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Pittsburgh Pirates v Washington Nationals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)
Prediction 59.31%1.69fair odd
EV -1.55%
Edge -0.935%
Kelly -2.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.69%59.29%59.34%60.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.611.621.6664.52%61.93%61.73%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Washington Nationals (Visit)
Prediction 40.69%2.46fair odd
EV -1.11%
Edge -0.459%
Kelly -0.779%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.24%40.71%40.66%42.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.342.352.4344.44%42.67%42.55%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 59.31%; Washington Nationals (Visit): 40.69%. For Washington Nationals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.46. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.43, with an expected value of -1.11%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.55%E -0.935%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.74%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-16 16:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -2.14%E -1.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV -1.11%E -0.459%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-04-16 16:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.14%E -1.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.34%E -0.973%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-16 14:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.14%E -1.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-16 15:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.14%E -1.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 16:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.14%E -1.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 16:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -2.74%E -1.67%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -1.11%E -0.459%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-16 16:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -2.74%E -1.67%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -1.52%E -0.629%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-16 16:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -2.74%E -1.67%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -1.52%E -0.629%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-16 16:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -2.74%E -1.67%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -2.74%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-16 16:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -2.74%E -1.67%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -3.15%E -1.32%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-16 16:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.33%E -2.04%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-16 14:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.33%E -2.04%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.78%E -2.04%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 16:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.33%E -2.04%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 16:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.96%E -1.68%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 16:02 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 14:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 14:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 14:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 16:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 16:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 16:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 16:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 16:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 16:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 16:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 16:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 16:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 16:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 16:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 16:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 16:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.34%E -0.973%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-16 15:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.34%E -0.973%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-16 14:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.34%E -0.973%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-16 16:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.15%E -1.32%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 16:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.56%E -1.50%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.56%E -1.50%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 14:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 14:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.78%E -2.04%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-16 15:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-16 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.59%E -2.41%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 15:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.59%E -2.41%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 16:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.59%E -2.41%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 16:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.59%E -2.41%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 16:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.59%E -2.41%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 16:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.11%E -3.19%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 15:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.11%E -3.19%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 16:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.11%E -3.19%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 16:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.11%E -3.19%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 15:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.11%E -3.19%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 16:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.11%E -3.19%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 16:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -5.70%E -3.59%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -2.74%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 15:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.70%E -3.59%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -3.56%E -1.50%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 16:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.70%E -3.59%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-16 15:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.89%E -4.39%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.15%E -1.32%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-16 11:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.89%E -4.39%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 16:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.89%E -4.39%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 15:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -7.48%E -4.80%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-16 16:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.34%E -0.973%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 14:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 0.2% | 2026-04-16 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 0.2% | 2026-04-16 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 0.2% | 2026-04-16 16:35 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24% | 0.2% | 2026-04-16 16:34 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-04-16 16:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-04-16 15:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03% | 1.5% | 2026-04-16 16:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.9% | 2026-04-16 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.9% | 2026-04-16 16:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85% | 3.0% | 2026-04-16 16:35 |