14:01
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.80%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-19 14:01
Caesars🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -2.97%E -1.79%K -4.50%G +0.000%	2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -4.85%E -2.12%K -3.76%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-09-19 14:00
SportsBet🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000%	2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.85%E -2.12%K -3.76%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-19 14:01
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.14%E -2.52%K -6.47%G +0.000%	2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.68%E -2.50%K -4.48%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-19 14:01
Betsson🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000%	2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.68%E -2.50%K -4.48%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-19 14:01
NordicBet🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000%	2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.68%E -2.50%K -4.48%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-19 14:01
Marathon Bet🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.14%E -2.52%K -6.47%G +0.000%	2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -6.10%E -2.70%K -4.84%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-19 14:01
PlayUp🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.56%E -2.15%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-19 15:44
Paddy Power🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.56%E -2.15%K -5.47%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-19 17:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.14%E -2.52%K -6.47%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-19 14:01
Neds🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.14%E -2.52%K -6.47%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-19 14:01
Dabble (AU)🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.14%E -2.52%K -6.47%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-19 18:00
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-19 14:01
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-19 14:01
BoyleSports🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-19 14:01
Bet Victor🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-09-19 14:00
betano_uk🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-09-19 13:59
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -7.65%E -4.84%K -13.18%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -8.59%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-09-19 14:01
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -8.82%E -5.65%K -15.74%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -10.67%E -4.96%K -9.28%G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-09-19 14:01

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Matchbook◎	1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%	2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%	0.5%	2026-09-19 18:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%	2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%	0.5%	2026-09-19 18:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%	2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%	0.5%	2026-09-19 18:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%	2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%	0.5%	2026-09-19 18:59
ProphetX◎	1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%	2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%	0.8%	2026-09-19 19:54
Novig◎	1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%	2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%	1.2%	2026-09-19 19:55
Kalshi◎	1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%	2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%	1.2%	2026-09-19 14:01
Polymarket◎	1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%	2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%	1.2%	2026-09-19 14:01
Smarkets◎	1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%	2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%	1.5%	2026-09-19 19:54