مدرسة الاحتمالات

Pittsburgh Pirates v Washington Nationals

البداية: 2026-04-16 16:36 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Pittsburgh Pirates 7–8 Washington Nationals

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Pittsburgh Pirates (المضيف)

التنبؤ 59.31%1.69السعر العادل
EV -1.55%
الأفضلية -0.935%
Kelly -2.35%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.66

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
57.69%59.29%59.34%60.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.551.611.621.6664.52%61.93%61.73%60.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Washington Nationals (الضيف)

التنبؤ 40.69%2.46السعر العادل
EV -1.11%
الأفضلية -0.459%
Kelly -0.779%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.43

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.24%40.71%40.66%42.31%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.252.342.352.4344.44%42.67%42.55%41.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.55%E -0.935%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.74%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-16 16:00
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -2.14%E -1.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV -1.11%E -0.459%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-16 16:30
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.14%E -1.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.34%E -0.973%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-16 14:35
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.14%E -1.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-16 15:05
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.14%E -1.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 16:35
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.14%E -1.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 16:25
GTbets1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -2.74%E -1.67%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -1.11%E -0.459%K -0.779%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-16 16:35
BetOnline.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -2.74%E -1.67%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -1.52%E -0.629%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-16 16:35
LowVig.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -2.74%E -1.67%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -1.52%E -0.629%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-16 16:35
BetUS1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -2.74%E -1.67%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -2.74%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-16 16:34
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -2.74%E -1.67%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -3.15%E -1.32%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-16 16:05
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.33%E -2.04%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-16 14:35
MyBookie.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.33%E -2.04%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.78%E -2.04%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 16:34
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.33%E -2.04%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 16:34
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.96%E -1.68%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 16:02
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 14:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 14:35
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 14:35
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 16:04
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 16:05
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 16:05
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 16:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 16:05
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 16:05
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 16:05
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 16:04
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 16:05
Bally Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 16:05
Dabble (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 16:25
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 16:35
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 16:34
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.34%E -0.973%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-16 15:15
Caesars1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.34%E -0.973%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-16 14:34
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.34%E -0.973%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-16 16:35
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.15%E -1.32%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 16:25
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.56%E -1.50%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.56%E -1.50%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 14:34
Fanatics1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-16 14:30
Bet Right1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.78%E -2.04%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 15:00
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 15:00
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 15:00
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.59%E -2.41%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 15:54
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.59%E -2.41%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 16:35
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.59%E -2.41%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 16:35
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.59%E -2.41%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 16:35
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.59%E -2.41%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 16:35
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.11%E -3.19%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 15:55
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.11%E -3.19%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 16:00
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.11%E -3.19%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 16:00
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.11%E -3.19%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 15:55
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.11%E -3.19%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 16:35
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.11%E -3.19%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 16:24
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -5.70%E -3.59%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -2.74%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-16 15:15
SportsBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.70%E -3.59%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -3.56%E -1.50%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 16:25
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.70%E -3.59%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 15:55
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.89%E -4.39%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.15%E -1.32%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-16 11:24
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.89%E -4.39%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 16:25
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.89%E -4.39%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 15:14
Unibet (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -7.48%E -4.80%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-16 16:25
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.34%E -0.973%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 14:39
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-04-16 16:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-04-16 16:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-04-16 16:35
BetOpenly1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%0.2%2026-04-16 16:34
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-04-16 16:35
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-04-16 15:55
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%1.5%2026-04-16 16:35
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-04-16 14:55
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-04-16 16:25
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%3.0%2026-04-16 16:35