A Escola das Odds

Pittsburgh Pirates v San Diego Padres

Início: 2026-04-07 22:41 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Previsão 57.10%1.75odd justa
EV +1.07%
Vantagem +0.602%
Kelly +1.38%
Crescimento +0.015%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.42%57.12%57.12%58.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.601.671.671.7762.50%59.78%59.88%56.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

San Diego Padres (Visitante)

Previsão 42.90%2.33odd justa
EV -1.33%
Vantagem -0.578%
Kelly -1.02%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.03%42.88%42.88%44.58%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.142.232.242.3046.73%44.84%44.64%43.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV +1.07%E +0.602%K +1.38%G +0.015%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-07 22:30
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV +0.495%E +0.281%K +0.652%G +0.003%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -5.19%E -2.35%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-07 22:24
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%EV -1.79%E -1.04%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%EV -1.76%E -0.768%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-07 21:44
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -1.79%E -1.04%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -3.05%E -1.35%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-07 21:45
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -1.79%E -1.04%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -3.05%E -1.35%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-07 21:45
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -1.79%E -1.04%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-07 21:45
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -1.79%E -1.04%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 22:30
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -2.36%E -1.38%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -8.19%E -3.83%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 22:24
MyBookie.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -2.93%E -1.72%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -5.19%E -2.35%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 20:20
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.93%E -1.72%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 22:00
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.93%E -1.72%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 22:35
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.50%E -2.07%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-07 16:44
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.50%E -2.07%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.76%E -2.14%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 22:25
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.50%E -2.07%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.76%E -2.14%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 21:44
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.50%E -2.07%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 21:15
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -4.07%E -2.42%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -2.19%E -0.959%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-07 21:15
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.07%E -2.42%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 22:25
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.07%E -2.42%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 16:15
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.07%E -2.42%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.48%E -2.97%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 22:00
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.07%E -2.42%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.48%E -2.97%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 22:05
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.33%E -0.578%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-06 20:00
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.33%E -0.578%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-07 19:45
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -2.62%E -1.15%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-07 21:05
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 20:14
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 21:15
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 21:15
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 21:24
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 21:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 21:25
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.76%E -2.14%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 21:05
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 21:04
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 21:05
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 21:05
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 21:04
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 19:05
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 22:40
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.21%E -3.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 21:15
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.21%E -3.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 21:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.21%E -3.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 21:15
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.21%E -3.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 21:15
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.21%E -3.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 21:15
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.21%E -3.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 21:15
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.21%E -3.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 21:15
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.21%E -3.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 21:15
Coolbet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.21%E -3.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 21:04
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.19%E -0.959%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-07 19:45
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 22:35
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 21:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 21:25
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 21:15
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 21:15
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 21:15
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 21:15
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 22:40
Unibet (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.36%E -3.88%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 22:29
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.36%E -3.88%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-07 22:40
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.36%E -3.88%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-07 22:40
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.50%E -4.63%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 19:45
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.50%E -4.63%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-07 21:05
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.64%E -5.40%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.33%E -0.578%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-07 16:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.77I 56.50%NM 56.40%2.29I 43.67%NM 43.60%0.2%2026-04-07 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-04-07 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-04-07 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-04-07 22:35
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-04-07 22:40
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-04-07 22:40
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-07 21:05
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-07 20:25
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%2.1%2026-04-07 21:30
BetOpenly1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%4.3%2026-04-07 22:24