语言:简体中文
Pittsburgh Pirates v Washington Nationals
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Pittsburgh Pirates (主队)
预测 59.31%1.69公平赔率
EV -1.55%
优势 -0.935%
Kelly -2.35%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.66
博彩公司预测分布
57.69%59.29%59.34%60.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.551.611.621.6664.52%61.93%61.73%60.24%最小值均值中位数最大值
Washington Nationals (客队)
预测 40.69%2.46公平赔率
EV -1.11%
优势 -0.459%
Kelly -0.779%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.43
博彩公司预测分布
39.24%40.71%40.66%42.31%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.252.342.352.4344.44%42.67%42.55%41.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Pittsburgh Pirates (主队)：59.31%；Washington Nationals (客队)：40.69%。 对于“Washington Nationals (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.46。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.43，期望值为-1.11%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (60 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.55%E -0.935%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.74%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-16 16:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -2.14%E -1.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV -1.11%E -0.459%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-04-16 16:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.14%E -1.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.34%E -0.973%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-16 14:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.14%E -1.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-16 15:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.14%E -1.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 16:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.14%E -1.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 16:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -2.74%E -1.67%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -1.11%E -0.459%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-16 16:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -2.74%E -1.67%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -1.52%E -0.629%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-16 16:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -2.74%E -1.67%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -1.52%E -0.629%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-16 16:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -2.74%E -1.67%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -2.74%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-16 16:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -2.74%E -1.67%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -3.15%E -1.32%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-16 16:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.33%E -2.04%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-16 14:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.33%E -2.04%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.78%E -2.04%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 16:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.33%E -2.04%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 16:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.96%E -1.68%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 16:02 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 14:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 14:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 14:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 16:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 16:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 16:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 16:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 16:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 16:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 16:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 16:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 16:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 16:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 16:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 16:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 16:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.34%E -0.973%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-16 15:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.34%E -0.973%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-16 14:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.34%E -0.973%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-16 16:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.15%E -1.32%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 16:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.56%E -1.50%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.56%E -1.50%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 14:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 14:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.78%E -2.04%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-16 15:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-16 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.59%E -2.41%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 15:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.59%E -2.41%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 16:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.59%E -2.41%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 16:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.59%E -2.41%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 16:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.59%E -2.41%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 16:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.11%E -3.19%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 15:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.11%E -3.19%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 16:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.11%E -3.19%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 16:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.11%E -3.19%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 15:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.11%E -3.19%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 16:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.11%E -3.19%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 16:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -5.70%E -3.59%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -2.74%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 15:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.70%E -3.59%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -3.56%E -1.50%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 16:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.70%E -3.59%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-16 15:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.89%E -4.39%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.15%E -1.32%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-16 11:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.89%E -4.39%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 16:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.89%E -4.39%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 15:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -7.48%E -4.80%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-16 16:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.34%E -0.973%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 14:39 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (10)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 0.2% | 2026-04-16 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 0.2% | 2026-04-16 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 0.2% | 2026-04-16 16:35 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24% | 0.2% | 2026-04-16 16:34 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-04-16 16:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-04-16 15:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03% | 1.5% | 2026-04-16 16:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.9% | 2026-04-16 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.9% | 2026-04-16 16:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85% | 3.0% | 2026-04-16 16:35 |