The School of Odds

San Diego Padres v Arizona Diamondbacks

2026-07-09 02:11 — MLB

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Option 1: San Diego Padres (Local)

1.6062.50%Min
1.6759.98%Mean
1.6759.88%Median
1.7158.48%Max
56.16%1.780Min
57.93%1.726Max
57.15%1.750Mean
57.14%1.750Median
57.14%1.750IQM
57.19%1.748Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.71 under the IQM model: 57.14%

EV -2.29%Edge -1.34%Kelly -3.22%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit)

2.0548.78%Min
2.2245.03%Mean
2.2245.05%Median
2.3143.29%Max
42.07%2.377Min
43.84%2.281Max
42.85%2.334Mean
42.86%2.333Median
42.86%2.333IQM
42.81%2.336Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.31 under the IQM model: 42.86%

EV -0.998%Edge -0.432%Kelly -0.762%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

BookmakerSan Diego Padres (Local) ▼Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit)MarginUpdated
GTbets1.71I 58.48% NM 57.36%EV -2.29% E -1.34% K -3.22% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 42.64%EV -1.43% E -0.620% K -1.10% G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-08 00:30
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48% NM 57.04%EV -2.29% E -1.34% K -3.22% G +0.000%2.27I 44.05% NM 42.96%EV -2.71% E -1.20% K -2.14% G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-08 00:25
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48% NM 57.04%EV -2.29% E -1.34% K -3.22% G +0.000%2.27I 44.05% NM 42.96%EV -2.71% E -1.20% K -2.14% G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-08 00:30
1xBet1.70I 58.82% NM 57.61%EV -2.86% E -1.68% K -4.08% G +0.000%2.31I 43.29% NM 42.39%EV -0.998% E -0.432% K -0.762% G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-08 00:00
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82% NM 57.39%EV -2.86% E -1.68% K -4.08% G +0.000%2.29I 43.67% NM 42.61%EV -1.86% E -0.810% K -1.44% G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-08 01:05
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17% NM 57.11%EV -3.43% E -2.03% K -4.97% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.89%EV -3.57% E -1.59% K -2.86% G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-08 00:30
Caesars1.69I 59.17% NM 56.78%EV -3.43% E -2.03% K -4.97% G +0.000%2.22I 45.05% NM 43.22%EV -4.86% E -2.19% K -3.98% G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-08 00:30
Fliff1.69I 59.17% NM 56.56%EV -3.43% E -2.03% K -4.97% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.44%EV -5.71% E -2.60% K -4.76% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 18:30
Fanatics1.69I 59.17% NM 56.56%EV -3.43% E -2.03% K -4.97% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.44%EV -5.71% E -2.60% K -4.76% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 01:00
FanDuel1.68I 59.52% NM 57.14%EV -4.00% E -2.38% K -5.88% G +0.000%2.24I 44.64% NM 42.86%EV -4.00% E -1.79% K -3.22% G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 23:50
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52% NM 57.03%EV -4.00% E -2.38% K -5.88% G +0.000%2.23I 44.84% NM 42.97%EV -4.43% E -1.99% K -3.60% G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 00:55
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52% NM 57.03%EV -4.00% E -2.38% K -5.88% G +0.000%2.23I 44.84% NM 42.97%EV -4.43% E -1.99% K -3.60% G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 00:54
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52% NM 57.03%EV -4.00% E -2.38% K -5.88% G +0.000%2.23I 44.84% NM 42.97%EV -4.43% E -1.99% K -3.60% G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 00:55
PlayUp1.68I 59.52% NM 56.70%EV -4.00% E -2.38% K -5.88% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.30%EV -5.71% E -2.60% K -4.76% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 00:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52% NM 56.70%EV -4.00% E -2.38% K -5.88% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.30%EV -5.71% E -2.60% K -4.76% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 00:55
Unibet1.68I 59.52% NM 56.70%EV -4.00% E -2.38% K -5.88% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.30%EV -5.71% E -2.60% K -4.76% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 00:55
Casumo1.68I 59.52% NM 56.70%EV -4.00% E -2.38% K -5.88% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.30%EV -5.71% E -2.60% K -4.76% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 00:55
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52% NM 56.70%EV -4.00% E -2.38% K -5.88% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.30%EV -5.71% E -2.60% K -4.76% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 00:55
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52% NM 56.70%EV -4.00% E -2.38% K -5.88% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.30%EV -5.71% E -2.60% K -4.76% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 00:55
betPARX1.68I 59.52% NM 56.70%EV -4.00% E -2.38% K -5.88% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.30%EV -5.71% E -2.60% K -4.76% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 00:55
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88% NM 57.93%EV -4.57% E -2.74% K -6.82% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 42.07%EV -1.43% E -0.620% K -1.10% G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-08 00:10
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88% NM 57.40%EV -4.57% E -2.74% K -6.82% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.60%EV -3.57% E -1.59% K -2.86% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 01:00
DraftKings1.67I 59.88% NM 57.18%EV -4.57% E -2.74% K -6.82% G +0.000%2.23I 44.84% NM 42.82%EV -4.43% E -1.99% K -3.60% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 00:30
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88% NM 57.07%EV -4.57% E -2.74% K -6.82% G +0.000%2.22I 45.05% NM 42.93%EV -4.86% E -2.19% K -3.98% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 00:29
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -4.57% E -2.74% K -6.82% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -5.71% E -2.60% K -4.76% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 00:30
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -4.57% E -2.74% K -6.82% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -5.71% E -2.60% K -4.76% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 00:55
TABtouch1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -4.57% E -2.74% K -6.82% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -5.71% E -2.60% K -4.76% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 00:55
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -4.57% E -2.74% K -6.82% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -5.71% E -2.60% K -4.76% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 00:55
BetRivers1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -4.57% E -2.74% K -6.82% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -5.71% E -2.60% K -4.76% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 00:55
Bet Right1.66I 60.24% NM 57.44%EV -5.14% E -3.10% K -7.79% G +0.000%2.24I 44.64% NM 42.56%EV -4.00% E -1.79% K -3.22% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 00:30
Coolbet1.66I 60.24% NM 57.33%EV -5.14% E -3.10% K -7.79% G +0.000%2.23I 44.84% NM 42.67%EV -4.43% E -1.99% K -3.60% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 00:40
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24% NM 56.99%EV -5.14% E -3.10% K -7.79% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.01%EV -5.71% E -2.60% K -4.76% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-08 00:30
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24% NM 56.88%EV -5.14% E -3.10% K -7.79% G +0.000%2.19I 45.66% NM 43.12%EV -6.14% E -2.80% K -5.16% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 00:30
888sport1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -5.72% E -3.46% K -8.79% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -3.57% E -1.59% K -2.86% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 18:30
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -5.72% E -3.46% K -8.79% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -3.57% E -1.59% K -2.86% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 18:30
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -5.72% E -3.46% K -8.79% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -3.57% E -1.59% K -2.86% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -5.72% E -3.46% K -8.79% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -3.57% E -1.59% K -2.86% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 21:09
Neds1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -5.72% E -3.46% K -8.79% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -3.57% E -1.59% K -2.86% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 21:10
BetMGM1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -5.72% E -3.46% K -8.79% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -3.57% E -1.59% K -2.86% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 21:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -5.72% E -3.46% K -8.79% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -3.57% E -1.59% K -2.86% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 21:10
Coral1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -5.72% E -3.46% K -8.79% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -3.57% E -1.59% K -2.86% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 21:14
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61% NM 57.58%EV -5.72% E -3.46% K -8.79% G +0.000%2.24I 44.64% NM 42.42%EV -4.00% E -1.79% K -3.22% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 23:15
SportsBet1.65I 60.61% NM 57.14%EV -5.72% E -3.46% K -8.79% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 42.86%EV -5.71% E -2.60% K -4.76% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-07 18:24
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61% NM 57.14%EV -5.72% E -3.46% K -8.79% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 42.86%EV -5.71% E -2.60% K -4.76% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-07 23:50
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61% NM 57.14%EV -5.72% E -3.46% K -8.79% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 42.86%EV -5.71% E -2.60% K -4.76% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-08 00:32
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98% NM 56.96%EV -6.29% E -3.83% K -9.82% G +0.000%2.17I 46.08% NM 43.04%EV -7.00% E -3.23% K -5.98% G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 00:55
ReBet1.62I 61.73% NM 57.03%EV -7.43% E -4.59% K -11.98% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 42.97%EV -7.86% E -3.65% K -6.83% G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-08 00:29
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50% NM 56.76%EV -8.57% E -5.36% K -14.29% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 43.24%EV -10.00% E -4.76% K -9.09% G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-08 00:30
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50% NM 56.16%EV -8.57% E -5.36% K -14.29% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 43.84%EV -12.14% E -5.92% K -11.56% G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-08 00:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerSan Diego Padres (Local)Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.74I 57.47% NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10% NM 42.86%0.6%2026-07-08 01:05
Novig1.75I 57.14% NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48% NM 43.21%0.6%2026-07-08 01:05
Kalshi1.75I 57.14% NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05% NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-07 18:30
Polymarket1.75I 57.14% NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05% NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-07 20:10
ProphetX1.72I 58.14% NM 57.00%2.28I 43.86% NM 43.00%2.0%2026-07-08 01:00
Smarkets1.61I 62.11% NM 57.52%2.18I 45.87% NM 42.48%8.0%2026-07-08 01:10