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San Diego Padres v Arizona Diamondbacks
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
San Diego Padres (Local)
Predicción 56.76%1.76momio equitativo
EV -1.23%
Ventaja -0.709%
Kelly -1.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.17%56.79%56.78%57.96%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.641.691.681.7460.98%59.34%59.52%57.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante)
Predicción 43.24%2.31momio equitativo
EV +0.744%
Ventaja +0.319%
Kelly +0.559%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.04%43.21%43.22%43.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.132.212.202.3346.95%45.28%45.45%42.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: San Diego Padres (Local): 56.76%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante): 43.24%. Para Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.31. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.33, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.744%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -4.07%E -2.41%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV +0.744%E +0.319%K +0.559%G +0.004% | 2.1% | 2026-07-09 02:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -3.50%E -2.06%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -0.121%E -0.052%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-09 02:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.50%E -2.06%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -0.553%E -0.241%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-09 02:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.50%E -2.06%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -0.553%E -0.241%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-09 02:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -1.42%E -0.622%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-09 01:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.53%EV -1.80%E -1.04%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.47%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-08 23:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-09 02:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.07%E -2.41%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-08 00:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.07%E -2.41%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-09 02:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-09 02:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -1.23%E -0.709%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -3.15%E -1.41%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-08 06:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -1.23%E -0.709%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -3.58%E -1.61%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-08 14:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -3.58%E -1.61%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-09 00:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -4.07%E -2.41%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -3.58%E -1.61%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.58%E -1.61%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.50%E -2.06%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.01%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-09 00:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.07%E -2.41%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.01%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-09 01:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -4.07%E -2.41%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -4.44%E -2.01%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-09 02:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.94%E -1.72%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-08 08:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.94%E -1.72%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-09 00:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.94%E -1.72%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-09 00:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.50%E -2.06%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 04:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.50%E -2.06%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 04:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-08 04:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-08 03:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 02:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 03:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 00:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 03:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 03:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 02:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 02:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 02:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.77%E -3.48%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.77%E -3.48%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.34%E -3.84%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-08 08:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.50%E -2.06%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.74%E -2.63%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-09 00:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.50%E -2.06%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.74%E -2.63%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-09 00:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.50%E -2.06%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.74%E -2.63%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-09 00:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.50%E -2.06%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.74%E -2.63%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-09 00:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.50%E -2.06%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.74%E -2.63%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-09 00:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.50%E -2.06%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.74%E -2.63%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-09 00:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.07%E -2.41%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.74%E -2.63%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-08 14:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.74%E -2.63%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-09 01:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.74%E -2.63%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-09 01:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.74%E -2.63%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-09 02:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.17%E -2.85%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-09 00:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.17%E -2.85%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-09 00:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.17%E -2.85%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-09 00:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.17%E -2.85%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-09 00:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-08 23:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.34%E -3.84%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-09 02:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.91%E -4.21%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-09 02:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -5.77%E -3.48%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -7.47%E -3.49%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-09 00:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.50%EV -6.91%E -4.21%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.50%EV -7.90%E -3.71%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-09 01:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-07-09 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-07-09 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-07-09 02:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-07-09 01:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.2% | 2026-07-09 02:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.2% | 2026-07-09 02:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.67% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.33% | 1.4% | 2026-07-09 02:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43% | 1.6% | 2026-07-09 02:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14% | 2.3% | 2026-07-09 02:05 |