مدرسة الاحتمالات

San Diego Padres v Arizona Diamondbacks

البداية: 2026-07-09 02:11 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: San Diego Padres 10–4 Arizona Diamondbacks

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

San Diego Padres (المضيف)

التنبؤ 56.76%1.76السعر العادل
EV -1.23%
الأفضلية -0.709%
Kelly -1.67%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.74

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.17%56.79%56.78%57.96%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.641.691.681.7460.98%59.34%59.52%57.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Arizona Diamondbacks (الضيف)

التنبؤ 43.24%2.31السعر العادل
EV +0.744%
الأفضلية +0.319%
Kelly +0.559%
النمو +0.004%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.33

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.04%43.21%43.22%43.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.132.212.202.3346.95%45.28%45.45%42.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -4.07%E -2.41%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV +0.744%E +0.319%K +0.559%G +0.004%2.1%2026-07-09 02:04
GTbets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -3.50%E -2.06%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -0.121%E -0.052%K -0.092%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-09 02:09
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.50%E -2.06%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -0.553%E -0.241%K -0.426%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-09 02:09
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.50%E -2.06%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -0.553%E -0.241%K -0.426%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-09 02:09
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -1.42%E -0.622%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-09 01:45
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 56.53%EV -1.80%E -1.04%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.47%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-08 23:14
BetAnything1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-09 02:05
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.07%E -2.41%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-08 00:30
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.07%E -2.41%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-09 02:00
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 02:05
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 02:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 02:00
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 02:00
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -1.23%E -0.709%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -3.15%E -1.41%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-08 06:45
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -1.23%E -0.709%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -3.58%E -1.61%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-08 14:15
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -3.58%E -1.61%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-09 00:55
MyBookie.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -4.07%E -2.41%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -3.58%E -1.61%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-09 02:00
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.58%E -1.61%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-09 02:00
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.50%E -2.06%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.01%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-09 00:15
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.07%E -2.41%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.01%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-09 01:54
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -4.07%E -2.41%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -4.44%E -2.01%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-09 02:09
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.94%E -1.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 08:20
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.94%E -1.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-09 00:55
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.94%E -1.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-09 00:55
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.50%E -2.06%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 04:35
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.50%E -2.06%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 04:45
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 02:00
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 04:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 02:00
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 02:00
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 03:24
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 02:05
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 03:25
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 00:30
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 03:25
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 03:25
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 02:05
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 02:40
Dabble (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 02:00
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 02:10
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 02:00
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.77%E -3.48%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-09 02:00
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.77%E -3.48%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-09 02:00
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.34%E -3.84%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-08 08:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.50%E -2.06%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.74%E -2.63%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 00:55
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.50%E -2.06%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.74%E -2.63%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 00:55
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.50%E -2.06%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.74%E -2.63%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 00:55
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.50%E -2.06%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.74%E -2.63%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 00:54
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.50%E -2.06%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.74%E -2.63%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 00:55
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.50%E -2.06%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.74%E -2.63%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 00:55
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.07%E -2.41%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.74%E -2.63%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 14:14
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.74%E -2.63%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 01:25
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.74%E -2.63%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 01:24
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.74%E -2.63%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-09 02:10
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.17%E -2.85%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 00:55
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.17%E -2.85%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 00:55
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.17%E -2.85%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 00:55
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.17%E -2.85%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 00:55
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 23:45
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.34%E -3.84%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-09 02:10
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.91%E -4.21%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-09 02:09
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -5.77%E -3.48%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -7.47%E -3.49%K -6.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-09 00:55
Betclic (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.50%EV -6.91%E -4.21%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.50%EV -7.90%E -3.71%K -6.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-09 01:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-07-09 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-07-09 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-07-09 02:10
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-09 01:55
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-07-09 02:00
ProphetX1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-07-09 02:10
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-07-09 02:10
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 57.67%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.33%1.4%2026-07-09 02:10
BetOpenly1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%1.6%2026-07-09 02:09
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%2.3%2026-07-09 02:05