Language:English
Pittsburgh Pirates v San Francisco Giants
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)
Prediction 60.36%1.66fair odd
EV -1.00%
Edge -0.612%
Kelly -1.57%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.84%60.47%60.25%61.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.581.581.6466.67%63.38%63.49%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
San Francisco Giants (Visit)
Prediction 39.64%2.52fair odd
EV +1.07%
Edge +0.421%
Kelly +0.692%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.41%39.53%39.75%42.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.412.402.5544.44%41.41%41.67%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 60.36%; San Francisco Giants (Visit): 39.64%. For San Francisco Giants (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.52. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.07%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -4.02%E -2.53%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV +1.07%E +0.421%K +0.692%G +0.007% | 2.1% | 2026-09-03 16:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -3.42%E -2.14%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV -0.512%E -0.204%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-03 16:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -3.42%E -2.14%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -0.909%E -0.363%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-03 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -3.42%E -2.14%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -0.909%E -0.363%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-03 16:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -2.81%E -1.75%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -1.31%E -0.524%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-03 16:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -4.02%E -2.53%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -1.31%E -0.524%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-03 15:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -2.81%E -1.75%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -1.70%E -0.686%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.42%E -2.14%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.70%E -0.686%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-03 16:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.70%E -0.686%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-03 16:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.70%E -0.686%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-03 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.70%E -0.686%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-03 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.70%E -0.686%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-03 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.70%E -0.686%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-03 16:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.61%E -0.986%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -2.49%E -1.01%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-03 16:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -2.81%E -1.75%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -2.49%E -1.01%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-03 16:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.02%E -2.53%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.89%E -1.18%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-03 16:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.63%E -2.93%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -2.89%E -1.18%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 16:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.89%E -1.18%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-03 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.89%E -1.18%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-03 16:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.89%E -1.18%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 16:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.89%E -1.18%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 16:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.89%E -1.18%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 16:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.89%E -1.18%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 16:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.89%E -1.18%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 16:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.89%E -1.18%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 16:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.44%E -4.15%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.89%E -1.18%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 16:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -3.29%E -1.35%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 16:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.02%E -2.53%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.68%E -1.52%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-03 16:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -7.04%E -4.57%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -3.68%E -1.52%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -7.04%E -4.57%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -3.68%E -1.52%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 16:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.42%E -2.14%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 13:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.42%E -2.14%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.42%E -2.14%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 16:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.02%E -2.53%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 14:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.02%E -2.53%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 06:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.02%E -2.53%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 14:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.02%E -2.53%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 16:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.63%E -2.93%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 15:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.63%E -2.93%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 15:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.63%E -2.93%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 16:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 15:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 15:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 15:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 15:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 16:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 16:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.44%E -4.15%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 13:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.63%E -2.93%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -5.27%E -2.20%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 13:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.21%E -1.36%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.67%E -2.38%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-03 04:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.63%E -2.93%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.67%E -2.38%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 16:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.67%E -2.38%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 14:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -9.45%E -6.30%K -18.91%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.67%E -2.38%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-03 16:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.63%E -2.93%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.06%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.63%E -2.93%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.06%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.42%E -2.14%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.85%E -2.92%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.42%E -2.14%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.85%E -2.92%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 16:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.02%E -2.53%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.85%E -2.92%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 15:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.85%E -2.92%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 16:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.85%E -2.92%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.10%EV -7.04%E -4.57%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -8.04%E -3.47%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-03 16:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.21%E -1.36%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.84%E -3.84%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 13:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.84%E -3.84%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 14:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.44%E -4.15%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.84%E -3.84%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-03 16:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.44%E -4.15%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.84%E -3.84%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-03 16:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -1.00%E -0.612%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -10.82%E -4.81%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 16:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 0.3% | 2026-09-03 16:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.67% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 39.33% | 0.5% | 2026-09-03 16:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 16:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-09-03 16:25 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 0.8% | 2026-09-03 16:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-09-03 13:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-09-03 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.0% | 2026-09-03 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.0% | 2026-09-03 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.0% | 2026-09-03 16:30 |