Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

San Diego Padres v Miami Marlins

2026-09-20 00:40 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

San Diego Padres (Local)

Prévision 58.43%1.71cote équitable
EV -1.26%
Avantage -0.743%
Kelly -1.82%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.70%58.55%58.42%60.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.511.621.621.6966.23%61.78%61.73%59.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Miami Marlins (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.57%2.41cote équitable
EV +1.02%
Avantage +0.419%
Kelly +0.712%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 2.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.10%41.45%41.58%43.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.152.322.302.4346.51%43.02%43.48%41.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : San Diego Padres (Local) : 58.43% ; Miami Marlins (Visiteur) : 41.57%. Pour Miami Marlins (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.41. 11 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.43, pour une espérance positive de +1.02%.

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -8.27%E -5.27%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +1.02%E +0.419%K +0.712%G +0.007%4.8%2026-09-19 17:34
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -8.27%E -5.27%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +1.02%E +0.419%K +0.712%G +0.007%4.8%2026-09-19 17:34
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -8.27%E -5.27%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +1.02%E +0.419%K +0.712%G +0.007%4.8%2026-09-19 17:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -8.27%E -5.27%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +1.02%E +0.419%K +0.712%G +0.007%4.8%2026-09-19 17:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -8.27%E -5.27%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +1.02%E +0.419%K +0.712%G +0.007%4.8%2026-09-19 17:34
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -8.27%E -5.27%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +1.02%E +0.419%K +0.712%G +0.007%4.8%2026-09-19 17:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -8.27%E -5.27%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +1.02%E +0.419%K +0.712%G +0.007%4.8%2026-09-19 17:34
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -8.27%E -5.27%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +1.02%E +0.419%K +0.712%G +0.007%4.8%2026-09-19 17:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -8.27%E -5.27%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +1.02%E +0.419%K +0.712%G +0.007%4.8%2026-09-19 17:34
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -8.27%E -5.27%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +1.02%E +0.419%K +0.712%G +0.007%4.8%2026-09-19 17:34
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -8.85%E -5.67%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +1.02%E +0.419%K +0.712%G +0.007%5.3%2026-09-19 17:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -9.44%E -6.09%K -17.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -0.229%E -0.095%K -0.163%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 17:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -9.44%E -6.09%K -17.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -0.229%E -0.095%K -0.163%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 17:35
GTbets🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -3.01%E -1.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -0.645%E -0.270%K -0.464%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-19 14:01
LowVig.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -3.01%E -1.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -1.06%E -0.445%K -0.768%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-19 14:01
BetOnline.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -3.01%E -1.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -1.06%E -0.445%K -0.768%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-19 14:01
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -3.59%E -2.18%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -1.48%E -0.623%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-19 19:59
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.93%E -3.68%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.48%E -0.623%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.93%E -3.68%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.48%E -0.623%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 14:01
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -1.84%E -1.10%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -1.89%E -0.802%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-19 20:45
BetUS🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%EV -3.01%E -1.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%EV -1.89%E -0.802%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-19 14:01
Everygame🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.42%E -1.45%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -2.31%E -0.982%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-19 14:17
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.76%E -2.92%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.31%E -0.982%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 14:01
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.35%E -3.30%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.31%E -0.982%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 14:01
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.26%E -0.743%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -3.14%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-19 13:59
Bovada🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.76%E -2.92%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -3.14%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 19:19
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -11.77%E -7.80%K -23.08%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -3.14%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 17:34
FanDuel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.18%E -2.55%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.55%E -1.53%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-19 14:01
MyBookie.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -3.59%E -2.18%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -3.97%E -1.72%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 15:54
DraftKings🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.63%EV -4.76%E -2.92%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.37%EV -3.97%E -1.72%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 14:01
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.42%E -1.45%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.39%E -1.91%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-19 14:01
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.59%E -2.18%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.39%E -1.91%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-19 14:01
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.59%E -2.18%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.39%E -1.91%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-19 14:01
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.59%E -2.18%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.39%E -1.91%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-19 18:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.59%E -2.18%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.39%E -1.91%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-19 14:01
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.76%E -2.92%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.39%E -1.91%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-19 14:01
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.35%E -3.30%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.39%E -1.91%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-19 14:01
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.35%E -3.30%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.39%E -1.91%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-19 14:01
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.35%E -3.30%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.39%E -1.91%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-19 14:01
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.35%E -3.30%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.39%E -1.91%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-19 14:01
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.35%E -3.30%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.39%E -1.91%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-19 14:01
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.35%E -3.30%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.39%E -1.91%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-19 14:01
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.35%E -3.30%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.39%E -1.91%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-19 14:01
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.35%E -3.30%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.39%E -1.91%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-19 14:01
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.51%E -4.07%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.39%E -1.91%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 14:01
Caesars🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -3.01%E -1.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -4.80%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 14:00
SportsBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.76%E -2.92%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.80%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 14:01
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.76%E -2.92%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.22%E -2.29%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-19 20:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.18%E -2.55%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.63%E -2.48%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 14:01
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.76%E -2.92%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.63%E -2.48%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 14:01
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.76%E -2.92%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.63%E -2.48%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 14:01
Marathon Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.18%E -2.55%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -6.05%E -2.68%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-19 14:01
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.59%E -2.18%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.46%E -2.87%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 17:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.18%E -2.55%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.46%E -2.87%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 14:01
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.18%E -2.55%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.46%E -2.87%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 14:01
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.35%E -3.30%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.46%E -2.87%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 14:01
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.35%E -3.30%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.46%E -2.87%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 14:01
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.35%E -3.30%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.46%E -2.87%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 14:01
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.93%E -3.68%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.46%E -2.87%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 14:00
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.93%E -3.68%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.46%E -2.87%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 13:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -1.84%E -1.10%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -8.54%E -3.88%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 20:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -7.68%E -4.86%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -8.54%E -3.88%K -7.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-19 14:01
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -8.85%E -5.67%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -10.62%E -4.94%K -9.24%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-19 14:01
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-09-19 18:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-09-19 18:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-09-19 18:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-09-19 18:59
ProphetX1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-09-19 19:54
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-09-19 14:01
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-09-19 14:01
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-09-19 20:28
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%1.5%2026-09-19 19:54