Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Pittsburgh Pirates v San Francisco Giants

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-03 16:37 UTC

Score final : Pittsburgh Pirates 5–2 San Francisco Giants

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

66 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Prévision 60.36%1.66cote équitable
EV -1.00%
Avantage -0.612%
Kelly -1.57%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.84%60.47%60.25%61.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.581.581.6466.67%63.38%63.49%60.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

San Francisco Giants (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.64%2.52cote équitable
EV +1.07%
Avantage +0.421%
Kelly +0.692%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.41%39.53%39.75%42.16%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.412.402.5544.44%41.41%41.67%39.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Pittsburgh Pirates (Local) : 60.36% ; San Francisco Giants (Visiteur) : 39.64%. Pour San Francisco Giants (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.52. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.55, soit une espérance positive de +1.07%.

Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -4.02%E -2.53%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV +1.07%E +0.421%K +0.692%G +0.007%2.1%2026-09-03 16:30
GTbets🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -3.42%E -2.14%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV -0.512%E -0.204%K -0.339%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-03 16:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -3.42%E -2.14%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -0.909%E -0.363%K -0.606%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-03 16:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -3.42%E -2.14%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -0.909%E -0.363%K -0.606%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-03 16:20
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -2.81%E -1.75%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -1.31%E -0.524%K -0.876%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-03 16:30
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -4.02%E -2.53%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -1.31%E -0.524%K -0.876%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-03 15:05
Everygame🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -2.81%E -1.75%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -1.70%E -0.686%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-03 14:25
BetAnything🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.42%E -2.14%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.70%E -0.686%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-03 16:30
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.70%E -0.686%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 16:30
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.70%E -0.686%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 16:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.70%E -0.686%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 16:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.70%E -0.686%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 16:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.70%E -0.686%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 16:30
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.61%E -0.986%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -2.49%E -1.01%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-03 16:10
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -2.81%E -1.75%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -2.49%E -1.01%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-03 16:25
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.02%E -2.53%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.89%E -1.18%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-03 16:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.63%E -2.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -2.89%E -1.18%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 16:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.89%E -1.18%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.89%E -1.18%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 16:20
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.89%E -1.18%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.89%E -1.18%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 16:30
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.89%E -1.18%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 16:30
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.89%E -1.18%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 16:30
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.89%E -1.18%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 16:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.89%E -1.18%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 16:30
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.44%E -4.15%K -11.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.89%E -1.18%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 16:30
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -3.29%E -1.35%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 16:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.02%E -2.53%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.68%E -1.52%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-03 16:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -7.04%E -4.57%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -3.68%E -1.52%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 16:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -7.04%E -4.57%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -3.68%E -1.52%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 16:30
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.42%E -2.14%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 13:55
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.42%E -2.14%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 14:50
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.42%E -2.14%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 16:30
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.02%E -2.53%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 14:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.02%E -2.53%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 06:39
Betway🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.02%E -2.53%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 14:49
BetMGM🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.02%E -2.53%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 16:30
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.63%E -2.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 15:30
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.63%E -2.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 15:35
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.63%E -2.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 16:30
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 15:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 15:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 15:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 15:30
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 14:50
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 16:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 16:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.44%E -4.15%K -11.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 13:59
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.63%E -2.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -5.27%E -2.20%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.21%E -1.36%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.67%E -2.38%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-03 04:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.63%E -2.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.67%E -2.38%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 16:05
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.67%E -2.38%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 14:49
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -9.45%E -6.30%K -18.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.67%E -2.38%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 16:30
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.63%E -2.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.06%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 14:50
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.63%E -2.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.06%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 14:50
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.42%E -2.14%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.85%E -2.92%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.42%E -2.14%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.85%E -2.92%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 16:20
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.02%E -2.53%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.85%E -2.92%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 15:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.85%E -2.92%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.85%E -2.92%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 14:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.10%EV -7.04%E -4.57%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -8.04%E -3.47%K -6.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-03 16:25
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.21%E -1.36%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.84%E -3.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 13:05
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.84%E -3.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 14:05
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.44%E -4.15%K -11.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.84%E -3.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-03 16:25
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.44%E -4.15%K -11.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.84%E -3.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-03 16:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -1.00%E -0.612%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -10.82%E -4.81%K -8.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 16:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-09-03 16:30
Novig◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.67%2.53I 39.53%NM 39.33%0.5%2026-09-03 16:30
Smarkets◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-09-03 16:15
ProphetX◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-09-03 16:25
BetOpenly◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-09-03 16:25
Polymarket◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-09-03 13:55
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-09-03 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-09-03 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-09-03 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-09-03 16:30